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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / RAYA / forecast
SCWO (26) AMSC (44) FELE (61) GNRC (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A) (RAYA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.05 -15.01% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.02

Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A) (RAYA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RAYA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RAYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RAYA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $1.05 (-15.01% 1D, market cap $1.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RAYA ranks #965 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RAYA compare to SCWO and AMSC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Metal Fabrications), RAYA carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.3%, and ROIC of -3.4%. By comparison, SCWO (374Water Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $43.6M) and AMSC (American Superconductor Corporation) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMSC leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while FELE leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAYA?
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Per RAYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001825875), Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A) generated $22.9M in revenue (-24.6% YoY), -$1.4M in net income, and -$8.4M in free cash flow against $59.4M in total assets and $3.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.02 (-2.89%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510023
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (3)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.2% Base Target
$59 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE RAYA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RAYA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RAYA SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (43% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 31.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 21.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$1.50-11.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$1.33-9.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$1.20-12.5% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$1.05-11.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RAYA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RAYA currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.79) and Max Pain ($1.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $59.01.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RAYA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RAYA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 23%NO 77%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RAYA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.05: 9523.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.69
$6,571
$-3,429 (-34.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.88
$8,381
$-1,619 (-16.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $59.01
$562,000
+$552,000 (+5520.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$5569%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RAYA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RAYA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RAYA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -74.51%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.24H $1.24L $1.05C $1.05VOL 32.0K
RES: $1.41SUP: $0.97SMA50: $1.79SMA200: $4.63
$97.86$71.61$45.35$19.10$-7.15RES $1.41SUP $0.97$1.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RAYA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RAYA Butterfly Map → + Track RAYA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -24.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RAYA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RAYA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RAYA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RAYA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #965 of 1011 ⚔️ SCWO vs RAYA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RAYA vs. SCWO, AMSC, FELE, GNRC)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A) (RAYA) ranks #965 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #1005 by equity capitalization ($1.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMSC leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while FELE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 35.5% gross margin. FELE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with RAYA at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RAYA ACTIVE
Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A)
E 23/100 — 21.3% -3.4% -15.01% $1.1M Benchmark Subject
SCWO
374Water Inc.
E 26/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -1.20% $43.6M /scwo-vs-raya →
AMSC
American Superconductor Corporation
D 44/100 10.2x 30.5% 2.2% -3.56% $1.31B /amsc-vs-raya →
FELE
Franklin Electric Co. Inc.
C- 61/100 29.1x 35.5% 13.2% -1.41% $4.21B /fele-vs-raya →
GNRC
Generac Holdlings Inc.
D+ 52/100 74.3x 38.3% 6.6% -2.67% $11.68B /gnrc-vs-raya →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001825875

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A) (RAYA) reported GAAP revenue of $22.9M (-24.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $30.3M , and +12.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.4M, operating cash flow of -$3.2M, and free cash flow of -$8.4M (+48.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, RAYA closed FY2025 with $59.4M in total assets against $3.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.78, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $22.9M -$1.4M -$3.2M -$8.4M $59.4M $3.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $30.3M -$1.1M -$15.9M -$16.4M $46.0M $3.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $20.3M $1.2M $6.7M $6.7M — —

3. RAYA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RAYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RAYA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $1.05 (-15.01% 1D, market cap $1.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RAYA ranks #965 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RAYA compare to SCWO and AMSC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Metal Fabrications), RAYA carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.3%, and ROIC of -3.4%. By comparison, SCWO (374Water Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $43.6M) and AMSC (American Superconductor Corporation) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMSC leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while FELE leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RAYA?

Per RAYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001825875), Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A) generated $22.9M in revenue (-24.6% YoY), -$1.4M in net income, and -$8.4M in free cash flow against $59.4M in total assets and $3.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RAYA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RAYA last traded at $1.05 (-15.01% on volume of 31,989 shares), positioning the stock -41.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.79) and -77.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.63). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $56.20, RAYA sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.18).

Direct Sub-Reports: RAYA RQD Cockpit RAYA 12M Forecast RAYA Earnings & Move RAYA Dividends & DRIP RAYA Insiders & 13F RAYA Whale Options RAYA Profit Sankey RAYA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 23/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RAYA — Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:55:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RAYA scores 24 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -3.4% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, the cash engine is not currently generating returns above zero on invested capital, so there is no visible internal source of value creation to support the share price.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 3 / 20. The pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The scoring is weak, which implies limited institutional conviction in the name.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. The pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates insider activity is not supportive of the thesis.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. This is the strongest pillar, but it is a neutral-to-modest contributor rather than a catalyst.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 2 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.78, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.1. The Altman Z reading sits in a distress-oriented range, and the Piotroski reading indicates weak fundamental quality.

Taken together, the pillars describe a company where the main upside drivers (cash generation, institutional support, insider buying) are weak, and the main risk indicators (forensic balance sheet, negative ROIC) are severe. Valuation tradeoffs are unfavorable: with market capitalization at $1.3M and a price of 1.24, the market is pricing in substantial doubt. A prospective investor should treat the RQD output as a risk-screening signal rather than a timing signal.

Business

Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Metal Fabrications industry. the market capitalization is $0.0B on a rounded basis.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Six news items are tagged to RAYA. Five are rated YELLOW (market wire) and one is rated GREEN (catalyst). The YELLOW items are aggregator and market-recap pieces covering pre-market, after-market, and seasonal price action; they do not describe a discrete company event. The sole GREEN item is a TradingKey "Top U.S. Stock Gainers" listing, which signals a price-increase event rather than a fundamental development. Risk watch items: the price sits near the bottom of a $1 to $56.2 52-week range, and volume of 11,415 is low. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no proprietary catalyst linkage is available.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is NONE, there are no butterfly links, and there are no proprietary signals. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are — A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped dependencies means second-order ripple effects cannot be assessed from this dataset.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's product mix and customer concentration, and how do these drive the revenue decline from $30.3M to $22.9M?
  • What is the status of the cash shortfall, given FY 2025 cash of $0.4M against debt of $3.4M and FCF of $-8.4M?
  • What is the basis for the 52-week high of $56.2 against a current price of 1.24, and was there a corporate action or capital restructuring?
  • What are the reported EPS and valuation multiples, which are absent from the source data?
  • What is the company's going-concern position and financing plan given the Altman Z of 0.78?

RAYA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Erayak Power Solution Group Inc. (Class A) (RAYA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RAYA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RAYA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.05?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RAYA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RAYA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.22 (+16.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Beta of 1.0 and an 11/20 macro-regime-fit score mean the stock is not flagged as disproportionately volatile relative to the market.

Picked up a starter position in RAYA in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $1.05. Beta of 1.0 and an 11/20 macro-regime-fit score mean the stock is not flagged as disproportionately volatile relative to the market.. Trading inside a $1.00–$56.20 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Metal Fabrications multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 23/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.05 and keeping dry powder in case we test $0.98.

FO ForensicBear 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.79 (-24.8%)
Spot @ $1.05

A 0.78 Altman Z-Score, 2/9 Piotroski F-Score, and -3.4% ROIC together signal forensic balance-sheet distress alongside negative returns

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on RAYA: A 0.78 Altman Z-Score, 2/9 Piotroski F-Score, and -3.4% ROIC together signal forensic balance-sheet distress alongside negative returns on capital.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Metal Fabrications triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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