QXO Inc. (QXO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$11.04 -2.99% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.96

QXO Inc. (QXO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $11.81B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is QXO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, QXO Inc. (NYSE: QXO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $11.04 (-2.99% 1D, market cap $11.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, QXO ranks #932 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does QXO compare to TSCO and BLDR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), QXO carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.0%, and ROIC of -1.9%. By comparison, TSCO (Tractor Supply Company) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 16.0x, ROIC 27.9%, cap $17.53B) and BLDR (Builders FirstSource Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $6.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLDR leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while TSCO leads on capital efficiency (27.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QXO?
β–Ό

Per QXO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001236275), QXO Inc. generated $6.84B in revenue (+11925.0% YoY), -$279.4M in net income, and -$46.5M in free cash flow against $15.89B in total assets and $3.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.96 (-0.73%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (7)SEC (5)Macro (4)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.4% Base Target
$29 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE QXO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for QXO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY QXO SCORES 26/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 23% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.5) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
18
Grade E$11.02-5.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
21
Grade E$10.46+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
23
Grade E$10.64+3.8% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$11.04-10.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (18) β†’ E (26)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a QXO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While QXO currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.84) and Max Pain ($11.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $28.99.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $QXOβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œQXO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $40,809

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $245/yr
$11.5K
Yr 1
$13.2K
Yr 2
$15.2K
Yr 3
$17.6K
Yr 4
$20.2K
Yr 5
$23.3K
Yr 6
$26.8K
Yr 7
$30.8K
Yr 8
$35.5K
Yr 9
$40.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring QXO)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of QXO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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QXO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.26%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $10.86H $11.38L $10.86C $11.04VOL 15.55M
RES: $11.29SUP: $9.46SMA50: $11.84SMA200: $17.15
$22.06$18.80$15.54$12.29$9.03RES $11.29SUP $9.46$11.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

QXO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QXO today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for QXO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for QXO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (QXO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #932 of 1011 βš”οΈ TSCO vs QXO Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (QXO vs. TSCO, BLDR, FND, BCC)

Industry: RETAIL: Building Materials (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, QXO Inc. (QXO) ranks #932 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #151 by equity capitalization ($11.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLDR leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while TSCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 27.9% ROIC and 36.4% gross margin. TSCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with QXO at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
QXO ACTIVE
QXO Inc.
E 26/100 β€” 23.0% -1.9% -2.99% $11.81B Benchmark Subject
TSCO
Tractor Supply Company
C+ 68/100 16.0x 36.4% 27.9% +0.86% $17.53B /tsco-vs-qxo β†’
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc.
C- 60/100 15.6x 30.4% 8.8% +2.93% $6.79B /bldr-vs-qxo β†’
FND
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 25.7x 43.6% 11.0% -5.46% $5.36B /fnd-vs-qxo β†’
BCC
Boise Cascade L.L.C.
D+ 52/100 20.4x β€” 7.1% +1.26% $2.72B /bcc-vs-qxo β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001236275

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), QXO Inc. (QXO) reported GAAP revenue of $6.84B (+11925.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $56.9M , and +12450.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$279.4M, operating cash flow of $261.4M, and free cash flow of -$46.5M (-154.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, QXO closed FY2025 with $15.89B in total assets against $3.06B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.79, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.84B -$279.4M $261.4M -$46.5M $15.89B $3.06B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $56.9M $28.0M $84.8M $84.7M $5.10B $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $54.5M -$1.1M $584.0K -$1.9M $6.49B $1.52B

3. QXO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is QXO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, QXO Inc. (NYSE: QXO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $11.04 (-2.99% 1D, market cap $11.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, QXO ranks #932 in composite RQD confidence.

How does QXO compare to TSCO and BLDR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), QXO carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 23.0%, and ROIC of -1.9%. By comparison, TSCO (Tractor Supply Company) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 16.0x, ROIC 27.9%, cap $17.53B) and BLDR (Builders FirstSource Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 15.6x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $6.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLDR leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while TSCO leads on capital efficiency (27.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QXO?

Per QXO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001236275), QXO Inc. generated $6.84B in revenue (+11925.0% YoY), -$279.4M in net income, and -$46.5M in free cash flow against $15.89B in total assets and $3.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is QXO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

QXO last traded at $11.04 (-2.99% on volume of 15,896,407 shares), positioning the stock -6.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.84) and -35.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.15). Across its 52-week range of $10.04 to $27.61, QXO sits at the 5.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.0% ($9.72 to $12.36).

QXO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does QXO pay a dividend and is it safe?

QXO Inc. (QXO) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 26/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

QXO β€” QXO Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:15:45Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, QXO scores 26 out of 100, graded E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating and market data, ROIC is -1.9% and FCF yield is -0.39%. The business is not currently converting capital into positive economic returns or free cash flow.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. Specific 13F holder data is not available in source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Individual transaction detail is not available in source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.92 and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 1.79, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.31.

For a prospective investor, the implication is that the rating's weakest components, cash generation and forensic balance sheet quality, sit at the core of the thesis rather than at its margins. Investor implications: the upside case depends on operating earnings and free cash flow turning positive, which the current ROIC, operating margin, and FCF yield do not yet show. Valuation tradeoffs are also visible: the Forward P/E of 31 sits against trailing EPS of -0.27, so pricing embeds expectations the trailing numbers do not yet support. The rating is analytical and educational, not personalized advice.

Business

QXO Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the RETAIL: Building Materials industry, per the company profile. Per the recent news wire, the company completed a $17B TopBuild deal that pushed annual revenue past $16B. Per the market data, gross margin is 23%. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$6842.2M$-245.2M$-279.4MN/A$-46.5M$2362.0M$3057.0M
FY 2024$56.9M$-71.0M$28.0MN/A$84.7M$5068.5M$0.0M
FY 2023$54.5M$-1.3M$-1.1MN/A$-1.9MN/A$1519.5M

Per the market data, operating margin is -3.6% and net margin is -4.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.79 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.31. The FY 2025 revenue step-up relative to prior periods is reported in the financials table but its drivers are not detailed in source data. Profitability remains negative across the reported FY 2025 period, and the balance sheet shows cash of $2362.0M against debt of $3057.0M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • TopBuild acquisition completion: Per the news wire, QXO completed a $17B TopBuild deal, pushing annual revenue past $16B. This is the most material catalyst in the source data; its effect on future margins and cash flow is not quantified in source data.
  • Earnings-scale question: Per the news wire, a Yahoo Finance report asks whether scale can translate into earnings. This is an open question in the sources, not a resolved fact.
  • Valuation criticism: Per the news wire, a Seeking Alpha report is titled "Paying Too Much To Grow."
  • Negative price action: Per the news wire, multiple reports cover the stock sliding and reaching 52-week lows. The current price of 11.38 is up 4.79% on the day per the market data, within a 52-week range of $10.04 - $27.61.
  • Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signal links are recorded. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this brief cannot identify specific supplier or customer concentrations. Given the company's classification in building materials retail and its recent large acquisition, 2nd-order exposure to construction and housing activity is a logical area of inquiry, but the source data does not quantify it.

Open Questions

  • When will operating income and free cash flow turn positive, given FY 2025 operating income of $-245.2M and FCF of $-46.5M?
  • How much of the reported FY 2025 revenue growth is attributable to the TopBuild acquisition versus organic activity?
  • What are the terms, financing structure, and integration costs of the $17B TopBuild transaction, and how do they affect the $3057.0M debt position?
  • What is the basis for the 31 forward P/E given trailing EPS of -0.27?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, since holder and analyst data are absent?

QXO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for QXO Inc. (QXO) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to QXO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟑 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool β€’ 15h ago
Why QXO Sank Today

The Motley Fool report covering QXO Inc. (QXO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

QXO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $11.04?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON QXO 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on QXO:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.01 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is QXO (E β€’ RQD 26/100) a Buy at $11.38?

Welcome to the QXO (QXO Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 26/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in RETAIL: Building Materials. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.10 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $11.38

Pump the brakes on QXO β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on QXO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 23.0% gross margins. Unless QXO Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.57 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $11.38

QXO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on QXO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in RETAIL: Building Materials and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.38 (52-wk range $10.04 - $27.61), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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