VLO (69) EQNR (74) MPC (70) SU (72) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Phillips 66 (PSX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$282.83 +3.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $284.01

Phillips 66 (PSX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $106.73B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PSX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PSX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $282.83 (+3.37% 1D, market cap $106.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PSX ranks #111 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PSX compare to VLO and EQNR in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), PSX carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.2x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, VLO (Valero Energy Corporation) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 45.7x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $107.25B) and EQNR (Equinor ASA) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $118.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSX?

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Per PSX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534701), Phillips 66 generated $132.38B in revenue (-7.5% YoY), $4.40B in net income, and -$994.9M in free cash flow against $73.68B in total assets and $19.55B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $284.02 (+0.42%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PSX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PSX SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$292.73-0.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$291.03-7.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$268.53+5.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$282.83-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PSX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, PSX faces multiple-compression risk if 24.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($267.50) or 200D SMA ($200.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($280.28) toward Bear Floor ($218.62).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PSX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PSX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.6%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PSX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PSX.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PSX)

✓Walkthrough of PSX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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PSX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +58.47%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $273.8H $282.8L $273.6C $282.8VOL 3.17M

RES: $311.5SUP: $271.6SMA50: $267.5SMA200: $200.3

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PSX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PSX Butterfly Map → + Track PSX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PSX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PSX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PSX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PSX)

Energy Rank #111 of 211 ⚔️ VLO vs PSX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PSX vs. VLO, EQNR, MPC, SU)

Industry: Integrated oil Companies (15 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Phillips 66 (PSX) ranks #111 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #14 by equity capitalization ($106.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PSX leads on earnings valuation at 24.2x trailing P/E, while MPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 10.0% gross margin. EQNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with PSX at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PSX ACTIVE Phillips 66	D+	56/100	24.2x	12.3%	9.2%	+3.37%	$106.73B	Benchmark Subject
VLO Valero Energy Corporation	C+	69/100	45.7x	—	8.2%	+3.92%	$107.25B	/vlo-vs-psx →
EQNR Equinor ASA	B	74/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+2.46%	$118.96B	/eqnr-vs-psx →
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation	B-	70/100	30.0x	10.0%	16.9%	+2.83%	$121.46B	/mpc-vs-psx →
SU Suncor Energy Inc.	B	72/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+2.31%	$90.80B	/su-vs-psx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001534701

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Phillips 66 (PSX) reported GAAP revenue of $132.38B (-7.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $143.15B , and -10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.40B, operating cash flow of $4.96B, and free cash flow of -$994.9M (+55.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PSX closed FY2025 with $73.68B in total assets against $19.55B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.21, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$132.38B	$4.40B	$4.96B	-$994.9M	$73.68B	$19.55B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$143.15B	$2.12B	$4.19B	-$2.25B	$72.58B	$19.85B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$147.40B	$7.01B	$7.03B	$396.0M	$176.88B	$41.39B

3. PSX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PSX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PSX compare to VLO and EQNR in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSX?

Where is PSX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PSX last traded at $282.83 (+3.37% on volume of 3,682,795 shares), positioning the stock +5.73% above its 50-day simple moving average ($267.50) and +41.23% above its 200-day simple moving average ($200.26). Across its 52-week range of $127.16 to $299.39, PSX sits at the 90.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($264.16 to $301.50).

PSX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PSX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for PSX.

Direct Sub-Reports: PSX RQD Cockpit PSX 12M Forecast PSX Earnings & Move PSX Dividends & DRIP PSX Insiders & 13F PSX Whale Options PSX Profit Sankey PSX News & Why

Sector Peer Dials

Compare →

VLO C+

Valero Energy Corporation

Marathon Petroleum Corporation

PSX Core Snapshot

Market Cap $106.73B

Trailing / Fwd P/E 24.2x / 22.5x

Gross Profit Margin 12.3%

Return on Capital (ROIC) 9.2%

Free Cash Flow Yield -0.93%

12M Base Price Target $280.28

FREE TRADER TOOLS

Own PSX Alongside Other Stocks? Run a 30-Second Crash X-Ray

Drop 3–5 tickers into our live Portfolio X-Ray to spot hidden accounting time-bombs and see your composite RQD dial.

⚡ X-Ray My Portfolio With PSX → 🏆 Trade PSX in $100K Prop Arena →

PSX Wire

Why It Moved →

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance • 5h ago

Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know

Peer / Ecosystem Wire TradingView • 8h ago

Here's Why You Should Add Phillips 66 Stock to Your Portfolio Now

Direct Company Event TradingKey • 11h ago

Phillips 66 Stock (PSX) Moved Up by 3.40% on Oct 13: Drivers Behind the Movement

Peer / Ecosystem Wire 24/7 Wall St. • 14h ago

Phillips 66 Stock Is Up 133%. Can Its Dividend Keep Growing?

Peer / Ecosystem Wire Seeking Alpha • 17h ago

Phillips 66: Momentum Makes Waiting Hard

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PSX — Phillips 66: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:42Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PSX scores 56 out of 100, a D+ grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9 / 20 (ROIC 9.2%; FCF yield -0.93%), Whale 13F Flow at 16 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9 / 20 (Beta 1.09; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14 / 20 (Altman Z 4.21; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.63).

The weakest pillars are cash generation and macro fit, while institutional positioning and balance-sheet forensics are the relative strengths. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the key implication is a tradeoff: the balance sheet screens as sound, but the reported free cash flow yield is negative and the valuation is elevated relative to the reported earnings base (P/E TTM 24.2). Upside drivers would need to come from a durable improvement in free cash flow generation; valuation risk is present if earnings or cash flow do not keep pace with the current price, which sits near the upper part of the stated 52-week range.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$273.61	$106.73B	24.2	22.5	11.9	11.29	1.8%	1.09	$127.16 - $299.39	9.2%

Business

Phillips 66 (PSX) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under the Integrated oil Companies industry, per the company profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reports revenue in the tens of billions of dollars annually, with FY 2025 revenue of $132376.0M. The source data does not provide a product-by-product or customer-by-customer breakdown of how the company earns revenue.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$132376.0M	$5195.5M	$4403.0M	N/A	$-994.9M	$1116.0M	$19547.5M
FY 2024	$143153.0M	$2498.1M	$2117.0M	N/A	$-2250.9M	$1738.0M	$19853.5M
FY 2023	$147399.0M	$8277.7M	$7015.0M	N/A	$396.0M	N/A	$41389.6M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $147399.0M in FY 2023 to $132376.0M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $7015.0M to $4403.0M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 12.3%, operating margin 4.1%, and net margin 3.3%, with ROIC at 9.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.21 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.63. Reported free cash flow was negative in both FY 2025 and FY 2024, and the FCF yield is -0.93%.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference PSX. Two are tagged RISK WATCH with red signal lights: a Yahoo Finance piece on the stock falling amid a market uptick, and a Yahoo Finance piece noting the stock "May Be 42% Undervalued As Strike Risks Loom." The remaining four are tagged MARKET WIRE with yellow lights, covering a TradingView piece on adding the stock to a portfolio, a TradingKey piece on a 3.40% move on Oct 13, a 24/7 Wall St. piece on a 133% gain and dividend growth, and a Seeking Alpha piece on momentum. The feed does not provide the underlying article text, so the specific drivers behind these headlines are not available in source data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What are the specific strike risks referenced in the news feed, and which operations or labor groups do they affect?
What is the reported EPS for each fiscal period, given that EPS is marked N/A in the FY 2023 to FY 2025 financials?
What explains the negative free cash flow in FY 2024 and FY 2025 relative to positive operating income?
What is the drivers breakdown behind the 133% gain and the 42% undervaluation claim cited in the news feed?
What is the sector and macro context for the Beta 1.09 and the institutional and insider flow scores in the RQD pillars?

PSX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Phillips 66 (PSX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PSX Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 5h ago

Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know

Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 8h ago

Here's Why You Should Add Phillips 66 Stock to Your Portfolio Now

TradingView report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 11h ago

Phillips 66 Stock (PSX) Moved Up by 3.40% on Oct 13: Drivers Behind the Movement

TradingKey report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE 24/7 Wall St. • 14h ago

Phillips 66 Stock Is Up 133%. Can Its Dividend Keep Growing?

24/7 Wall St. report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 17h ago

Phillips 66: Momentum Makes Waiting Hard

Seeking Alpha report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock May Be 42% Undervalued As Strike Risks Loom

Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Valero (VLO) vs Phillips 66 (PSX): Which is a Better Stock to Buy?

Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Earnings Preview: What to Expect From Phillips 66's Report

Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PSX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $282.83?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PSX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $295.50 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PSX (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $273.61?

Welcome to the PSX (Phillips 66) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Integrated oil Companies. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $218.89 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $273.61

Pump the brakes on PSX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PSX, but look at what you are paying: 24.2x trailing P/E with 12.3% gross margins. Unless Phillips 66 expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $322.86 (+18.0%)

Spot @ $273.61

PSX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PSX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Integrated oil Companies and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $273.61 (52-wk range $127.16 - $299.39), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.