Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why PSX Stock surged +3.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Phillips 66 (PSX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is PSX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $282.83 (+3.37% 1D, market cap $106.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PSX ranks #111 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does PSX compare to VLO and EQNR in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), PSX carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.2x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, VLO (Valero Energy Corporation) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 45.7x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $107.25B) and EQNR (Equinor ASA) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $118.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSX?
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Per PSX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534701), Phillips 66 generated $132.38B in revenue (-7.5% YoY), $4.40B in net income, and -$994.9M in free cash flow against $73.68B in total assets and $19.55B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.6% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 4.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PSX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, PSX faces multiple-compression risk if 24.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($267.50) or 200D SMA ($200.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($280.28) toward Bear Floor ($218.62).
Why PSX Stock surged +3.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Phillips 66 (PSX) surged +3.37% to $282.83, trading at 90% of its 52-week range ($127.16 – $299.39). Stretched risk/reward at 24x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 90% of its 52-week range ($127.16 – $299.39) with RSI-14 at 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.6% around $282.83 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 12.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) is scheduled to report its earnings on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. The company has a market value of about $128.5 billion. Over the last twelve months it generated $153.6 billion in revenue a
Good things could be on the horizon when a stock surpasses the 20-day simple moving average. How should investors react?
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PSX)
- ✓Walkthrough of PSX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
PSX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -7.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PSX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PSX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PSX)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PSX vs. VLO, EQNR, MPC, SU)
Industry: Integrated oil Companies (15 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Phillips 66 (PSX) ranks #111 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #14 by equity capitalization ($106.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PSX leads on earnings valuation at 24.2x trailing P/E, while MPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 10.0% gross margin. EQNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with PSX at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSX
ACTIVE
Phillips 66 | D+ | 56/100 | 24.2x | 12.3% | 9.2% | +3.37% | $106.73B | Benchmark Subject |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | C+ | 69/100 | 45.7x | — | 8.2% | +3.92% | $107.25B | /vlo-vs-psx → |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | B | 74/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +2.46% | $118.96B | /eqnr-vs-psx → |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | B- | 70/100 | 30.0x | 10.0% | 16.9% | +2.83% | $121.46B | /mpc-vs-psx → |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | B | 72/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +2.31% | $90.80B | /su-vs-psx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001534701In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Phillips 66 (PSX) reported GAAP revenue of $132.38B (-7.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $143.15B , and -10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.40B, operating cash flow of $4.96B, and free cash flow of -$994.9M (+55.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PSX closed FY2025 with $73.68B in total assets against $19.55B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.21, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $132.38B | $4.40B | $4.96B | -$994.9M | $73.68B | $19.55B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $143.15B | $2.12B | $4.19B | -$2.25B | $72.58B | $19.85B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $147.40B | $7.01B | $7.03B | $396.0M | $176.88B | $41.39B |
3. PSX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PSX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $282.83 (+3.37% 1D, market cap $106.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PSX ranks #111 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PSX compare to VLO and EQNR in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), PSX carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.2x, gross margin of 12.3%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, VLO (Valero Energy Corporation) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 45.7x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $107.25B) and EQNR (Equinor ASA) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $118.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PSX leads on earnings multiple (24.2x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PSX?
Per PSX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534701), Phillips 66 generated $132.38B in revenue (-7.5% YoY), $4.40B in net income, and -$994.9M in free cash flow against $73.68B in total assets and $19.55B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PSX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PSX last traded at $282.83 (+3.37% on volume of 3,682,795 shares), positioning the stock +5.73% above its 50-day simple moving average ($267.50) and +41.23% above its 200-day simple moving average ($200.26). Across its 52-week range of $127.16 to $299.39, PSX sits at the 90.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($264.16 to $301.50).
PSX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is PSX stock moving today?
Why PSX Stock surged +3.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 24x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
PSX — Phillips 66: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, PSX scores 56 out of 100, a D+ grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 9 / 20 (ROIC 9.2%; FCF yield -0.93%), Whale 13F Flow at 16 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9 / 20 (Beta 1.09; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14 / 20 (Altman Z 4.21; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.63).
The weakest pillars are cash generation and macro fit, while institutional positioning and balance-sheet forensics are the relative strengths. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the key implication is a tradeoff: the balance sheet screens as sound, but the reported free cash flow yield is negative and the valuation is elevated relative to the reported earnings base (P/E TTM 24.2). Upside drivers would need to come from a durable improvement in free cash flow generation; valuation risk is present if earnings or cash flow do not keep pace with the current price, which sits near the upper part of the stated 52-week range.
Snapshot
Business
Phillips 66 (PSX) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under the Integrated oil Companies industry, per the company profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reports revenue in the tens of billions of dollars annually, with FY 2025 revenue of $132376.0M. The source data does not provide a product-by-product or customer-by-customer breakdown of how the company earns revenue.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $132376.0M | $5195.5M | $4403.0M | N/A | $-994.9M | $1116.0M | $19547.5M |
| FY 2024 | $143153.0M | $2498.1M | $2117.0M | N/A | $-2250.9M | $1738.0M | $19853.5M |
| FY 2023 | $147399.0M | $8277.7M | $7015.0M | N/A | $396.0M | N/A | $41389.6M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $147399.0M in FY 2023 to $132376.0M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $7015.0M to $4403.0M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 12.3%, operating margin 4.1%, and net margin 3.3%, with ROIC at 9.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.21 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.63. Reported free cash flow was negative in both FY 2025 and FY 2024, and the FCF yield is -0.93%.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, six items reference PSX. Two are tagged RISK WATCH with red signal lights: a Yahoo Finance piece on the stock falling amid a market uptick, and a Yahoo Finance piece noting the stock "May Be 42% Undervalued As Strike Risks Loom." The remaining four are tagged MARKET WIRE with yellow lights, covering a TradingView piece on adding the stock to a portfolio, a TradingKey piece on a 3.40% move on Oct 13, a 24/7 Wall St. piece on a 133% gain and dividend growth, and a Seeking Alpha piece on momentum. The feed does not provide the underlying article text, so the specific drivers behind these headlines are not available in source data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the specific strike risks referenced in the news feed, and which operations or labor groups do they affect?
- What is the reported EPS for each fiscal period, given that EPS is marked N/A in the FY 2023 to FY 2025 financials?
- What explains the negative free cash flow in FY 2024 and FY 2025 relative to positive operating income?
- What is the drivers breakdown behind the 133% gain and the 42% undervaluation claim cited in the news feed?
- What is the sector and macro context for the Beta 1.09 and the institutional and insider flow scores in the RQD pillars?
PSX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Phillips 66 (PSX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Phillips 66 (PSX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PSX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $282.83?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PSX (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $273.61?
Welcome to the PSX (Phillips 66) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Integrated oil Companies. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on PSX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PSX, but look at what you are paying: 24.2x trailing P/E with 12.3% gross margins. Unless Phillips 66 expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
PSX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PSX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Integrated oil Companies and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $273.61 (52-wk range $127.16 - $299.39), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.