Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$51.93 -11.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.74

Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.54B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PENG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Penguin Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PENG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $51.93 (-11.67% 1D, market cap $3.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PENG ranks #208 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PENG compare to ENPH and OSIS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), PENG carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.5x, gross margin of 28.8%, and ROIC of 12.4%. By comparison, ENPH (Enphase Energy Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 19.9x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $3.42B) and OSIS (OSI Systems Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 21.9x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $3.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENPH leads on earnings multiple (19.9x) while PENG leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PENG?
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Per PENG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-29, CIK 0001616533), Penguin Solutions Inc. generated $1.37B in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $25.4M in net income, and $100.1M in free cash flow against $1.60B in total assets and $442.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.74 (-2.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (13)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$94 Bull$53 Base$41 Bear
📬 FREE PENG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PENG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PENG SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.61 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.3% FCF Margin ($100.1M FCF) & 28.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$78.20-28% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$56.32+4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$58.99-12% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$51.93+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PENG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, PENG faces multiple-compression risk if 139.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 140x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($56.49) or 200D SMA ($44.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($52.86) toward Bear Floor ($41.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PENG• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PENG Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Nov 27, 2026 (~24 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$6.49 Expected Swing
$45.44 (-12.5%)Spot $51.93$58.42 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

PENG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 62/100

Trailing EPS: $0.42 • YoY Revenue Growth: 16.9%

Model Bullish Setup (62/100)Model Risk Weight (38/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-08-29$1.37B$25.4M$100.1M28.8%
FY 20242024-08-30$1.17B-$52.5M$57.8M29.1%
FY 20232023-08-25$1.44B-$187.5M$39.5M28.8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating PENG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on PENG
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PENG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +60.28%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $60.80H $60.80L $51.93C $51.93VOL 1.62M
RES: $85.99SUP: $50.96SMA50: $56.49SMA200: $44.38
$94.61$74.92$55.22$35.52$15.83RES $85.99SUP $50.96$51.932026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PENG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PENG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PENG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PENG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PENG)

Technology Rank #208 of 714 ⚔️ ENPH vs PENG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PENG vs. ENPH, OSIS, IPGP, AXTI)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) ranks #208 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #239 by equity capitalization ($3.54B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ENPH leads on earnings valuation at 19.9x trailing P/E, while PENG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.4% ROIC and 28.8% gross margin. PENG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PENG ACTIVE
Penguin Solutions Inc.
C 62/100 139.5x 28.8% 12.4% -11.67% $3.54B Benchmark Subject
ENPH
Enphase Energy Inc.
D 44/100 19.9x 46.6% 10.5% -0.81% $3.42B /enph-vs-peng →
OSIS
OSI Systems Inc.
D+ 55/100 21.9x 34.3% 11.4% -4.19% $3.27B /osis-vs-peng →
IPGP
IPG Photonics Corporation
E 31/100 103.5x 38.0% 0.6% -4.11% $3.22B /ipgp-vs-peng →
AXTI
AXT Inc
D- 38/100 — 12.7% -5.4% -9.56% $3.99B /axti-vs-peng →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-29 • CIK 0001616533

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-29), Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.37B (+16.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.17B , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.4M, operating cash flow of $109.1M, and free cash flow of $100.1M (+73.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PENG closed FY2025 with $1.60B in total assets against $442.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.61, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-29 $1.37B $25.4M $109.1M $100.1M $1.60B $442.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-30 $1.17B -$52.5M $77.2M $57.8M $1.58B $658.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-25 $1.44B -$187.5M $104.4M $39.5M $1.95B $455.8M

3. PENG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PENG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Penguin Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PENG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $51.93 (-11.67% 1D, market cap $3.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PENG ranks #208 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PENG compare to ENPH and OSIS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), PENG carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.5x, gross margin of 28.8%, and ROIC of 12.4%. By comparison, ENPH (Enphase Energy Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 19.9x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $3.42B) and OSIS (OSI Systems Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 21.9x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $3.27B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENPH leads on earnings multiple (19.9x) while PENG leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PENG?

Per PENG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-29, CIK 0001616533), Penguin Solutions Inc. generated $1.37B in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $25.4M in net income, and $100.1M in free cash flow against $1.60B in total assets and $442.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PENG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PENG last traded at $51.93 (-11.67% on volume of 2,448,815 shares), positioning the stock -8.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($56.49) and +17.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.38). Across its 52-week range of $16.04 to $89.86, PENG sits at the 48.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($45.44 to $58.42).

PENG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is PENG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Nov 27, 2026.

How much is PENG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for PENG, spanning a range between $45.44 and $58.42.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PENG — Penguin Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PENG scores 62 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, this reflects ROIC of 12.4% and an FCF yield of 2.83%. The return on invested capital is a constructive signal, while a 2.83% FCF yield indicates the cash generated relative to the market price is modest, which is a valuation tradeoff.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 13 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is mid-range, meaning the institutional signal is present but not decisive.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is below midpoint, suggesting insider-side conviction is a weaker support for the thesis.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, this reflects Beta of 1.3 and sector sensitivity. This is the lowest pillar, indicating the stock's amplified sensitivity to market swings is a meaningful headwind in risk-off regimes.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, this reflects Altman Z of 3.61, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.14. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is a relative source of resilience.

Taken together, the pillar profile describes a balance sheet that is comparatively sound, offset by a stock that carries high market sensitivity and a valuation that the cash-yield metrics do not strongly support. For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are the ROIC and balance-sheet strength; the valuation tradeoff is the elevated P/E and modest FCF yield against a 1.3 beta. This is an analytical framing of the rating, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
58.79$3.54B139.5117.253.50.420%1.3$16.04 - $89.8612.4%

Business

Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry, per the company profile. Per the market data, its gross margin is 28.8%, operating margin 4.2%, and net margin 1.9%. Not available in source data: a detailed description of specific products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1368.8M$58.1M$25.4MN/A$100.1M$461.5M$442.3M
FY 2024$1170.8M$18.3M$-52.5MN/A$57.8M$370.3M$658.1M
FY 2023$1441.2M$8.7M$-187.5MN/A$39.5MN/A$455.8M

Per the SEC financials, operating income rose from $8.7M in FY 2023 to $58.1M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $-187.5M to $25.4M over the same span. Per the market data, ROIC is 12.4%, and per the RQD forensic pillar, Altman Z is 3.61 and Piotroski F is 7/9. Per the same pillar, Debt/Equity is 1.14, and reported debt declined from $658.1M in FY 2024 to $442.3M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six headlines reference PENG. Three carry a GREEN "CATALYST" tag and reference an AI-driven beat-and-raise, a strong Q4 beat with guidance, and a blowout Q4; one carries a GREEN tag and references explosive AI growth at a low valuation. Two carry YELLOW "MARKET WIRE" tags: one previewing Q3 earnings expectations, and one reporting strong Q3 results alongside rising inventory levels. The inventory headline is the principal risk watch item, as it flags a working-capital consideration alongside the otherwise favorable earnings coverage. Headline sentiment should be treated as descriptive of coverage rather than verified fact. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific products and customers drive the reported revenue, given that the source data provides only sector and industry classification?
  • What is the source of the inventory increase flagged in the Q3 coverage, and how does it bear on working capital and cash flow?
  • Given the P/E of 139.5 and FCF yield of 2.83%, what growth trajectory is required to justify the current valuation?
  • How does the reported FY 2025 net income of $25.4M reconcile with the EPS of 0.42 (TTM) and the absence of reported EPS in the periodic financials?
  • What is the composition of the 13F institutional holdings and options positioning that underpins the whale-flow pillar?

PENG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PENG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PENG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $51.93?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PENG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PENG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $63.49 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PENG (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $58.79?

Welcome to the PENG (Penguin Solutions Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (139.5x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $49.38 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $58.79

Pump the brakes on PENG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PENG, but look at what you are paying: 139.5x trailing P/E with 28.8% gross margins. Unless Penguin Solutions Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $69.96 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $58.79

PENG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PENG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $58.79 (52-wk range $16.04 - $89.86), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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