Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$80.13 -8.76% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.71

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.04B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DIOD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DIOD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Diodes Incorporated (NASDAQ: DIOD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $80.13 (-8.76% 1D, market cap $4.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, DIOD ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DIOD compare to AXTI and KLIC in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), DIOD carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 61.1x, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 1.9%. By comparison, AXTI (AXT Inc) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.4%, cap $3.99B) and KLIC (Kulicke and Soffa Industries Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $4.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DIOD leads on earnings multiple (61.1x) while PENG leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIOD?
▼

Per DIOD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000029002), Diodes Incorporated generated $1.48B in revenue (+13.0% YoY), $66.1M in net income, and $137.2M in free cash flow against $2.45B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.71 (-1.77%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 9.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (9)SEC (18)Macro (13)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$132 Bull$82 Base$64 Bear
📬 FREE DIOD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DIOD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DIOD SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.84 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.3% FCF Margin ($137.2M FCF) & 31.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$94.94-12.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$82.85-2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$81.07-1.2% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$80.13+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DIOD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, DIOD faces multiple-compression risk if 61.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 61x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($91.42) or 200D SMA ($87.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($81.93) toward Bear Floor ($63.91).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DIOD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DIOD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
38.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
5.84>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE45% OF RANGE
L: $42$80.13H: $126
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (31% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on DIOD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

1.9% ROIC with 31.2% gross margin and 3.39% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 5.84 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (52)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DIOD
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Priced at 61x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DIOD Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DIOD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $82.10H $83.41L $77.44C $80.13VOL 597.2K
RES: $111.2SUP: $51.41SMA50: $91.42SMA200: $87.93
$130.7$111.3$91.92$72.55$53.18RES $111.2SUP $51.41$80.132026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DIOD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
41.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DIOD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DIOD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DIOD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DIOD)

Technology Rank #196 of 714 ⚔️ AXTI vs DIOD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (DIOD vs. AXTI, KLIC, PENG, SYNA)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) ranks #196 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #226 by equity capitalization ($4.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DIOD leads on earnings valuation at 61.1x trailing P/E, while PENG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.4% ROIC and 28.8% gross margin. KLIC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with DIOD at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DIOD ACTIVE
Diodes Incorporated
C 63/100 61.1x 31.2% 1.9% -8.76% $4.04B Benchmark Subject
AXTI
AXT Inc
D- 38/100 — 12.7% -5.4% -9.56% $3.99B /axti-vs-diod →
KLIC
Kulicke and Soffa Industries Inc.
C+ 66/100 — 42.5% -0.5% -6.86% $4.17B /klic-vs-diod →
PENG
Penguin Solutions Inc.
C 62/100 139.5x 28.8% 12.4% -11.67% $3.54B /peng-vs-diod →
SYNA
Synaptics Incorporated $0.001 Par Value
C- 61/100 — 44.7% -3.0% -0.04% $4.68B /syna-vs-diod →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000029002

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.48B (+13.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.31B , and -10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $66.1M, operating cash flow of $215.5M, and free cash flow of $137.2M (+195.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DIOD closed FY2025 with $2.45B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.84, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.48B $66.1M $215.5M $137.2M $2.45B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.31B $44.0M $119.4M $46.4M $2.39B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.66B $227.2M $280.9M $280.9M — —

3. DIOD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DIOD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Diodes Incorporated (NASDAQ: DIOD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $80.13 (-8.76% 1D, market cap $4.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, DIOD ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DIOD compare to AXTI and KLIC in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), DIOD carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 61.1x, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 1.9%. By comparison, AXTI (AXT Inc) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.4%, cap $3.99B) and KLIC (Kulicke and Soffa Industries Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $4.17B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DIOD leads on earnings multiple (61.1x) while PENG leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIOD?

Per DIOD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000029002), Diodes Incorporated generated $1.48B in revenue (+13.0% YoY), $66.1M in net income, and $137.2M in free cash flow against $2.45B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DIOD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DIOD last traded at $80.13 (-8.76% on volume of 597,428 shares), positioning the stock -12.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($91.42) and -8.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($87.93). Across its 52-week range of $42.28 to $125.99, DIOD sits at the 45.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.0% ($72.12 to $88.14).

DIOD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DIOD stock right now?

Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 31% profit margin (2% return on capital), mixed timing at 61x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is DIOD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DIOD's 12-month base price target is $81.93 (range $63.91 to $132.29), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DIOD — Diodes Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 63 out of 100, letter grade C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward," per the Roarable RQD rating. Across its five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 1.9% and an FCF yield of 3.39%. For an investor, low ROIC alongside a modest FCF yield suggests the business currently converts capital into returns slowly, and the stock's valuation depends heavily on future earnings growth rather than present cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, indicating institutional positioning is not a strong tailwind in the current source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The below-midpoint score indicates insider activity does not provide a clear conviction signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. An investor should understand the stock tends to move in line with the broader market, so macro conditions affecting semiconductors will influence it directly.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 5.84, Piotroski F is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the balance sheet is a relative strength.

Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose balance sheet is comparatively sound while its cash returns, institutional support, and insider signals are weaker. Valuation is a central tradeoff: per the market data, the trailing P/E is 61.1 and the forward P/E is 51.3, which implies the market is pricing in substantial earnings improvement. The 52-week range of $42.28 to $125.99 shows high volatility, and the current price of $80.13 sits well below the upper end of that range. Upside depends on margin recovery and returns improving toward levels that justify the multiple; downside risk rests on that recovery failing to materialize. This is an analytical framing, not a personalized recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
80.13$4.04B61.151.3361.440%1.0$42.28 - $125.991.9%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Market-wire items (YELLOW): Multiple YELLOW-flagged headlines from Yahoo Finance, TradingView, and MarketBeat report on DIOD market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts, with no specifics provided in the source summaries.
  • Risk Watch (RED): A MarketBeat item reports the stock fell 7.9%, flagged RED under RISK WATCH.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): Two GREEN-flagged CATALYST items: one notes the stock slipped 4.42% to $86.71 as shares pulled back toward lower support, and another reports fair value rising after analysts lifted growth and margin views.
  • Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's debt levels and EPS figures, which are listed as N/A or unavailable in the reported periods?
  • What explains the gap between FY 2023 earnings and the FY 2024 and FY 2025 results, and what is driving the decline in operating income in FY 2025?
  • What is the analyst consensus and price target range, given that the analyst data section is empty?
  • What are the upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and product-level revenue drivers, given the supply chain graph is unpopulated?
  • What specific events drove the recent 7.9% decline and the 4.42% pullback, and are those tied to fundamental or sector-level causes?

DIOD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Diodes Incorporated (DIOD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DIOD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DIOD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $80.13?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DIOD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DIOD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $86.54 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DIOD (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $80.13?

Welcome to the DIOD (Diodes Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (61.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $62.50 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $80.13

Pump the brakes on DIOD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DIOD, but look at what you are paying: 61.1x trailing P/E with 31.2% gross margins. Unless Diodes Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $96.16 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $80.13

DIOD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DIOD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $80.13 (52-wk range $42.28 - $125.99), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%