What is PACK's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for PACK.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PACK / options

OI (37) GPK (54) DSY (33) SON (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.15 -0.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.14

Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $272.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (NYSE: PACK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.15 (-0.94% 1D, market cap $272.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PACK ranks #777 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PACK compare to OI and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), PACK carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -2.2%. By comparison, OI (O-I Glass Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $788.2M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while SON leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACK?

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Per PACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712463), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) generated $332.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$38.3M in net income, and $23.1M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $396.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.14 (-0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 6.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PACK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PACK SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.9% FCF Margin ($23.1M FCF) & 39.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$3.53-4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$3.39+17.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.97-20.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$3.15-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PACK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PACK currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.00) and Max Pain ($3.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PACK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PACK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (PACK)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for PACK.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PACK)

✓Walkthrough of PACK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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PACK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -46.70%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $3.40H $3.40L $3.15C $3.15VOL 829.6K

RES: $3.78SUP: $2.99SMA50: $4.00SMA200: $5.11

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PACK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PACK Butterfly Map → + Track PACK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PACK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PACK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PACK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PACK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #777 of 1009 ⚔️ OI vs PACK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PACK vs. OI, GPK, DSY, SON)

Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) ranks #777 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #653 by equity capitalization ($272.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while SON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 20.9% gross margin. GPK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with PACK at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PACK ACTIVE Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	39.3%	-2.2%	-0.94%	$272.8M	Benchmark Subject
OI O-I Glass Inc.	D-	37/100	—	17.3%	-10.0%	+1.56%	$788.2M	/oi-vs-pack →
GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company	D+	54/100	5.9x	18.2%	7.8%	+4.25%	$2.65B	/gpk-vs-pack →
DSY Big Tree Cloud Holdings Limited (Class A)	E	33/100	—	53.8%	—	+2.20%	$15.1M	/dsy-vs-pack →
SON Sonoco Products Company	D+	52/100	4.9x	20.9%	11.4%	+0.50%	$4.94B	/son-vs-pack →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001712463 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) reported GAAP revenue of $332.7M (+5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $315.5M , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$38.3M, operating cash flow of $23.1M, and free cash flow of $23.1M (-44.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PACK closed FY2025 with $1.12B in total assets against $396.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.37, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$332.7M	-$38.3M	$23.1M	$23.1M	$1.12B	$396.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$315.5M	-$21.5M	$41.4M	$41.4M	$1.10B	$400.8M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$284.8M	-$27.1M	$52.6M	$52.6M	—	—

3. PACK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PACK compare to OI and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACK?

Where is PACK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PACK last traded at $3.15 (-0.94% on volume of 1,707,347 shares), positioning the stock -21.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.00) and -38.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.11). Across its 52-week range of $3.05 to $7.81, PACK sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.76 to $3.54).

Direct Sub-Reports: PACK RQD Cockpit PACK 12M Forecast PACK Earnings & Move PACK Dividends & DRIP PACK Insiders & 13F PACK Whale Options PACK Profit Sankey PACK News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PACK — Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.15 (-0.94% 1D, market capitalization $272.8M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -2.2%, gross margin of 39.3%, operating margin of -7.3%, and free cash flow yield of 7.92%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.37, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.74x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Containers/Packaging industry,. The sector and industry classification is the primary descriptor available in the source data. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix are — The company's reported revenue appears in the financial trend section below. The gross margin of 39.3% per the market data indicates the company retains a portion of revenue after cost of goods sold.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) reported $332.7M in annual revenue (up from $315.5M in FY2024, +5.5% YoY) and -$38.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($284.8M revenue, -$27.1M net income) through FY2025, PACK scaled operating cash flow to $23.1M and free cash flow to $23.1M, backed by $1.12B in total assets against $396.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 36/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 7.92% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.05 – $7.81 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against -7.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are mapped. The butterfly_links and proprietary_signals fields are empty. Upstream supplier relationships, downstream customer concentration, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are — The sector classification (Consumer Discretionary / Containers/Packaging) is the only structural context available. A prospective investor should monitor whether the third-quarter loss and debt concerns referenced in the news wire propagate into refinancing terms, given reported debt of $396.4M against cash of $63.

Key Question #1: Can PACK sustain or expand its -7.3% operating margin and -2.2% ROIC against Containers/Packaging peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $332.7M and free cash flow of $23.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $396.4M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is PACK's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PACK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PACK Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Ranpak (PACK) Stock Price Faces Debt Questions After Q3 Results

Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

What Ranpak (PACK) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Ranpak (PACK) Stock Price Slides As Q3 Results Leave Losses Unsettled

Simply Wall St report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Automation revenue at Ranpak rose 22.7% to $14.6 million

Stock Titan report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH kalkine.ca • 1d ago

Why Is Ranpak (NYSE:PACK) Penny Stock Down 15% Today After a Third-Quarter Revenue and EPS Miss?

kalkine.ca report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Ranpak Hldgs Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Benzinga report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago

RANPAK HOLDINGS ($PACK) Releases Q3 2026 Earnings

Quiver Quantitative report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Ranpak Holdings Corp. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PACK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PACK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.78 (+18.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The 7.92% FCF yield and 22.7% automation revenue growth suggest cash generation and a growth segment could support a recovery if losses

Don't sleep on PACK's setup in Consumer Discretionary. The 7.92% FCF yield and 22.7% automation revenue growth suggest cash generation and a growth segment could support a recovery if losses narrow.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (36/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Containers/Packaging. If gross margin (39.3%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.61 (-17.9%)

Spot @ $3.18

A 0.37 Altman Z-Score, -2.2% ROIC, and $396.4M debt against $63.0M cash signal balance-sheet strain amid repeated losses and a Q3 miss.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on PACK: A 0.37 Altman Z-Score, -2.2% ROIC, and $396.4M debt against $63.0M cash signal balance-sheet strain amid repeated losses and a Q3 miss.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Containers/Packaging triggers a 12-15% air pocket.