Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why PACK Stock slipped -0.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is PACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (NYSE: PACK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.15 (-0.94% 1D, market cap $272.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PACK ranks #777 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does PACK compare to OI and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), PACK carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -2.2%. By comparison, OI (O-I Glass Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $788.2M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while SON leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACK?
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Per PACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712463), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) generated $332.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$38.3M in net income, and $23.1M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $396.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.9% FCF Margin ($23.1M FCF) & 39.3% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PACK Turnaround Squeeze
While PACK currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.00) and Max Pain ($3.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.20.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why PACK Stock slipped -0.94% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) slipped -0.94% to $3.15, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.05 – $7.81). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.05 – $7.81) with RSI-14 at 35.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.15 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 39.3% gross margin and $23.1M annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Automation revenue surged 26.9% as margins expanded and North America returned to growth.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PACK)
- ✓Walkthrough of PACK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
PACK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PACK today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PACK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PACK)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PACK vs. OI, GPK, DSY, SON)
Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) ranks #777 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #653 by equity capitalization ($272.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while SON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 20.9% gross margin. GPK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with PACK at 36/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PACK
ACTIVE
Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) | D- | 36/100 | — | 39.3% | -2.2% | -0.94% | $272.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| OI O-I Glass Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | 17.3% | -10.0% | +1.56% | $788.2M | /oi-vs-pack → |
| GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company | D+ | 54/100 | 5.9x | 18.2% | 7.8% | +4.25% | $2.65B | /gpk-vs-pack → |
| DSY Big Tree Cloud Holdings Limited (Class A) | E | 33/100 | — | 53.8% | — | +2.20% | $15.1M | /dsy-vs-pack → |
| SON Sonoco Products Company | D+ | 52/100 | 4.9x | 20.9% | 11.4% | +0.50% | $4.94B | /son-vs-pack → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001712463 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) reported GAAP revenue of $332.7M (+5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $315.5M , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$38.3M, operating cash flow of $23.1M, and free cash flow of $23.1M (-44.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PACK closed FY2025 with $1.12B in total assets against $396.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.37, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $332.7M | -$38.3M | $23.1M | $23.1M | $1.12B | $396.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $315.5M | -$21.5M | $41.4M | $41.4M | $1.10B | $400.8M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $284.8M | -$27.1M | $52.6M | $52.6M | — | — |
3. PACK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs PACK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (NYSE: PACK) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.15 (-0.94% 1D, market cap $272.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PACK ranks #777 in composite RQD confidence.
How does PACK compare to OI and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), PACK carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.3%, and ROIC of -2.2%. By comparison, OI (O-I Glass Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $788.2M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while SON leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PACK?
Per PACK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712463), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) generated $332.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$38.3M in net income, and $23.1M in free cash flow against $1.12B in total assets and $396.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is PACK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
PACK last traded at $3.15 (-0.94% on volume of 1,707,347 shares), positioning the stock -21.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.00) and -38.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.11). Across its 52-week range of $3.05 to $7.81, PACK sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.76 to $3.54).
PACK — Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.15 (-0.94% 1D, market capitalization $272.8M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -2.2%, gross margin of 39.3%, operating margin of -7.3%, and free cash flow yield of 7.92%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.37, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.74x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Containers/Packaging industry,. The sector and industry classification is the primary descriptor available in the source data. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix are — The company's reported revenue appears in the financial trend section below. The gross margin of 39.3% per the market data indicates the company retains a portion of revenue after cost of goods sold.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) reported $332.7M in annual revenue (up from $315.5M in FY2024, +5.5% YoY) and -$38.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($284.8M revenue, -$27.1M net income) through FY2025, PACK scaled operating cash flow to $23.1M and free cash flow to $23.1M, backed by $1.12B in total assets against $396.4M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 36/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 7.92% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.05 – $7.81 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against -7.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are mapped. The butterfly_links and proprietary_signals fields are empty. Upstream supplier relationships, downstream customer concentration, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are — The sector classification (Consumer Discretionary / Containers/Packaging) is the only structural context available. A prospective investor should monitor whether the third-quarter loss and debt concerns referenced in the news wire propagate into refinancing terms, given reported debt of $396.4M against cash of $63.
- Key Question #1: Can PACK sustain or expand its -7.3% operating margin and -2.2% ROIC against Containers/Packaging peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $332.7M and free cash flow of $23.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $396.4M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is PACK's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
PACK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A) (PACK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PACK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.15?
The 7.92% FCF yield and 22.7% automation revenue growth suggest cash generation and a growth segment could support a recovery if losses
Don't sleep on PACK's setup in Consumer Discretionary. The 7.92% FCF yield and 22.7% automation revenue growth suggest cash generation and a growth segment could support a recovery if losses narrow.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (36/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Containers/Packaging. If gross margin (39.3%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
A 0.37 Altman Z-Score, -2.2% ROIC, and $396.4M debt against $63.0M cash signal balance-sheet strain amid repeated losses and a Q3 miss.
Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on PACK: A 0.37 Altman Z-Score, -2.2% ROIC, and $396.4M debt against $63.0M cash signal balance-sheet strain amid repeated losses and a Q3 miss.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Containers/Packaging triggers a 12-15% air pocket.