OSI Systems Inc. (OSIS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$198.90 -0.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $198.43

OSI Systems Inc. (OSIS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.14B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OSIS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, OSI Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: OSIS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $198.90 (-0.27% 1D, market cap $3.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, OSIS ranks #303 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OSIS compare to PENG and IPGP in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), OSIS carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.9x, gross margin of 34.3%, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, PENG (Penguin Solutions Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 139.5x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $3.13B) and IPGP (IPG Photonics Corporation) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 103.5x, ROIC 0.6%, cap $3.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENPH leads on earnings multiple (19.9x) while PENG leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSIS?
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Per OSIS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001039065), OSI Systems Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), $149.6M in net income, and $73.8M in free cash flow against $2.52B in total assets and $998.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $198.42 (-0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 4.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (14)Macro (7)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$327 Bull$194 Base$152 Bear
📬 FREE OSIS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OSIS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OSIS SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.16 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.3% FCF Margin ($73.8M FCF) & 34.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$192.68+2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$196.93+1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$200.67-0.9% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$198.90-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OSIS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OSIS currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($200.15) and Max Pain ($208.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $327.31.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OSIS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OSIS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your OSIS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $198.90: 50.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $151.65
$7,624
$-2,376 (-23.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $194.42
$9,775
$-225 (-2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $327.31
$16,456
+$6,456 (+64.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$20274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$30869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$17358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OSIS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OSIS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OSIS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -29.69%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $208.2H $208.2L $198.9C $198.9VOL 405.3K
RES: $208.5SUP: $192.0SMA50: $200.2SMA200: $236.5
$293.5$264.5$235.5$206.5$177.5RES $208.5SUP $192.0$198.92026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OSIS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSIS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSIS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OSIS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSIS)

Technology Rank #303 of 714 ⚔️ PENG vs OSIS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (OSIS vs. PENG, IPGP, ENPH, AMBA)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OSI Systems Inc. (OSIS) ranks #303 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #246 by equity capitalization ($3.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ENPH leads on earnings valuation at 19.9x trailing P/E, while PENG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.4% ROIC and 28.8% gross margin. PENG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with OSIS at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OSIS ACTIVE
OSI Systems Inc.
D+ 53/100 21.9x 34.3% 11.4% -0.27% $3.14B Benchmark Subject
PENG
Penguin Solutions Inc.
D+ 58/100 139.5x 28.8% 12.4% -8.53% $3.13B /peng-vs-osis →
IPGP
IPG Photonics Corporation
E 29/100 103.5x 38.0% 0.6% +0.44% $3.09B /ipgp-vs-osis →
ENPH
Enphase Energy Inc.
D 44/100 19.9x 46.6% 10.5% +8.89% $3.39B /enph-vs-osis →
AMBA
Ambarella Inc.
D 49/100 — 59.2% -16.1% -2.30% $2.79B /amba-vs-osis →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001039065

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), OSI Systems Inc. (OSIS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.71B (+11.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.54B , and +352.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $149.6M, operating cash flow of $97.6M, and free cash flow of $73.8M (+167.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSIS closed FY2025 with $2.52B in total assets against $998.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.16, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $1.71B $149.6M $97.6M $73.8M $2.52B $998.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $1.54B $128.2M -$87.5M -$109.6M $2.13B $466.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $378.8M $91.8M $94.8M $94.8M $1.80B $421.4M

3. OSIS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OSIS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, OSI Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: OSIS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $198.90 (-0.27% 1D, market cap $3.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, OSIS ranks #303 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OSIS compare to PENG and IPGP in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), OSIS carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.9x, gross margin of 34.3%, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, PENG (Penguin Solutions Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 139.5x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $3.13B) and IPGP (IPG Photonics Corporation) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 103.5x, ROIC 0.6%, cap $3.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENPH leads on earnings multiple (19.9x) while PENG leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSIS?

Per OSIS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001039065), OSI Systems Inc. generated $1.71B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), $149.6M in net income, and $73.8M in free cash flow against $2.52B in total assets and $998.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OSIS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OSIS last traded at $198.90 (-0.27% on volume of 272,036 shares), positioning the stock -0.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($200.15) and -15.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($236.48). Across its 52-week range of $186.50 to $311.72, OSIS sits at the 9.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($186.57 to $211.23).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OSIS — OSI Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:45Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

OSIS scores 55 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of 11.4% and an FCF yield of 2.25%. A prospective investor should note that the FCF yield is thin relative to the stock's valuation multiples, so the cash return available to a buyer at today's price is modest.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is one of the weaker pillars, which suggests limited evidence of sustained large-holder conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, indicating insider signaling is not a strong positive in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. this pillar reflects beta of 1.28 and sector sensitivity. This is the lowest pillar. A beta above 1.0 means the stock has historically amplified market moves, so a prospective investor should expect larger drawdowns in risk-off regimes as well as larger gains in risk-on regimes.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. this pillar reflects Altman Z of 3.16, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.18. This is the strongest pillar, though it is still only moderate.

Taken together, the pillars describe a company with a workable operating base and acceptable balance-sheet metrics, offset by weak macro-regime fit, muted institutional flow, and a valuation supported by thin free-cash-flow yield. The resulting verdict is a sell/trim signal. This is an analytical characterization of the source data, not personalized advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Common Stock (DE) (OSIS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, classified under Semiconductors. — for the specific product lines and customer segments.

Per the market data, gross margin is 34.3%, operating margin 12.7%, and net margin 8.7%, with ROIC of 11.4%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.16 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Per the RQD rating, debt-to-equity is 1.18. Debt rose from $466.6M in FY 2024 to $998.9M in FY 2025 and FY 2024 free cash flow was negative at -$109.6M before turning to $73.8M in FY 2025.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with an Altman Z of 3.16 and Piotroski F of 5/9, and FY 2025 revenue of $1.71B and net income of $149.6M show a profitable operating base. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 11.4%, FCF yield 2.25%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $186.50 – $311.72 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Macro regime fit scores only 7/20 with beta of 1.28, debt rose to $998.9M from $466.6M, and the FCF yield of 2.25% is thin against a 21.9 trailing P/E. Investors must weigh 21.9x trailing P/E and 16.6x EV/EBITDA against 12.7% operating margins and a 1.28 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph contains no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no bottleneck mapping for OSIS.

  • Key Question #1: What products and customers generate OSIS's revenue, and how is it split across them?
  • Key Question #2: What explains the reported FY 2023 revenue of — alongside positive operating income?
  • Key Question #3: What drove the increase in debt from $466.6M to $998.9M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and how is it being serviced?

OSIS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OSI Systems Inc. (OSIS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OSIS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OSIS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $198.90?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OSIS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OSIS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $251.29 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with an Altman Z of 3.16 and Piotroski F of 5/9, and FY 2025 revenue of $1.71B and net income of

Long OSIS at $199.44 targeting $251.29. Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with an Altman Z of 3.16 and Piotroski F of 5/9, and FY 2025 revenue of $1.71B and net income of $149.6M show a profitable operating base.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $186.50 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — OSIS's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $171.52 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $199.44

Macro regime fit scores only 7/20 with beta of 1.28, debt rose to $998.9M from $466.6M, and the FCF yield of 2.25% is thin against a 21

Fading this rally in OSIS at $199.44. Macro regime fit scores only 7/20 with beta of 1.28, debt rose to $998.9M from $466.6M, and the FCF yield of 2.25% is thin against a 21.9 trailing P/E.. With a beta of 1.28 and the stock sitting at $199.44 (52-wk range $186.50–$311.72), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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