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Stock Ratings / Financials / ORIO / options
DRK (26) ARBK (45) BLNE (27) BGDE (22) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.86 +0.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.86

Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $20.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ORIO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ORIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Orion Digital Corp. (NASDAQ: ORIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $0.86 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $20.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ORIO ranks #733 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ORIO compare to DRK and ARBK in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ORIO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DRK (DarkHorse Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.1M) and ARBK (Argo Blockchain plc) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $21.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BLNE leads on capital efficiency (-30.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORIO?
▼

For Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #733 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.86 (-0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.7% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ORIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ORIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ORIO SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($572.7K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$1.01-8.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$0.92-5.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$0.87-1.1% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$0.86-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ORIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ORIO currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.98) and Max Pain ($0.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.68.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ORIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ORIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ORIO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ORIO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ORIO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ORIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ORIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.50%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $0.89H $0.89L $0.86C $0.86VOL 60.6K
RES: $1.27SUP: $0.84SMA50: $0.98SMA200: $0.96
$1.43$1.21$0.99$0.76$0.54RES $1.27SUP $0.84$0.862026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ORIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ORIO Butterfly Map → + Track ORIO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ORIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ORIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ORIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ORIO)

Financials Rank #733 of 1096 ⚔️ DRK vs ORIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ORIO vs. DRK, ARBK, BLNE, BGDE)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) ranks #733 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #1057 by equity capitalization ($20.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORIO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BLNE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -30.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ORIO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ORIO ACTIVE
Orion Digital Corp.
D 48/100 — — — +0.15% $20.5M Benchmark Subject
DRK
DarkHorse Technologies Inc.
E 26/100 — — -35.0% -11.56% $21.1M /drk-vs-orio →
ARBK
Argo Blockchain plc
D 45/100 — — — -5.48% $21.9M /arbk-vs-orio →
BLNE
Beeline Holdings Inc.
E 27/100 — — -30.5% -2.70% $22.0M /blne-vs-orio →
BGDE
Big Digital Energy Inc.
E 22/100 — — -35.0% -11.40% $22.1M /bgde-vs-orio →

2. ORIO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) operates in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $20.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ORIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ORIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Orion Digital Corp. (NASDAQ: ORIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $0.86 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $20.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ORIO ranks #733 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ORIO compare to DRK and ARBK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ORIO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DRK (DarkHorse Technologies Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.1M) and ARBK (Argo Blockchain plc) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $21.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BLNE leads on capital efficiency (-30.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORIO?

For Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #733 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ORIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ORIO last traded at $0.86 (+0.15% on volume of 45,921 shares), positioning the stock -12.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.98) and -10.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.96). Across its 52-week range of $0.61 to $1.60, ORIO sits at the 25.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.97).

ORIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ORIO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ORIO.

Direct Sub-Reports: ORIO RQD Cockpit ORIO 12M Forecast ORIO Earnings & Move ORIO Dividends & DRIP ORIO Insiders & 13F ORIO Whale Options ORIO Profit Sankey ORIO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ORIO — Orion Digital Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:19:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ORIO scores 48 out of 100, a D grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and macro fit, both reflecting zero reported ROIC and FCF yield in the market data. The forensic balance sheet is the strongest pillar, with an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6/9, which together suggest the balance sheet is not the immediate concern. Upside drivers, per the rating's structure, would have to come from cash generation or institutional and insider flow improving, neither of which is quantified in the source data. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed on earnings multiples because P/E and EPS are not available in source data. The verdict label itself signals a distribution warning, meaning the composite assessment leans negative.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all relating to ORIO. Two are options-chain and price pages (Moomoo and MarketBeat), one is a seasonal returns chart from Yahoo! Finance Canada appearing in two items, and two are kalkine.ca reports. The most notable headline is a kalkine.ca report stating that the Canadian-listed stock gained 4.88% as buying interest strengthened, tagged as a GREEN catalyst. Other items are tagged YELLOW as market wire. Several headlines reference different listings (ORIO.TO, TSX:ORIO, TSXV:ORIO), which the source data does not reconcile with the NASDAQ listing shown in the profile. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no supply-chain catalysts are identified in the source data. Risk watch items include the listing inconsistency and the 3.47% decline in price shown in the market data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks therefore cannot be mapped from the source data. The sector is listed as Financials and the industry as Finance: Consumer Services; beyond that classification, no ripple effects are documented. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means this analysis provides no evidence of supplier or customer concentration either way.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's business model, revenue base, and customer profile, given that no business description is in the source data?
  • Why do the market data and forensic metrics show 0% margins and ROIC, and is this an accurate reflection of reported results?
  • Which exchange is ORIO actually listed on, given the profile lists NASDAQ while the news items reference TSX and TSXV listings?
  • What are the reported revenue, net income, free cash flow, and debt figures across recent periods?
  • What is the composition of institutional, insider, and Congressional holdings behind the scored pillars?

ORIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ORIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ORIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.86?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ORIO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ORIO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $0.93 (+8.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ORIO (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $0.86?

Welcome to the ORIO (Orion Digital Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.71 (-17.4%)
Spot @ $0.86

Pump the brakes on ORIO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ORIO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Orion Digital Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.04 (+20.9%)
Spot @ $0.86

ORIO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ORIO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.86 (52-wk range $0.61 - $1.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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