ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Financials / ORIO / forecast
ARBK (45) BLNE (27) BGDE (21) PTIV (30) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$0.92 +6.32% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.93

Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $20.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ORIO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ORIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Orion Digital Corp. (NASDAQ: ORIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $0.92 (+6.32% 1D, market cap $20.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ORIO ranks #713 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ORIO compare to ARBK and BLNE in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ORIO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ARBK (Argo Blockchain plc) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $20.7M) and BLNE (Beeline Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.5%, cap $21.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BLNE leads on capital efficiency (-30.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORIO?
▼

For Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #713 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.93 (+0.95%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.3% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ORIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ORIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ORIO SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($573.6K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$1.01-10.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$0.90-3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$0.87+5.7% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$0.92-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ORIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ORIO currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.98) and Max Pain ($0.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.67.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ORIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ORIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ORIO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $0.92: 10869.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.69
$7,500
$-2,500 (-25.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $0.88
$9,565
$-435 (-4.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $1.67
$18,152
+$8,152 (+81.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ORIO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ORIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ORIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.68%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $0.86H $0.92L $0.86C $0.92VOL 45.9K
RES: $1.28SUP: $0.84SMA50: $0.98SMA200: $0.96
$1.43$1.21$0.99$0.76$0.54RES $1.28SUP $0.84$0.922026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ORIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ORIO Butterfly Map → + Track ORIO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ORIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ORIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ORIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ORIO)

Financials Rank #713 of 1097 ⚔️ ARBK vs ORIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ORIO vs. ARBK, BLNE, BGDE, PTIV)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) ranks #713 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #1054 by equity capitalization ($20.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORIO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BLNE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -30.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ORIO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ORIO ACTIVE
Orion Digital Corp.
D 48/100 — — — +6.32% $20.5M Benchmark Subject
ARBK
Argo Blockchain plc
D 45/100 — — — -3.23% $20.7M /arbk-vs-orio →
BLNE
Beeline Holdings Inc.
E 27/100 — — -30.5% +0.85% $21.4M /blne-vs-orio →
BGDE
Big Digital Energy Inc.
E 21/100 — — -35.0% -9.36% $19.6M /bgde-vs-orio →
PTIV
Pineapple Financial Inc.
E 30/100 — — -35.0% -2.96% $18.9M /ptiv-vs-orio →

2. ORIO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) operates in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $20.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ORIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ORIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Orion Digital Corp. (NASDAQ: ORIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $0.92 (+6.32% 1D, market cap $20.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ORIO ranks #713 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ORIO compare to ARBK and BLNE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ORIO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ARBK (Argo Blockchain plc) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $20.7M) and BLNE (Beeline Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -30.5%, cap $21.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BLNE leads on capital efficiency (-30.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ORIO?

For Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #713 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ORIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ORIO last traded at $0.92 (+6.32% on volume of 40,588 shares), positioning the stock -6.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.98) and -4.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.96). Across its 52-week range of $0.61 to $1.59, ORIO sits at the 31.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($1.00 to $1.03).

Direct Sub-Reports: ORIO RQD Cockpit ORIO 12M Forecast ORIO Earnings & Move ORIO Dividends & DRIP ORIO Insiders & 13F ORIO Whale Options ORIO Profit Sankey ORIO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ORIO — Orion Digital Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $0.92 (+6.32% 1D, market capitalization $20.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) operates in the Finance: Consumer Services industry (Financials sector) with an equity capitalization of $20.5M, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and return on invested capital (ROIC) of —.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.61 – $1.59 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks therefore cannot be mapped from the source data. The sector is listed as Financials and the industry as Finance: Consumer Services; beyond that classification, no ripple effects are documented. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means this analysis provides no evidence of supplier or customer concentration either way.

  • Key Question #1: Can ORIO sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $1.59 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ORIO's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ORIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Orion Digital Corp. (ORIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ORIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ORIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.92?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ORIO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ORIO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.99 (+15.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a kalkine.ca report tagged GREEN n

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a kalkine.ca report tagged GREEN notes the stock gained 4.88% on strengthening buying interest.. When you look under the hood at ORIO, Fundamental Cash Engine is 11/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (7/20) has been quietly accumulating below $1.59. My 12M target is $0.99.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 48/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $0.86 and keeping dry powder in case we test $0.80.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.65 (-24.4%)
Spot @ $0.86

The fundamental cash engine scores 11/20 with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and the composite verdict is a Roarable Sell distribution warni

The fundamental cash engine scores 11/20 with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and the composite verdict is a Roarable Sell distribution warning at an RQD score of 48.. Look at the math on ORIO: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Finance: Consumer Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $0.76 before getting long.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%