Omada Health Inc. (OMDA) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$18.73 -4.68% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.54

Omada Health Inc. (OMDA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $1.20B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OMDA Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OMDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Omada Health Inc. (NASDAQ: OMDA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $18.73 (-4.68% 1D, market cap $1.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, OMDA ranks #228 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OMDA compare to INNV and USPH in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Nursing Services), OMDA carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 65.7%, and ROIC of -15.7%. By comparison, INNV (InnovAge Holding Corp.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.2%, cap $1.26B) and USPH (U.S. Physical Therapy Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.6x, ROIC 11.5%, cap $1.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, USPH leads on earnings multiple (32.6x) while USPH leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OMDA?
β–Ό

Per OMDA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001611115), Omada Health Inc. generated $260.2M in revenue (+53.2% YoY), -$12.8M in net income, and $16.9M in free cash flow against $305.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.54 (-1.03%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 6.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$27 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE OMDA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OMDA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY OMDA SCORES 55/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.93 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.5% FCF Margin ($16.9M FCF) & 65.7% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$21.87-17.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$18.06+6.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$19.24-2.7% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$18.73-0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ D+ (55)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OMDA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, OMDA faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 63.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.66) or 200D SMA ($17.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.48) toward Bear Floor ($14.41).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OMDAβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œOMDA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $40,809

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $245/yr
$11.5K
Yr 1
$13.2K
Yr 2
$15.2K
Yr 3
$17.6K
Yr 4
$20.2K
Yr 5
$23.3K
Yr 6
$26.8K
Yr 7
$30.8K
Yr 8
$35.5K
Yr 9
$40.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OMDA)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of OMDA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OMDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.15%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $19.18H $19.65L $18.73C $18.73VOL 620.1K
RES: $27.01SUP: $17.33SMA50: $20.66SMA200: $17.70
$26.29$22.80$19.31$15.82$12.33RES $27.01SUP $17.33$18.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OMDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +53.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OMDA today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OMDA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OMDA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OMDA)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (OMDA vs. INNV, USPH, PNTG, TDOC)

Industry: Medical/Nursing Services (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Omada Health Inc. (OMDA) ranks #228 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #338 by equity capitalization ($1.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, USPH leads on earnings valuation at 32.6x trailing P/E, while USPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.5% ROIC and 19.2% gross margin. USPH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with OMDA at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OMDA ACTIVE
Omada Health Inc.
D+ 55/100 β€” 65.7% -15.7% -4.68% $1.20B Benchmark Subject
INNV
InnovAge Holding Corp.
D+ 52/100 β€” 18.0% -10.2% -0.54% $1.26B /innv-vs-omda β†’
USPH
U.S. Physical Therapy Inc.
B 72/100 32.6x 19.2% 11.5% -0.85% $1.29B /usph-vs-omda β†’
PNTG
The Pennant Group Inc.
C+ 67/100 50.2x β€” 11.0% -1.93% $1.48B /pntg-vs-omda β†’
TDOC
Teladoc Health Inc.
D+ 56/100 β€” β€” -17.0% -2.52% $1.59B /tdoc-vs-omda β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001611115

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Omada Health Inc. (OMDA) reported GAAP revenue of $260.2M (+53.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $169.8M , and +111.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$12.8M, operating cash flow of $18.3M, and free cash flow of $16.9M (+148.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, OMDA closed FY2025 with $305.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.93, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $260.2M -$12.8M $18.3M $16.9M $305.4M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $169.8M -$47.1M -$34.2M -$34.8M $150.9M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $122.8M -$67.5M -$49.7M -$49.7M β€” β€”

3. OMDA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OMDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Omada Health Inc. (NASDAQ: OMDA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $18.73 (-4.68% 1D, market cap $1.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, OMDA ranks #228 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OMDA compare to INNV and USPH in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Nursing Services), OMDA carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 65.7%, and ROIC of -15.7%. By comparison, INNV (InnovAge Holding Corp.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.2%, cap $1.26B) and USPH (U.S. Physical Therapy Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.6x, ROIC 11.5%, cap $1.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, USPH leads on earnings multiple (32.6x) while USPH leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OMDA?

Per OMDA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001611115), Omada Health Inc. generated $260.2M in revenue (+53.2% YoY), -$12.8M in net income, and $16.9M in free cash flow against $305.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OMDA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OMDA last traded at $18.73 (-4.68% on volume of 958,664 shares), positioning the stock -9.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.66) and +5.82% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.70). Across its 52-week range of $10.28 to $26.13, OMDA sits at the 53.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.9% ($16.69 to $20.77).

OMDA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does OMDA pay a dividend and is it safe?

Omada Health Inc. (OMDA) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 55/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OMDA β€” Omada Health Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:13Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD Score is 55 out of 100, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim," per the Roarable RQD rating. The score is built from five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -15.7% and an FCF yield of 1.41%. For a prospective investor, negative ROIC means the business is not currently earning returns above its capital base, and a 1.41% FCF yield is a thin cash return relative to the $19.65 price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. The rating describes this pillar as institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not include 13F holder detail (see Analyst View section), so the pillar score cannot be traced to specific holders here.
  • Insider Conviction: 6 / 20. The rating describes SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No insider transaction records are supplied in the source data, so the weak score is not independently verifiable from this dossier.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is reflected in this pillar. Per the market data, beta is 1.0, meaning the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. The strongest pillar, per the rating: Altman Z 8.93, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5. This indicates a relatively sound balance sheet even though the operating business is loss-making.

Taken together, the rating points to a business with a stronger balance sheet than its earnings profile would suggest. Upside drivers would need to come from a turn toward positive ROIC and cash generation; the rating's valuation tradeoff is that the stock's price already reflects significant expectations relative to current returns. Because the verdict is a Sell/Trim rating, the rating itself flags more downside risk than upside in its current form.

Business

Omada Health Inc. (OMDA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Medical/Nursing Services industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The market capitalization is $1.2B, per the company profile and market data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$260.2M$-12.0M$-12.8MN/A$16.9M$222.0MN/A
FY 2024$169.8M$-43.7M$-47.1MN/A$-34.8M$76.4MN/A
FY 2023$122.8M$-66.0M$-67.5MN/A$-49.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $122.8M in FY 2023 to $260.2M in FY 2025, while operating losses narrowed from $-66.0M to $-12.0M. Per the market data, the gross margin is 65.7%, the operating margin is -4.6%, and the net margin is -4.9%. ROIC is -15.7%. The Altman Z-Score is 8.93 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported cash rose to $222.0M in FY 2025, per the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, six items reference OMDA: a Yahoo Finance piece questioning long-term targets and valuation; a Seeking Alpha piece titled that it shows promising growth but questions the moat; a Simply Wall St piece on renewed attention; a TradingView report that Freedom Capital Markets maintains a Buy rating with a $35 price target; a kalkine.ca report that the stock slid 10.1% on an earnings tag; and an Investing.com UK report that Citizens reiterated its rating ahead of Q3 results. The news wire shows mixed sentiment, with several items flagged YELLOW and one flagged GREEN.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's product mix and revenue model behind the $260.2M FY 2025 revenue figure?
  • What drove the earnings decline cited in the kalkine.ca report, and what were the actual EPS and forward estimates?
  • Why is FY 2025 FCF positive at $16.9M while FY 2025 net income is $-12.8M, and what is the cash bridge?
  • What are the debt balances, since the debt field is reported as N/A for all periods?
  • What institutional and insider holdings underpin the whale and insider pillar scores?

OMDA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Omada Health Inc. (OMDA) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to OMDA Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OMDA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $18.73?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OMDA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OMDA:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $21.22 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OMDA (D+ β€’ RQD 55/100) a Buy at $19.65?

Welcome to the OMDA (Omada Health Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Medical/Nursing Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.93 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $19.65

Pump the brakes on OMDA β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OMDA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 65.7% gross margins. Unless Omada Health Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.96 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $19.65

OMDA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OMDA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Nursing Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.65 (52-wk range $10.28 - $26.13), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%