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ONEOK Inc. (OKE) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$92.52 -4.69% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $91.56

ONEOK Inc. (OKE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $61.20B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OKE Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, ONEOK Inc. (NYSE: OKE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $92.52 (-4.69% 1D, market cap $61.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OKE ranks #69 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OKE compare to CVE and FANG in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OKE carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $61.37B) and FANG (Diamondback Energy Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 37.4x, ROIC 2.0%, cap $59.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OKE?
β–Ό

Per OKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001039684), ONEOK Inc. generated $33.63B in revenue (+55.0% YoY), $3.39B in net income, and $2.45B in free cash flow against $66.64B in total assets and $30.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $91.57 (-1.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (17)SEC (12)Macro (11)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$112 Bull$95 Base$74 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE OKE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OKE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY OKE SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±4.7% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 17.1% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$91.97+1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$93.12+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$94.54-2.1% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$92.52+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (56) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OKE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, OKE faces multiple-compression risk if 17.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 28.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($93.04) or 200D SMA ($89.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($95.02) toward Bear Floor ($74.12).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OKEβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œOKE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
6.08% Total Yield
4.28% Cash ($3.96/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
68/100 β€’ SAFE COVERAGE
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
68.7% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (20.6% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $65,084

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $3,957/yr
$12.1K
Yr 1
$14.5K
Yr 2
$17.5K
Yr 3
$21.2K
Yr 4
$25.5K
Yr 5
$30.8K
Yr 6
$37.1K
Yr 7
$44.7K
Yr 8
$54.0K
Yr 9
$65.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in OKE & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on OKE and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OKE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.09%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $95.82H $97.07L $92.52C $92.52VOL 4.05M
RES: $97.49SUP: $84.51SMA50: $93.04SMA200: $89.06
$101.4$94.92$88.43$81.94$75.44RES $97.49SUP $84.51$92.522026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OKE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
10.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +55.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OKE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OKE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OKE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OKE)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (OKE vs. CVE, FANG, OXY, DVN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ONEOK Inc. (OKE) ranks #69 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #29 by equity capitalization ($61.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OKE leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while DVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. DVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with OKE at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OKE ACTIVE
ONEOK Inc.
C 64/100 17.8x 30.5% 8.5% -4.69% $61.20B Benchmark Subject
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc
C+ 69/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -6.26% $61.37B /cve-vs-oke β†’
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc.
C+ 69/100 37.4x β€” 2.0% -5.82% $59.39B /fang-vs-oke β†’
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
C+ 67/100 26.9x β€” 4.3% -5.12% $63.98B /oxy-vs-oke β†’
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation
A- 81/100 21.3x β€” 11.8% -6.75% $57.37B /dvn-vs-oke β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001039684 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ONEOK Inc. (OKE) reported GAAP revenue of $33.63B (+55.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $21.70B , and +90.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.39B, operating cash flow of $5.60B, and free cash flow of $2.45B (-14.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, OKE closed FY2025 with $66.64B in total assets against $30.75B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.94, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $33.63B $3.39B $5.60B $2.45B $66.64B $30.75B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $21.70B $3.04B $4.89B $2.87B $64.07B $31.02B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $17.68B $2.66B $4.42B $3.63B $33.23B $7.77B

3. OKE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ONEOK Inc. (NYSE: OKE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $92.52 (-4.69% 1D, market cap $61.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OKE ranks #69 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OKE compare to CVE and FANG in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OKE carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $61.37B) and FANG (Diamondback Energy Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 37.4x, ROIC 2.0%, cap $59.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OKE?

Per OKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001039684), ONEOK Inc. generated $33.63B in revenue (+55.0% YoY), $3.39B in net income, and $2.45B in free cash flow against $66.64B in total assets and $30.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OKE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OKE last traded at $92.52 (-4.69% on volume of 3,535,049 shares), positioning the stock -0.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($93.04) and +3.89% above its 200-day simple moving average ($89.06). Across its 52-week range of $64.02 to $99.85, OKE sits at the 79.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.7% ($88.17 to $96.87).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 64/100 (C) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OKE β€” ONEOK Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ONEOK Inc. (OKE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $92.52 (-4.69% 1D, market capitalization $61.20B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.5%, gross margin of 30.5%, operating margin of 17.1%, and free cash flow yield of 4.05%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.05x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.94, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.37x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

ONEOK Inc. (OKE) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating within the Oil & Gas Production industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 30.5%, an operating margin of 17.1%, and a net margin of 10.1%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), ONEOK Inc. (OKE) reported $33.63B in annual revenue (up from $21.70B in FY2024, +55.0% YoY) and $3.39B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($17.68B revenue, $2.66B net income) through FY2025, OKE scaled operating cash flow to $5.60B and free cash flow to $2.45B, backed by $66.64B in total assets against $30.75B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C β€’ RQD 64/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $64.02 – $99.85 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 17.8x trailing P/E and 10.8x EV/EBITDA against 17.1% operating margins and a 1.05x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is NONE, and butterfly_links and proprietary_signals are empty.

  • Key Question #1: Can OKE sustain or expand its 17.1% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $33.63B and free cash flow of $2.45B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $30.75B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OKE's 15.0x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.05x)?

OKE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ONEOK Inc. (OKE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to OKE Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OKE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $92.52?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OKE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OKE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $123.28 (+27.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and insider cluster flow score 17/20 and 16/20 in the RQD rating, signaling strong professional support.

Institutional accumulation and insider cluster flow score 17/20 and 16/20 in the RQD rating, signaling strong professional support.. When you look under the hood at OKE, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 30.5% gross margins and 8.5% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (17/20) has been quietly accumulating below $99.85. My 12M target is $123.28.

SectorRotator πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 17.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production. If gross margin (30.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $79.60 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $97.07

Debt rose from $7.77B to $30.75B while reported FCF fell from $3.63B to $2.45B, and the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores o

Fading this rally in OKE at $97.07. Debt rose from $7.77B to $30.75B while reported FCF fell from $3.63B to $2.45B, and the Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores only 8/20.. With a beta of 1.05 and the stock sitting at $97.07 (52-wk range $64.02–$99.85), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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