Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.5% Move

$12.41 +2.22% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.44

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.07B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OCSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (NASDAQ: OCSL) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $12.41 (+2.22% 1D, market cap $1.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OCSL ranks #424 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OCSL compare to WD and RHLD in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), OCSL carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, WD (Walker & Dunlop Inc) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 21.2x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $1.19B) and RHLD (Resolute Holdings Management) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $944.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WD leads on earnings multiple (21.2x) while RHLD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OCSL?
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Per OCSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001414932), Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation generated $1.30B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $33.9M in net income, and $228.4M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.44 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 17.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$15 Bull$12 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE OCSL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OCSL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OCSL SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17.6% FCF Margin ($228.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$11.58-2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$11.31+3.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$11.66+6.4% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$12.41+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OCSL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, OCSL faces multiple-compression risk if 31.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.19) or 200D SMA ($12.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.47) toward Bear Floor ($9.73).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OCSL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OCSL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.5% Swing Band

±$0.56 Expected Swing
$11.85 (-4.5%)Spot $12.41$12.97 (+4.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

OCSL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 59/100

Trailing EPS: $0.39 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (59/100)Model Risk Weight (41/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-30$1.30B$33.9M$228.4M52%
FY 20242024-09-30$1.30B$57.9M$19.1M52%
FY 20232023-09-30$869.3M$117.3M$228.8M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating OCSL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on OCSL
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OCSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.80%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $12.13H $12.41L $12.13C $12.41VOL 439.1K
RES: $14.26SUP: $11.13SMA50: $12.19SMA200: $12.07
$13.48$12.86$12.24$11.62$11.00RES $14.26SUP $11.13$12.412026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OCSL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OCSL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OCSL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OCSL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OCSL)

Financials Rank #424 of 1096 ⚔️ WD vs OCSL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OCSL vs. WD, RHLD, SECZ, PICS)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) ranks #424 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #532 by equity capitalization ($1.07B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WD leads on earnings valuation at 21.2x trailing P/E, while RHLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. OCSL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OCSL ACTIVE
Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation
C- 59/100 31.5x — 2.4% +2.22% $1.07B Benchmark Subject
WD
Walker & Dunlop Inc
D- 36/100 21.2x — 3.2% +2.79% $1.19B /wd-vs-ocsl →
RHLD
Resolute Holdings Management
C- 59/100 — — 85.0% -1.50% $944.3M /rhld-vs-ocsl →
SECZ
Securitize Corp.
D- 43/100 — — — -4.23% $1.23B /secz-vs-ocsl →
PICS
PicS N.V. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — — — -4.37% $920.1M /pics-vs-ocsl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001414932

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) reported GAAP revenue of $1.30B (+0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.30B , and +49.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $33.9M, operating cash flow of $228.4M, and free cash flow of $228.4M (+1097.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, OCSL closed FY2025 with $3.10B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.30B $33.9M $228.4M $228.4M $3.10B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.30B $57.9M $19.1M $19.1M $3.08B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $869.3M $117.3M $228.8M $228.8M — —

3. OCSL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OCSL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (NASDAQ: OCSL) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $12.41 (+2.22% 1D, market cap $1.07B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OCSL ranks #424 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OCSL compare to WD and RHLD in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), OCSL carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, WD (Walker & Dunlop Inc) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 21.2x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $1.19B) and RHLD (Resolute Holdings Management) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $944.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WD leads on earnings multiple (21.2x) while RHLD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OCSL?

Per OCSL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001414932), Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation generated $1.30B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $33.9M in net income, and $228.4M in free cash flow against $3.10B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OCSL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OCSL last traded at $12.41 (+2.22% on volume of 531,674 shares), positioning the stock +1.80% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.19) and +2.82% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.07). Across its 52-week range of $10.63 to $13.94, OCSL sits at the 53.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($11.85 to $12.97).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OCSL — Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:58Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

OCSL scores 59 out of 100, equivalent to a C- grade and the verdict "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 2.4%; FCF yield 21.37%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the composite points to a neutral posture rather than a conviction call. The strongest pillar on a relative basis is the Forensic Balance Sheet, where the Altman Z of 2.5 and Debt/Equity of 0.5 are the more favorable readings, though the Piotroski F of 4/9 is only moderate. The Whale 13F Flow pillar is the weakest at 10/20, indicating institutional positioning does not provide meaningful support in the rating. The Fundamental Cash Engine and Insider Conviction pillars each sit at 12/20. The 21.37% FCF yield is a notable figure within the cash engine pillar, but the 2.4% ROIC is low, so the pillar score reflects a mixed picture. Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 reflects a Beta of 1.0, meaning the stock is rated as moving in line with the market, with sector sensitivity noted. Upside drivers implied by the data are the high FCF yield and balance sheet metrics; valuation tradeoffs are visible in the trailing P/E of 31.5 against an EPS of 0.39. This brief is educational and not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry,. — for detailed business description.

Reported net income declined from $117.3M in FY 2023 to $57.9M in FY 2024 and $33.9M in FY 2025. Free cash flow was $228.8M, $19.1M, and $228.4M across the same periods. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0%, and ROIC is 2.4%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Revenue and operating income are reported as — in the financials, so margin analysis from the source data is limited.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: A 21.37% FCF yield and a 2.5 Altman Z-Score with 0.5 Debt/Equity point to a cash-generative, moderately leveraged balance sheet. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 2.4%, FCF yield 21.37%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $10.63 – $13.94 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Net income fell from $117.3M to $33.9M over FY 2023 to FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.4% and the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 10/20. Investors must weigh 31.5x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Within the provided data, the only sector linkage is the classification of Financials and Finance: Consumer Services.

  • Key Question #1: What is the composition of the loan portfolio, and how do non-accrual and credit-loss trends compare against the sector risk flagged in the RED-rated headline?
  • Key Question #2: Why are revenue and operating income reported as —, and what is the appropriate income statement measure for this issuer?
  • Key Question #3: What drove the decline in net income from $117.3M to $33.9M across FY 2023 to FY 2025, and what is the dividend policy given a 0% dividend yield?

OCSL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OCSL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OCSL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.41?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OCSL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OCSL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.20 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 21.37% FCF yield and a 2.5 Altman Z-Score with 0.5 Debt/Equity point to a cash-generative, moderately leveraged balance sheet.

The street is overcomplicating Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL). A 21.37% FCF yield and a 2.5 Altman Z-Score with 0.5 Debt/Equity point to a cash-generative, moderately leveraged balance sheet.. With an RQD score of 59/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $13.11.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — OCSL's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.83 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $12.14

Net income fell from $117.3M to $33.9M over FY 2023 to FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.4% and the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 10/20.

I respect the product at Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation, but the stock at $12.14 is a different story. Net income fell from $117.3M to $33.9M over FY 2023 to FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.4% and the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 10/20.. FCF yield is 21.37% and RQD sits at 59/100 (C-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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