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Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.49 -0.53% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.47

Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $71.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NTIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Northern Technologies International Corporation (NASDAQ: NTIC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $7.49 (-0.53% 1D, market cap $71.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NTIC ranks #295 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NTIC compare to AMRO and BOOM in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), NTIC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.6%, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, AMRO (Amaero Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $132.5M) and BOOM (DMC Global Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $192.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTIC?
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Per NTIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000875582), Northern Technologies International Corporation generated $84.2M in revenue (-1.0% YoY), $17.6K in net income, and $916.5K in free cash flow against $104.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.47 (-0.29%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (12)Macro (6)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$11 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE NTIC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTIC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±2.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NTIC SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.1% FCF Margin ($916.5K FCF) & 37.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$7.70+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$7.70-2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$7.49+0% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$7.49-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NTIC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NTIC currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.79) and Max Pain ($7.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTIC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NTIC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±2.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NTIC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NTIC.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NTIC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NTIC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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NTIC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.19%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.49H $7.53L $7.49C $7.49VOL 549
RES: $7.75SUP: $7.19SMA50: $7.79SMA200: $8.20
$9.11$8.67$8.23$7.79$7.35RES $7.75SUP $7.19$7.492026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTIC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NTIC Butterfly Map → + Track NTIC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
14.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTIC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTIC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTIC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTIC)

Industrials Rank #295 of 486 ⚔️ AMRO vs NTIC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NTIC vs. AMRO, BOOM, OFLX, FGI)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) ranks #295 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #391 by equity capitalization ($71.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OFLX leads on earnings valuation at 18.0x trailing P/E, while OFLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.2% ROIC and 60.0% gross margin. OFLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with NTIC at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NTIC ACTIVE
Northern Technologies International Corporation
D 45/100 — 37.6% 3.1% -0.53% $71.5M Benchmark Subject
AMRO
Amaero Inc.
D 49/100 — — — +2.88% $132.5M /amro-vs-ntic →
BOOM
DMC Global Inc.
D 51/100 — 22.2% 0.0% -1.18% $192.1M /boom-vs-ntic →
OFLX
Omega Flex Inc.
C+ 67/100 18.0x 60.0% 43.2% +3.53% $265.9M /oflx-vs-ntic →
FGI
FGI Industries Ltd.
D- 39/100 — 27.0% -12.3% -3.86% $15.3M /fgi-vs-ntic →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0000875582 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) reported GAAP revenue of $84.2M (-1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $85.1M , and +5.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.6K, operating cash flow of $2.4M, and free cash flow of $916.5K (-76.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTIC closed FY2025 with $104.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-31 $84.2M $17.6K $2.4M $916.5K $104.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $85.1M $5.4M $5.9M $4.0M $94.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-31 $79.9M $2.9M $5.5M $5.5M — —

3. NTIC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTIC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Northern Technologies International Corporation (NASDAQ: NTIC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $7.49 (-0.53% 1D, market cap $71.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NTIC ranks #295 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTIC compare to AMRO and BOOM in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), NTIC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.6%, and ROIC of 3.1%. By comparison, AMRO (Amaero Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $132.5M) and BOOM (DMC Global Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $192.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTIC?

Per NTIC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000875582), Northern Technologies International Corporation generated $84.2M in revenue (-1.0% YoY), $17.6K in net income, and $916.5K in free cash flow against $104.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTIC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTIC last traded at $7.49 (-0.53% on volume of 1,813 shares), positioning the stock -3.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.79) and -8.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.20). Across its 52-week range of $7.35 to $10.03, NTIC sits at the 5.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±2.3% ($7.32 to $7.66).

Direct Sub-Reports: NTIC RQD Cockpit NTIC 12M Forecast NTIC Earnings & Move NTIC Dividends & DRIP NTIC Insiders & 13F NTIC Whale Options NTIC Profit Sankey NTIC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NTIC — Northern Technologies International Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-08-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $7.49 (-0.53% 1D, market capitalization $71.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.1%, gross margin of 37.6%, operating margin of 3.1%, and free cash flow yield of 1.29%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, Industrial Specialties industry, with a market capitalization of $0.1B.. Per the news wire, its growth efforts are framed around oil and gas and compostable plastics. — (Product lines, customer base, and revenue mechanics beyond these references are not detailed in the source data.)

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-08-31), Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) reported $84.2M in annual revenue (up from $85.1M in FY2024, -1.0% YoY) and $17.6K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($79.9M revenue, $2.9M net income) through FY2025, NTIC scaled operating cash flow to $2.4M and free cash flow to $916.5K, backed by $104.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.29% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.35 – $10.03 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 16.7x EV/EBITDA against 3.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream dependencies, downstream customers, or sector correlation coefficients.

  • Key Question #1: Can NTIC sustain or expand its 3.1% operating margin and 3.1% ROIC against Industrial Specialties peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $84.2M and free cash flow of $916.5K, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NTIC's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NTIC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NTIC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NTIC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.49?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NTIC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NTIC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.26 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Margin-expansion efforts through oil and gas and compostable plastics growth, plus a low-cost balance sheet with a 2.5 Altman Z-Score a

The street is overcomplicating Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC). Margin-expansion efforts through oil and gas and compostable plastics growth, plus a low-cost balance sheet with a 2.5 Altman Z-Score and 6/9 Piotroski F-Score, give the rating a moderate forensic base.. With an RQD score of 45/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $8.13.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — NTIC's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.10 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $7.53

A 45 RQD score, weak whale-flow (4/20) and cash-engine (12/20) pillars, a 3.1% ROIC, and operating income that fell from $7.9M to $2.6M

Careful chasing NTIC at $7.53. A 45 RQD score, weak whale-flow (4/20) and cash-engine (12/20) pillars, a 3.1% ROIC, and operating income that fell from $7.9M to $2.6M point to a distribution warning.. Gross margin is 37.6%, but operating margin is 3.1%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $6.10 on multiple compression.

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