FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.91 -5.72% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.81

FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $15.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, FGI Industries Ltd. (NASDAQ: FGI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $7.91 (-5.72% 1D, market cap $15.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, FGI ranks #346 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FGI compare to NTIC and AMRO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), FGI carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.0%, and ROIC of -12.3%. By comparison, NTIC (Northern Technologies International Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.1%, cap $71.5M) and AMRO (Amaero Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $132.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FGI?
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Per FGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001864943), FGI Industries Ltd. generated $130.5M in revenue (-1.0% YoY), -$6.1M in net income, and -$212.5K in free cash flow against $69.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.81 (-1.22%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
$21 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE FGI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FGI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FGI SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.02 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 28% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$7.19+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$7.20+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$7.30+8.4% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$7.91-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FGI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FGI currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.81) and Max Pain ($8.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.93.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FGI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FGI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
53.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.02>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE28% OF RANGE
L: $3$7.91H: $20
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on FGI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-12.3% ROIC with 27.0% gross margin and -1.31% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 2.02 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (37)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FGI
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FGI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FGI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FGI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $8.39H $8.39L $7.91C $7.91VOL 11.9K
RES: $12.05SUP: $6.28SMA50: $7.81SMA200: $6.04
$21.08$16.33$11.58$6.83$2.08RES $12.05SUP $6.28$7.912026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FGI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FGI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FGI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FGI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FGI)

Industrials Rank #346 of 485 ⚔️ NTIC vs FGI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FGI vs. NTIC, AMRO, BOOM, OFLX)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) ranks #346 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #439 by equity capitalization ($15.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OFLX leads on earnings valuation at 18.0x trailing P/E, while OFLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.2% ROIC and 60.0% gross margin. OFLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with FGI at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FGI ACTIVE
FGI Industries Ltd.
D- 39/100 — 27.0% -12.3% -5.72% $15.3M Benchmark Subject
NTIC
Northern Technologies International Corporation
D 45/100 — 37.6% 3.1% +0.53% $71.5M /ntic-vs-fgi →
AMRO
Amaero Inc.
D 49/100 — — — -3.81% $132.5M /amro-vs-fgi →
BOOM
DMC Global Inc.
D 51/100 — 22.2% 0.0% +10.26% $192.1M /boom-vs-fgi →
OFLX
Omega Flex Inc.
C+ 67/100 18.0x 60.0% 43.2% -0.38% $265.9M /oflx-vs-fgi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001864943

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) reported GAAP revenue of $130.5M (-1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $131.8M , and +11.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.1M, operating cash flow of $673.2K, and free cash flow of -$212.5K (+97.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FGI closed FY2025 with $69.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.02, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $130.5M -$6.1M $673.2K -$212.5K $69.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $131.8M -$1.2M -$7.4M -$9.6M $75.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $117.2M $733.6K $2.2M $2.2M — —

3. FGI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, FGI Industries Ltd. (NASDAQ: FGI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $7.91 (-5.72% 1D, market cap $15.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, FGI ranks #346 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FGI compare to NTIC and AMRO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), FGI carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.0%, and ROIC of -12.3%. By comparison, NTIC (Northern Technologies International Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.1%, cap $71.5M) and AMRO (Amaero Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $132.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FGI?

Per FGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001864943), FGI Industries Ltd. generated $130.5M in revenue (-1.0% YoY), -$6.1M in net income, and -$212.5K in free cash flow against $69.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FGI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FGI last traded at $7.91 (-5.72% on volume of 11,908 shares), positioning the stock +1.28% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.81) and +30.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.04). Across its 52-week range of $3.14 to $19.93, FGI sits at the 28.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.92 to $8.90).

FGI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell FGI stock right now?

FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 39/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is FGI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

FGI's 12-month base price target is $7.23 (range $5.64 to $20.93), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FGI — FGI Industries Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:50:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FGI scores 42 out of 100 (letter grade D-), with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC -12.3%; FCF yield -1.31%), Whale 13F Flow at 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.02; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillar is insider conviction, and the cash engine is also weak given negative ROIC and negative FCF yield. The strongest relative pillar is institutional flow at 12/20, which still sits below half credit. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on the recent price momentum and institutional activity rather than on cash generation, while the valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a market cap of $16.2M against a negative FCF yield and negative ROIC. This is an analytical framing of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$130.5M$-2.4M$-6.1MN/A$-0.2M$1.9MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$131.8M$-2.1M$-1.2MN/A$-9.6M$4.6MN/A
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$117.2M$2.3M$0.7MN/A$2.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating income moved from $2.3M in FY 2023 to $-2.1M in FY 2024 and $-2.4M in FY 2025, and net income was negative in the two most recent years. Per the market data, gross margin is 27%, operating margin -1.8%, and net margin -4.7%, with ROIC at -12.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.02, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash declined from $4.6M to $1.9M across the last two reported years.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, five items are tagged to FGI. Three are yellow-light "market wire" items, namely a Yahoo Finance Singapore quote page, a TradingView estimates page, and a MarketBeat earnings-date piece, plus another MarketBeat Q3 2026 earnings-date item. Two are green-light "catalyst" items: a Yahoo Finance piece on Flexsteel (FLXS) being upgraded to Buy, which references a different company's rating rather than FGI directly, and a headline describing a Q2 2026 EPS beat of 38% versus consensus. The source for that Q2 item is listed as an unrelated domain, so its reliability cannot be confirmed from the data. Risk watch items include the sharp price move of 16.85% in the latest session against a volume of 31,664 and a 52-week range from $3.14 to $19.93. No proprietary signals are present in the Butterfly graph.

Open Questions

  • What are FGI's specific products, customers, and revenue drivers, given that the source data gives only sector and industry classification?
  • What explains the swing from positive operating income of $2.3M in FY 2023 to losses in FY 2024 and FY 2025, and is the cash decline from $4.6M to $1.9M sustainable?
  • Does the reported Q2 2026 EPS beat of 38% come from a verifiable filing, given the unfamiliar source attribution?
  • What is the company's debt level in dollars, since the Debt field is N/A for every period while Debt/Equity is reported at 0.5?
  • Who are the institutional holders and insiders driving the rating's whale and insider pillars, given that the holders section is empty?

FGI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FGI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FGI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.91?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FGI 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FGI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.38 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FGI (D- • RQD 42/100) a Buy at $8.39?

Welcome to the FGI (FGI Industries Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 42/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Industrial Specialties. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.29 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $8.39

Pump the brakes on FGI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FGI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 27.0% gross margins. Unless FGI Industries Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.90 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $8.39

FGI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FGI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Specialties and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.39 (52-wk range $3.14 - $19.93), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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