Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NTB) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$56.15 -2.01% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.84

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NTB) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.29B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NTB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NTB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NYSE: NTB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $56.15 (-2.01% 1D, market cap $2.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NTB ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NTB compare to BBAR and BLX in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Commercial Banks), NTB carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 20.3%. By comparison, BBAR (Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. ADS) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.44B) and BLX (Bladex Inc. Class E) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NTB leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while NTB leads on capital efficiency (20.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTB?
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Per NTB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653242), Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting generated $606.8M in revenue (+4.6% YoY), $231.9M in net income, and $279.6M in free cash flow against $14.09B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $55.84 (-0.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 46.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C+
Cash (16)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$69 Bull$58 Base$46 Bear
📬 FREE NTB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NTB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NTB SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 46.1% FCF Margin ($279.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
75
Grade B+$58.28+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$58.35+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$59.95-6.3% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$56.15+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NTB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, NTB faces multiple-compression risk if 9.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($58.92) or 200D SMA ($56.74) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($58.42) toward Bear Floor ($45.57).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NTB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NTB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
42.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE60% OF RANGE
L: $44$56.15H: $64
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on NTB

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (80)

20.3% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 12.20% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (63)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NTB
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NTB Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NTB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.54%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $58.17H $58.17L $56.15C $56.15VOL 237.3K
RES: $60.94SUP: $55.31SMA50: $58.92SMA200: $56.74
$65.27$60.71$56.15$51.59$47.02RES $60.94SUP $55.31$56.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NTB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NTB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NTB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NTB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NTB)

Financials Rank #211 of 1096 ⚔️ BBAR vs NTB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NTB vs. BBAR, BLX, INTR, ESQ)

Industry: Commercial Banks (34 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NTB) ranks #211 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #410 by equity capitalization ($2.29B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NTB leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while NTB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.3% ROIC and — gross margin. NTB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NTB ACTIVE
Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting
C+ 67/100 9.9x — 20.3% -2.01% $2.29B Benchmark Subject
BBAR
Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. ADS
D- 43/100 — — — -2.76% $2.44B /bbar-vs-ntb →
BLX
Bladex Inc. Class E
D 48/100 — — — -6.92% $1.98B /blx-vs-ntb →
INTR
Inter & Co. Inc. (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -3.84% $1.84B /intr-vs-ntb →
ESQ
Esquire Financial Holdings Inc.
C- 61/100 — — — -2.15% $1.55B /esq-vs-ntb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001653242

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NTB) reported GAAP revenue of $606.8M (+4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $579.9M , and +4.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $231.9M, operating cash flow of $279.6M, and free cash flow of $279.6M (+5.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NTB closed FY2025 with $14.09B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $606.8M $231.9M $279.6M $279.6M $14.09B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $579.9M $216.3M $265.4M $265.4M $14.23B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $578.6M $225.5M $300.3M $300.3M — —

3. NTB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NTB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NYSE: NTB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $56.15 (-2.01% 1D, market cap $2.29B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NTB ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NTB compare to BBAR and BLX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Commercial Banks), NTB carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 20.3%. By comparison, BBAR (Banco BBVA Argentina S.A. ADS) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.44B) and BLX (Bladex Inc. Class E) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.98B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NTB leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while NTB leads on capital efficiency (20.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NTB?

Per NTB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001653242), Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting generated $606.8M in revenue (+4.6% YoY), $231.9M in net income, and $279.6M in free cash flow against $14.09B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NTB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NTB last traded at $56.15 (-2.01% on volume of 175,740 shares), positioning the stock -4.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($58.92) and -1.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($56.74). Across its 52-week range of $44.36 to $64.17, NTB sits at the 59.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($53.96 to $58.34).

NTB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NTB stock right now?

Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NTB) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (20% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is NTB's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NTB's 12-month base price target is $58.42 (range $45.57 to $68.94), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NTB — Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:26:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NTB scores 67 out of 100 for a letter grade of C+ and a verdict of "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 20.3% and an FCF yield of 12.2%. These are the strongest inputs in the framework and are the main upside driver: high capital returns combined with a high FCF yield suggest the business generates cash well relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score indicates limited institutional tailwind in the source data, which tempers conviction.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the highest-scoring pillar and is a positive signal, though the underlying trade-level detail is not included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. A market-matching beta means the stock is not structurally more volatile than the market, but it is also not insulated from broad moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These are moderate readings: the Altman Z sits in a range that is not distressed, and the Piotroski score is respectable, but neither is a clear strength.

For a prospective investor, the profile is one of solid cash generation and insider interest offset by weak institutional flow and a middling balance sheet read. The grade signals a neutral stance with the caveat to watch for a breakout, meaning the framework sees the outcome as balanced rather than directional. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: a P/E (TTM) of 9.9 and forward P/E of 9.2 are low on the source figures, but low multiples alone do not resolve whether the market is mispricing the business or correctly reflecting its risks.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$606.8M$0.0M$231.9MN/A$279.6M$1708.9MN/A
FY 2024$579.9M$0.0M$216.3MN/A$265.4M$1998.1MN/A
FY 2023$578.6M$0.0M$225.5MN/A$300.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $578.6M in FY 2023 to $606.8M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $225.5M to $231.9M over the same span with a dip to $216.3M in FY 2024. Per the market data, net margin is 38.2% and ROIC is 20.3%, and per the RQD rating the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Per the RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5. Operating margin and gross margin are reported as 0% in the market data, which does not match a meaningful operating income figure and should be read as a data limitation rather than a finding. Cash declined from $1998.1M in FY 2024 to $1708.9M in FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • What drives the FY 2024 net income dip and the subsequent FY 2025 recovery, and how do these figures reconcile with the reported revenue trend?
  • What is the debt position, since the source reports debt as N/A for every period?
  • Why are operating income and operating margin reported as $0.0M and 0%, and what is the true operating profitability profile?
  • What explains the decline in cash from $1998.1M to $1708.9M between FY 2024 and FY 2025?
  • What specific insider and institutional transactions underlie the RQD insider and whale pillar scores?

NTB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting (NTB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NTB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NTB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $56.15?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NTB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NTB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $61.88 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NTB (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $57.30?

Welcome to the NTB (Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Commercial Banks. Bulls point to capital efficiency (20.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $46.99 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $57.30

Pump the brakes on NTB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NTB, but look at what you are paying: 9.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited Voting expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $69.33 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $57.30

NTB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NTB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Commercial Banks and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $57.30 (52-wk range $44.36 - $64.17), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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