Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.7% Move

$342.64 +0.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $343.54

Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $76.86B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE: NSC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $342.64 (+0.13% 1D, market cap $76.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NSC ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NSC compare to CP and CNI in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), NSC carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.0%. By comparison, CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $76.84B) and CNI (Canadian National Railway Company) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $74.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NSC leads on earnings multiple (26.8x) while CSX leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NSC?
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Per NSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000702165), Norfolk Southern Corporation generated $12.18B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $2.87B in net income, and $2.16B in free cash flow against $45.24B in total assets and $13.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $343.53 (+0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 17.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-
Cash (14)Whales (16)SEC (14)Macro (14)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
$432 Bull$366 Base$281 Bear
📬 FREE NSC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NSC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NSC SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (66.4) create a -6 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$321.14+1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$325.57+4.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$339.74+0.9% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$342.64+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NSC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, NSC faces multiple-compression risk if 26.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($325.97) or 200D SMA ($315.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($365.77) toward Bear Floor ($280.96).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NSC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NSC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.7% Swing Band

±$12.68 Expected Swing
$329.96 (-3.7%)Spot $342.64$355.32 (+3.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NSC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 73/100

Trailing EPS: $12.79 • YoY Revenue Growth: 0.5%

Model Bullish Setup (73/100)Model Risk Weight (27/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$12.18B$2.87B$2.16B52%
FY 20242024-12-31$12.12B$2.62B$1.67B52%
FY 20232023-12-31$12.16B$1.83B$2.63B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NSC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NSC
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NSC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.94%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $338.1H $342.6L $338.1C $342.6VOL 434.0K
RES: $347.3SUP: $290.9SMA50: $326.0SMA200: $315.6
$363.3$343.8$324.2$304.7$285.2RES $347.3SUP $290.9$342.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NSC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NSC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NSC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NSC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NSC)

Industrials Rank #29 of 485 ⚔️ CP vs NSC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NSC vs. CP, CNI, CSX, WAB)

Industry: Railroads (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) ranks #29 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #20 by equity capitalization ($76.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NSC leads on earnings valuation at 26.8x trailing P/E, while CSX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and — gross margin. NSC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NSC ACTIVE
Norfolk Southern Corporation
B 73/100 26.8x — 13.0% +0.13% $76.86B Benchmark Subject
CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited
C 63/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.48% $76.84B /cp-vs-nsc →
CNI
Canadian National Railway Company
C+ 67/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.30% $74.94B /cni-vs-nsc →
CSX
CSX Corporation
C+ 67/100 33.3x — 17.2% -0.48% $96.30B /csx-vs-nsc →
WAB
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation
C 64/100 41.0x 34.1% 11.1% -2.09% $47.92B /wab-vs-nsc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000702165

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) reported GAAP revenue of $12.18B (+0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.12B , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.87B, operating cash flow of $4.36B, and free cash flow of $2.16B (+29.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NSC closed FY2025 with $45.24B in total assets against $13.36B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.53, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.18B $2.87B $4.36B $2.16B $45.24B $13.36B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.12B $2.62B $4.05B $1.67B $43.68B $13.22B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $12.16B $1.83B $3.18B $2.63B $42.27B $9.89B

3. NSC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NYSE: NSC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $342.64 (+0.13% 1D, market cap $76.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NSC ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NSC compare to CP and CNI in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Railroads), NSC carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.0%. By comparison, CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $76.84B) and CNI (Canadian National Railway Company) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $74.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NSC leads on earnings multiple (26.8x) while CSX leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NSC?

Per NSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000702165), Norfolk Southern Corporation generated $12.18B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $2.87B in net income, and $2.16B in free cash flow against $45.24B in total assets and $13.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NSC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NSC last traded at $342.64 (+0.13% on volume of 641,907 shares), positioning the stock +5.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($325.97) and +8.56% above its 200-day simple moving average ($315.62). Across its 52-week range of $277.80 to $358.60, NSC sits at the 80.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($329.96 to $355.32).

NSC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NSC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NSC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.7% event move for NSC, spanning a range between $329.96 and $355.32.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NSC — Norfolk Southern Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:23Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NSC scores 73 out of 100 with a letter grade of B and a verdict label of "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 13% and an FCF yield of 2.81%. For a prospective investor, this indicates solid capital efficiency but a modest cash yield relative to the current price, which pushes the valuation case toward expectations of continued earnings growth rather than immediate cash return.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the highest-scoring pillar, suggesting that large holders' activity is a relative strength. The underlying 13F and options data is not itemized in the source data, so the specific positioning cannot be verified here.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is favorable, but the individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 0.96 and sector sensitivity. A beta near 1.0 implies the stock has tended to move roughly in line with the broader market, meaning it offers limited defensive or amplification characteristics on its own.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.53, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.8. These readings point to a financially stable but not exceptionally strong balance sheet.

Taken together, the rating suggests a company with sound cash generation, institutional support, and moderate balance sheet strength, but whose valuation (26.8x trailing P/E, 14.1x EV/EBITDA) already reflects much of that quality. A prospective investor should weigh the upside drivers (improving forward earnings multiple to 24.9x, institutional flow) against the valuation tradeoff and the modest 2.81% FCF yield.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
342.19$76.86B26.824.914.112.791.58%0.96$277.8 - $358.613%

Business

Norfolk Southern Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and Railroads industry, per the SEC financials and profile. The profile identifies a market capitalization of $76.9B. The source data does not itemize the company's specific products, customers, or revenue streams, and does not describe the business model beyond its sector and industry classification. Operating margin is 35.8% and net margin is 23.6%, per the market data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$12180.0M$4356.0M$2873.0MN/A$2157.0M$1530.0M$13360.0M
FY 2024$12123.0M$4071.0M$2622.0MN/A$1671.0M$1641.0M$13219.2M
FY 2023$12156.0M$2851.0M$1827.0MN/A$2632.0MN/A$9892.1M

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat across the three reported periods, while operating income and net income rose from FY 2023 to FY 2025. Free cash flow declined from $2632.0M in FY 2023 to $1671.0M in FY 2024 before recovering to $2157.0M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 13%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.53, and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt rose from $9892.1M in FY 2023 to $13360.0M in FY 2025, and per the Roarable RQD rating the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.8. Gross margin is reported as 0% in the market data, which is not meaningfully interpretable and should be treated with caution.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news feed contains six items, all rated YELLOW and classified as MARKET WIRE. Per the recent news and catalysts section, the items include:

  • A Yahoo! Finance Canada report on market action and institutional positioning (1h ago).
  • A Seeking Alpha item referencing the 2026 Q3 Results and Earnings Call Presentation dated 2026-10-22 (3h ago).
  • A 24/7 Wall St. stock price and analysis report (6h ago).
  • A TradingView summary of the Q3 earnings call (9h ago).
  • A Courier Express item headlined as a quarterly dividend declaration (12h ago).
  • A Yahoo Finance stock forecasts item (15h ago).

The headlines are generic and their summaries do not provide the content of the earnings call, the dividend amount, or the forecasts. Risk watch items and proprietary signals are not itemized. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain status is "NONE," with no butterfly links identified. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. The sector and industry classifications (Industrials / Railroads) are the only structural context provided.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific drivers behind the Whale 13F Flow and Insider Conviction pillar scores, and which institutions or insiders are contributing?
  • What is the company's EPS for the FY 2025 and FY 2024 periods, given the source reports "N/A" for both?
  • What was the content of the Q3 2026 earnings call and the quarterly dividend declaration referenced in the news feed?
  • What explains the rise in total debt from $9892.1M to $13360.0M over the reported periods, and what is the associated use of proceeds?
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0%, and is this a data reporting artifact or a substantive attribute of the business?

NSC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NSC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NSC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $342.64?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NSC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NSC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $403.78 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NSC (B • RQD 73/100) a Buy at $342.19?

Welcome to the NSC (Norfolk Southern Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 73/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Railroads. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $280.60 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $342.19

Pump the brakes on NSC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NSC, but look at what you are paying: 26.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Norfolk Southern Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $414.05 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $342.19

NSC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NSC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Railroads and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $342.19 (52-wk range $277.80 - $358.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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