Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NRDY) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$6.29 +5.89% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.34

Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NRDY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $75.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NRDY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: NRDY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $6.29 (+5.89% 1D, market cap $75.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, NRDY ranks #41 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NRDY compare to CHGG and COE in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), NRDY carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 58.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CHGG (Chegg Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $76.8M) and COE (51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $66.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IH leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while IH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRDY?
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Per NRDY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819404), Nerdy Inc. (Class A) generated $179.0M in revenue (-5.9% YoY), -$39.9M in net income, and -$24.2M in free cash flow against $76.2M in total assets and $19.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.34 (+0.87%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (5)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$23 Bull$6 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE NRDY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NRDY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NRDY SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (37% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 58% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
22
Grade E$6.21-2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
25
Grade E$6.05-5.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$5.72+10% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$6.29-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (22) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NRDY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NRDY currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.92) and Max Pain ($6.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NRDY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NRDY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NRDY Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $6.29: 1589.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.29
$6,820
$-3,180 (-31.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $5.50
$8,744
$-1,256 (-12.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $23.47
$37,313
+$27,313 (+273.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NRDY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NRDY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NRDY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.35%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $5.77H $6.29L $5.77C $6.29VOL 51.5K
RES: $9.46SUP: $3.95SMA50: $7.92SMA200: $11.92
$17.56$14.25$10.95$7.65$4.34RES $9.46SUP $3.95$6.292026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NRDY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NRDY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NRDY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NRDY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NRDY)

Real Estate Rank #41 of 51 ⚔️ CHGG vs NRDY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (NRDY vs. CHGG, COE, IH, LFS)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NRDY) ranks #41 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #29 by equity capitalization ($75.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IH leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while IH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 67.9% gross margin. LFS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with NRDY at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NRDY ACTIVE
Nerdy Inc. (Class A)
E 30/100 — 58.0% -35.0% +5.89% $75.9M Benchmark Subject
CHGG
Chegg Inc.
E 25/100 — 59.6% -35.0% +1.53% $76.8M /chgg-vs-nrdy →
COE
51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A)
D 44/100 — 73.9% -35.0% +3.00% $66.1M /coe-vs-nrdy →
IH
iHuman Inc. each representing five (Class A)
D+ 58/100 4.4x 67.9% 85.0% 0.00% $60.3M /ih-vs-nrdy →
LFS
LEIFRAS Co. Ltd.
C+ 67/100 19.6x 29.5% 26.5% -0.95% $54.9M /lfs-vs-nrdy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001819404

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NRDY) reported GAAP revenue of $179.0M (-5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $190.2M , and -7.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$39.9M, operating cash flow of -$18.8M, and free cash flow of -$24.2M (-7.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NRDY closed FY2025 with $76.2M in total assets against $19.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $179.0M -$39.9M -$18.8M -$24.2M $76.2M $19.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $190.2M -$42.6M -$15.6M -$22.5M $92.5M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $193.4M -$40.2M -$7.6M -$7.6M — —

3. NRDY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NRDY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: NRDY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $6.29 (+5.89% 1D, market cap $75.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, NRDY ranks #41 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NRDY compare to CHGG and COE in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), NRDY carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 58.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CHGG (Chegg Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $76.8M) and COE (51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $66.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IH leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while IH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NRDY?

Per NRDY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819404), Nerdy Inc. (Class A) generated $179.0M in revenue (-5.9% YoY), -$39.9M in net income, and -$24.2M in free cash flow against $76.2M in total assets and $19.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NRDY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NRDY last traded at $6.29 (+5.89% on volume of 30,628 shares), positioning the stock -20.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.92) and -47.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.92). Across its 52-week range of $5.37 to $22.35, NRDY sits at the 5.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.50 to $7.08).

NRDY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NRDY's 12-month stock price target?

Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NRDY) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $5.5 (-12.6% from $6.29), with a bull-case target of $23.47 and a bear-case floor of $4.29.

Is NRDY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NRDY E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 30/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NRDY — Nerdy Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NRDY carries an RQD Score of 30 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are scored as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine at 6 / 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 3 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 5 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 1.02).

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and the flow signals. A negative ROIC and a 0% FCF yield indicate the business is not currently converting capital into free cash for shareholders, which removes a common valuation anchor. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar is the strongest of the five, and its readings (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 5/9) sit in the middle of the range rather than signaling distress or strength. Insider and institutional pillars both score low, which the rating treats as a negative flow signal. Per the rating's verdict label, the overall posture is to avoid. The main upside driver implied by the data would be a turn in operating and free cash flow, which the source data does not show occurring yet. Valuation tradeoffs center on the absence of earnings-based multiples, meaning investors are pricing the equity without a profit anchor.

Business

Per the profile section, Nerdy Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Real Estate sector and the Other Consumer Services industry, with a market capitalization of $0.1B. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond these classifications. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists supply chain as "NONE." Reported gross margin is 58% per the market data section.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$179.0M$-61.9M$-39.9MN/A$-24.2M$47.9M$19.3M
FY 2024$190.2M$-70.1M$-42.6MN/A$-22.5M$52.5M$0.0M
FY 2023$193.4M$-57.6M$-40.2MN/A$-7.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $193.4M (FY 2023) to $190.2M (FY 2024) to $179.0M (FY 2025), while operating losses and net losses persisted in each period. Per the market data section, operating margin is -34.6% and net margin is -22.3%, with ROIC at -35%. The Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 are reported per the Roarable RQD rating's forensic balance sheet pillar. Debt/Equity is 1.02 per the same source, and reported debt rose from $0.0M (FY 2024) to $19.3M (FY 2025) while cash declined from $52.5M to $47.9M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Insider sale (YELLOW): A headline reports the chief legal officer selling $19,913 in NRDY stock.
  • Earnings date (YELLOW): A headline states Nerdy will announce third quarter 2026 results on November 9, 2026.
  • Estimates coverage (YELLOW): A TradingView estimates page is listed for NRDY without further detail.
  • Q2 2026 call transcript (YELLOW): A Benzinga transcript of the Q2 2026 earnings conference call is listed.
  • Insider sale (YELLOW): A MarketBeat headline reports the CFO selling $14,082.90 in stock.
  • Sector mention (GREEN): A Business Journals article on a St. Louis stock index lists NRDY among local movers, with a headline referencing a separate biotech company's 212% gain.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is "NONE," with no upstream or downstream butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded. The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for NRDY. The one dependency the data does surface is the upcoming Q3 2026 results release on November 9, 2026, which a prospective investor would watch as a checkpoint against the declining revenue and continuing operating losses shown in the SEC financials.

Open Questions

  • What are Nerdy's products and customer base, given the source data provides only sector and industry classifications?
  • What drove the reported change in debt from $0.0M in FY 2024 to $19.3M in FY 2025, and what are its repayment terms?
  • What are the forward earnings or cash flow expectations, given P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA are unavailable?
  • Does the Q3 2026 results release on November 9, 2026 show a change in the revenue decline or operating losses trend?
  • What is the context for the reported insider sales relative to the company's trading activity and any scheduled plans?

NRDY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nerdy Inc. (Class A) (NRDY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NRDY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NRDY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.29?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NRDY 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NRDY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.23 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NRDY (E • RQD 30/100) a Buy at $5.94?

Welcome to the NRDY (Nerdy Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 30/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Other Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.93 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $5.94

Pump the brakes on NRDY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NRDY, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 58.0% gross margins. Unless Nerdy Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.13 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $5.94

NRDY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NRDY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $5.94 (52-wk range $5.37 - $22.35), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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