Chegg Inc. (CHGG) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.70 +1.53% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.70

Chegg Inc. (CHGG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $76.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CHGG Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CHGG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Chegg Inc. (NYSE: CHGG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $0.70 (+1.53% 1D, market cap $76.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, CHGG ranks #45 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CHGG compare to NRDY and COE in the Real Estate sector?
β–Ό

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), CHGG carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NRDY (Nerdy Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $75.9M) and COE (51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $66.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IH leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while IH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHGG?
β–Ό

Per CHGG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001364954), Chegg Inc. generated $376.9M in revenue (-39.0% YoY), -$103.0M in net income, and -$12.6M in free cash flow against $278.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.70 (+0.09%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.3% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CHGG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CHGG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CHGG SCORES 25/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (40% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$0.71+1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$0.72+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$0.72-2.8% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$0.70-10.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (33) β†’ E (25)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CHGG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While CHGG currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.74) and Max Pain ($0.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.64.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CHGGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCHGG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
44.330 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE23% OF RANGE
L: $0$0.70H: $2
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 1 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CHGG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-35.0% ROIC with 59.6% gross margin and -16.44% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (27)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CHGG
  • βœ“Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CHGG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of CHGG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CHGG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.13%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $0.69H $0.70L $0.69C $0.70VOL 400.6K
RES: $0.84SUP: $0.58SMA50: $0.74SMA200: $0.86
$1.63$1.35$1.07$0.79$0.51RES $0.84SUP $0.58$0.702026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHGG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -39.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHGG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHGG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHGG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CHGG)

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (CHGG vs. NRDY, COE, IH, LFS)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chegg Inc. (CHGG) ranks #45 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #28 by equity capitalization ($76.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IH leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while IH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 67.9% gross margin. LFS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CHGG at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CHGG ACTIVE
Chegg Inc.
E 25/100 β€” 59.6% -35.0% +1.53% $76.8M Benchmark Subject
NRDY
Nerdy Inc. (Class A)
E 30/100 β€” 58.0% -35.0% +5.89% $75.9M /nrdy-vs-chgg β†’
COE
51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A)
D 44/100 β€” 73.9% -35.0% +3.00% $66.1M /coe-vs-chgg β†’
IH
iHuman Inc. each representing five (Class A)
D+ 58/100 4.4x 67.9% 85.0% 0.00% $60.3M /ih-vs-chgg β†’
LFS
LEIFRAS Co. Ltd.
C+ 67/100 19.6x 29.5% 26.5% -0.95% $54.9M /lfs-vs-chgg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001364954

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chegg Inc. (CHGG) reported GAAP revenue of $376.9M (-39.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $617.6M , and -47.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$103.0M, operating cash flow of $15.5M, and free cash flow of -$12.6M (-125.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CHGG closed FY2025 with $278.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $376.9M -$103.0M $15.5M -$12.6M $278.0M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $617.6M -$837.0M $125.2M $50.3M $869.0M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $716.3M $18.0M $246.2M $246.2M β€” β€”

3. CHGG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CHGG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Chegg Inc. (NYSE: CHGG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $0.70 (+1.53% 1D, market cap $76.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, CHGG ranks #45 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CHGG compare to NRDY and COE in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), CHGG carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NRDY (Nerdy Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $75.9M) and COE (51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A)) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $66.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IH leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while IH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CHGG?

Per CHGG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001364954), Chegg Inc. generated $376.9M in revenue (-39.0% YoY), -$103.0M in net income, and -$12.6M in free cash flow against $278.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CHGG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CHGG last traded at $0.70 (+1.53% on volume of 1,572,439 shares), positioning the stock -5.41% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.74) and -18.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.86). Across its 52-week range of $0.45 to $1.56, CHGG sits at the 22.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.79).

CHGG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CHGG stock right now?

Chegg Inc. (CHGG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell β€” SELL) with 25/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CHGG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CHGG's 12-month base price target is $0.6 (range $0.47 to $1.64), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 25/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CHGG β€” Chegg Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:16Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CHGG scores 25 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars. The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 1 of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -16.44%; this is the weakest pillar and signals that the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 10 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. The insider conviction pillar scores 3 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 3 of 20, reflecting a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 8 of 20, reflecting an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the pillar pattern points to negative operating economics with the most significant concern being the forensic and cash-generation profile rather than market-based signals. Upside drivers would need to come from a reversal in operating returns, which the source data does not evidence. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed directly because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. The verdict is analytical and not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$376.9M$-116.9M$-103.0MN/A$-12.6M$31.1MN/A
FY 2024$617.6M$-737.1M$-837.0MN/A$50.3M$161.5MN/A
FY 2023$716.3M$-67.7M$18.0MN/A$246.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods from $716.3M to $376.9M, and operating margin is -31% and net margin is -27.3% per the market data. ROIC is -35% per the market data and the Roarable RQD rating. Per the RQD forensic balance sheet pillar, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Cash is reported at $31.1M for FY 2025, down from $161.5M for FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, all six items are tagged with a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines reference a Q2 2026 results earnings call transcript, an upcoming earnings report described as occurring "tomorrow," a report on shares crossing below the two-hundred-day moving average, a StockStory piece framing the stock as facing headwinds, and general quote and estimates pages. Risk watch items include the reported crossing below the two-hundred-day moving average and the headwinds framing. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain links and no proprietary signals, so no additional signal analysis is available from that section.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's forward earnings trajectory, given that forward P/E and EPS (TTM) are not available in source data?
  • What drove the decline in revenue from $716.3M to $376.9M across the reported periods, and what is the company's reported debt position, given that debt is N/A in each period?
  • What is the outcome of the most recent earnings report referenced in the news feed, and how does it compare to expectations?
  • What institutional holdings and insider transactions exist, given that the holders and analyst data sections are empty?
  • Why does cash decline from $161.5M to $31.1M between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and what is the company's runway at the current FCF rate?

CHGG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Chegg Inc. (CHGG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CHGG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CHGG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.70?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CHGG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CHGG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.61 (-11.6%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CHGG (E β€’ RQD 25/100) a Buy at $0.69?

Welcome to the CHGG (Chegg Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 25/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Other Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.57 (-17.4%)
Spot @ $0.69

Pump the brakes on CHGG β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CHGG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 59.6% gross margins. Unless Chegg Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.87 (+26.1%)
Spot @ $0.69

CHGG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CHGG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.69 (52-wk range $0.45 - $1.56), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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