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Stock Ratings / Energy / NOA / earnings
RNGR (53) NGS (33) CLB (58) TUSK (33) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.3% Move

$11.99 -4.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.87

North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $347.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NOA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NOA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NYSE: NOA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $11.99 (-4.39% 1D, market cap $347.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NOA ranks #146 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NOA compare to RNGR and NGS in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NOA carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RNGR (Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $361.3M) and NGS (Natural Gas Services Group Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $424.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOA?
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For North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #146 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.87 (-0.98%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
$18 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE NOA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NOA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NOA SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($9.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (56.8) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$11.73-2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$11.43+3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$11.88+0.9% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$11.99-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NOA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NOA currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.48) and Max Pain ($12.59) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NOA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NOA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.3% Swing Band

±$0.76 Expected Swing
$11.23 (-6.3%)Spot $11.99$12.75 (+6.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NOA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 49/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (49/100)Model Risk Weight (51/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NOA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NOA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NOA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.59%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $12.66H $12.66L $11.99C $11.99VOL 72.2K
RES: $16.21SUP: $10.35SMA50: $12.48SMA200: $13.93
$16.56$15.02$13.47$11.92$10.37RES $16.21SUP $10.35$11.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NOA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NOA Butterfly Map → + Track NOA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NOA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NOA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NOA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NOA)

Energy Rank #146 of 211 ⚔️ RNGR vs NOA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NOA vs. RNGR, NGS, CLB, TUSK)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA) ranks #146 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #161 by equity capitalization ($347.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLB leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while CLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and 20.7% gross margin. CLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with NOA at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NOA ACTIVE
North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)
D 49/100 — — — -4.39% $347.5M Benchmark Subject
RNGR
Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 29.4x — 4.2% -1.44% $361.3M /rngr-vs-noa →
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group Inc.
E 33/100 21.3x — 10.7% -1.46% $424.1M /ngs-vs-noa →
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
D+ 58/100 16.1x 20.7% 12.6% +2.31% $477.2M /clb-vs-noa →
TUSK
Mammoth Energy Services Inc.
E 33/100 30.5x — -29.0% +9.28% $140.1M /tusk-vs-noa →

2. NOA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA) operates in Oilfield Services/Equipment (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $347.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. NOA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NOA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NYSE: NOA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $11.99 (-4.39% 1D, market cap $347.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NOA ranks #146 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NOA compare to RNGR and NGS in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), NOA carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, RNGR (Ranger Energy Services Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 29.4x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $361.3M) and NGS (Natural Gas Services Group Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $424.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOA?

For North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #146 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NOA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NOA last traded at $11.99 (-4.39% on volume of 82,687 shares), positioning the stock -3.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.48) and -13.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.93). Across its 52-week range of $10.85 to $17.26, NOA sits at the 17.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($11.23 to $12.75).

NOA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NOA's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is NOA stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.3% event move for NOA, spanning a range between $11.23 and $12.75.

Direct Sub-Reports: NOA RQD Cockpit NOA 12M Forecast NOA Earnings & Move NOA Dividends & DRIP NOA Insiders & 13F NOA Whale Options NOA Profit Sankey NOA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NOA — North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:16:35Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NOA scores 49 out of 100, earning a "D" grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, the absence of measurable returns on invested capital and free cash flow yield means the valuation case currently rests on something other than present cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning, and scores below midpoint. Weak institutional support can limit price support during drawdowns.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores below midpoint, indicating limited observable insider conviction in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity score low. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity; the low pillar score suggests the stock's regime fit is weak under the rating's framework.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 score comparatively highest. This is the strongest pillar, though it still falls short of two-thirds of available points.

Taken together, the rating frames NOA as a stock where balance sheet metrics are relatively sturdier than its cash generation and ownership signals. Upside would require improvement in returns and institutional or insider support; valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed precisely because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Sector classification is Energy and industry is Oilfield Services/Equipment. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are NOA's reported revenue, operating income, and net income across recent periods, given that no financials are provided?
  • What are the trailing and forward earnings multiples and EV/EBITDA, which would allow valuation to be compared against the 0% FCF yield?
  • What is the current analyst consensus and price target distribution?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) holdings and transactions exist, given that holder data is absent?
  • What recent news or catalysts explain the stock's position within its 52-week range of $10.85 - $17.26?

NOA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) (NOA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NOA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NOA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.99?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NOA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NOA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $13.54 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NOA (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $12.54?

Welcome to the NOA (North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Oilfield Services/Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.41 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $12.54

Pump the brakes on NOA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NOA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless North American Construction Group Ltd. (no par) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.42 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $12.54

NOA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NOA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oilfield Services/Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.54 (52-wk range $10.85 - $17.26), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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