How profitable is Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), NMRA converted $675.2M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Health Care / NMRA / financials

CRDF (25) CSBR (20) CGTX (35) GRML (29) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

Q: Where is NMRA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NMRA last traded at $0.37 (-5.43% on volume of 1,107,541 shares), positioning the stock -51.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.77) and -79.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.77). Across its 52-week range of $0.31 to $3.65, NMRA sits at the 1.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.42).

$0.37 -5.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.37

Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $69.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NMRA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NMRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: NMRA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.37 (-5.43% 1D, market cap $69.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NMRA ranks #641 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NMRA compare to CRDF and CSBR in the Health Care sector?

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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), NMRA carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CRDF (Cardiff Oncology Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $69.2M) and CSBR (Champions Oncology Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -26.9%, cap $66.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NMRA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CSBR leads on capital efficiency (-26.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NMRA?

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Per NMRA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001885522), Neumora Therapeutics Inc. generated $675.2M in revenue (-8.5% YoY), $236.9M in net income, and -$206.4M in free cash flow against $191.0M in total assets and $54.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.37 (-1.17%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NMRA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NMRA SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 28.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$0.44+6.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$0.47-17% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.39-5.1% Next Q

Current

Grade E$0.37-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NMRA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NMRA currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.77) and Max Pain ($0.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.83.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NMRA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NMRA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How NMRA Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $705.9M

FY24

Rev $737.7M

FY25

Rev $675.2M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$675.2M	52%	-35.7%	$236.9M	-$206.4M	-45%
FY 2024	$737.7M	52%	-35.7%	$243.8M	-$182.9M	-45%
FY 2023	$705.9M	52%	-35.7%	-$235.9M	-$163.3M	-35%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NMRA)

✓Walkthrough of NMRA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NMRA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -83.98%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $0.39H $0.39L $0.37C $0.37VOL 1.11M

RES: $1.63SUP: $0.05SMA50: $0.77SMA200: $1.77

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NMRA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NMRA Butterfly Map → + Track NMRA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NMRA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NMRA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NMRA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NMRA)

Health Care Rank #641 of 1016 ⚔️ CRDF vs NMRA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NMRA vs. CRDF, CSBR, CGTX, GRML)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) ranks #641 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #699 by equity capitalization ($69.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NMRA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CSBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -26.9% ROIC and 48.0% gross margin. CGTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 35/100 (D-) compared with NMRA at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NMRA ACTIVE Neumora Therapeutics Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	-5.43%	$69.0M	Benchmark Subject
CRDF Cardiff Oncology Inc.	E	25/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.46%	$69.2M	/crdf-vs-nmra →
CSBR Champions Oncology Inc.	E	20/100	—	48.0%	-26.9%	0.00%	$66.9M	/csbr-vs-nmra →
CGTX Cognition Therapeutics Inc.	D-	35/100	—	—	-35.0%	-5.57%	$66.4M	/cgtx-vs-nmra →
GRML Greenland Mines Ltd.	E	29/100	—	—	-35.0%	-10.89%	$62.7M	/grml-vs-nmra →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001885522

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) reported GAAP revenue of $675.2M (-8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $737.7M , and -4.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $236.9M, operating cash flow of -$206.4M, and free cash flow of -$206.4M (-12.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NMRA closed FY2025 with $191.0M in total assets against $54.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$675.2M	$236.9M	-$206.4M	-$206.4M	$191.0M	$54.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$737.7M	$243.8M	-$182.9M	-$182.9M	$317.0M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$705.9M	-$235.9M	-$163.3M	-$163.3M	—	—

3. NMRA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NMRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NMRA compare to CRDF and CSBR in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NMRA?

Where is NMRA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NMRA last traded at $0.37 (-5.43% on volume of 1,107,541 shares), positioning the stock -51.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.77) and -79.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.77). Across its 52-week range of $0.31 to $3.65, NMRA sits at the 1.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.42).

Direct Sub-Reports: NMRA RQD Cockpit NMRA 12M Forecast NMRA Earnings & Move NMRA Dividends & DRIP NMRA Insiders & 13F NMRA Whale Options NMRA Profit Sankey NMRA News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NMRA — Neumora Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:45:34Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NMRA scores 42 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%. This is the weakest pillar and indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow. For a prospective investor, the valuation case rests on future developments rather than current earnings power.
Whale / 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Described in the RQD rating as "Institutional accumulation & options positioning.
Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score signals limited insider conviction signals in the data.
Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. The stock is assessed as moving in line with the broad market on a beta basis, with sector-specific sensitivity weighing on the score.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.52. These sit in a mixed-to-weak zone: the Altman figure is not in a distress-free range alone, and the Piotroski score is low.

Implications for a prospective investor: The upside case depends on a turnaround in operating economics that the current ROIC and FCF figures do not yet show. The valuation tradeoff is that a $73.0M market capitalization against negative operating income of $-241.2M (FY 2025) leaves little margin for execution error. Balance-sheet strength is moderate rather than robust. This is an analytical framing of the rating, not personalized advice.

Business

Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, classified under Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). the market capitalization is $0.1B. Product, customer, and monetization details are —

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the items are:

Market wire (YELLOW): A Yahoo! Finance Canada seasonal returns chart and a TradingView estimates page, both general market coverage.
Risk watch (RED): A MarketBeat report stating the stock was cut to Strong Sell at Wall Street Zen.
Market wire (YELLOW): A Benzinga report on health care stocks moving in after-market trading.
Market wire (YELLOW): A TradingView report stating the company received a notice of noncompliance.
Market wire (YELLOW): A dealer-gamma item noting the stock holding near $0.48 as a sub-$1 stock tests key support.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst consensus, price targets, and holder records: —

Open Questions

What is the company's clinical or commercial pipeline, and what drives the reported operating losses?
What does the reported notice of noncompliance concern, and what is its timeline?
What explains net income of $236.9M (FY 2025) and $243.8M (FY 2024) against operating losses in the same periods?
What is the composition and trend of institutional and insider ownership?
What is the trajectory of the $54.5M debt balance relative to the $182.5M cash position?

NMRA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NMRA Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 19h ago

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. (NMRA) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 22h ago

Neumora Therapeutics, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:NMRA

TradingView report covering Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago

Neumora Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NMRA) Cut to Strong Sell at Wall Street Zen

MarketBeat report covering Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Tuesday's After-Market Session

Benzinga report covering Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Neumora Therapeutics Received Notice of Noncompliance

TradingView report covering Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Neumora Therapeutics (NMRA) Holds Near $0.48 as Sub-$1 Stock Tests Key Support - Dealer Gamma

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Neumora Therapeutics (NMRA) Projected to Release Quarterly Earnings on Thursday

MarketBeat report covering Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 10d ago

12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Friday's After-Market Session

Gainers Pomdoctor (NASDAQ:POM) shares rose 25.6% to $1.47 during Friday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $8.3 million. GeneDx Holdings (NASDAQ:WGS) shares rose 8.72% to

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NMRA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.37?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NMRA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.43 (+16.2%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Cash rose to $182.5M in FY 2025 while the Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Debt/Equity of 0.52 indicate the balance sheet is not in a distress

The street is overcomplicating Neumora Therapeutics Inc. (NMRA). Cash rose to $182.5M in FY 2025 while the Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Debt/Equity of 0.52 indicate the balance sheet is not in a distress-free-disqualifying position.. With an RQD score of 34/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $0.40.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — NMRA's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.32 (-13.5%)

Spot @ $0.37

Operating income of $-241.2M, ROIC of -35%, and an FCF yield of 0% show no current cash-generating earnings power against a $73.0M mark

I respect the product at Neumora Therapeutics Inc., but the stock at $0.37 is a different story. Operating income of $-241.2M, ROIC of -35%, and an FCF yield of 0% show no current cash-generating earnings power against a $73.0M market cap.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 34/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?