ROARABLE
Today ⌘ Pro Terminal Big Ideas 🎲 Predictions Screener 🦋 Butterfly 8 Analysts 🏛️ Policy 🎬 Video ★ Watchlist 🎲 Prediction Markets 📊 RQD Track Record 📅 Next Catalysts 🛡️ Overlap & Crash X-Ray 📰 Live Wire 🐋 13F Whales 🏛️ Congress & CEO Buys 🏆 $100K Arena ⌘ Pro Terminal 📐 Methodology & Corrections
Stock Ratings / Energy / NJR / earnings
SR (43) OGS (49) UGP (53) EE (64) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.5% Move

$53.21 +0.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.36

NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $5.39B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NJR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NJR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, NewJersey Resources Corporation (NYSE: NJR) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $53.21 (+0.19% 1D, market cap $5.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NJR ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NJR compare to SR and OGS in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), NJR carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, SR (Spire Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $5.13B) and OGS (ONE Gas Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $4.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NJR?
▼

Per NJR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000356309), NewJersey Resources Corporation generated $1.35B in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $335.6M in net income, and $466.3M in free cash flow against $7.91B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.35 (+0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 34.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Cash (15)Whales (11)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$66 Bull$56 Base$44 Bear
📬 FREE NJR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NJR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NJR SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 34.5% FCF Margin ($466.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$51.88-1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$51.18+3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$53.19+0% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$53.21+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NJR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, NJR faces multiple-compression risk if 16.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($52.56) or 200D SMA ($54.50) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($56.32) toward Bear Floor ($43.63).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NJR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NJR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.5% Swing Band

±$1.86 Expected Swing
$51.35 (-3.5%)Spot $53.21$55.07 (+3.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NJR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 71/100

Trailing EPS: $3.31 • YoY Revenue Growth: 9.9%

Model Bullish Setup (71/100)Model Risk Weight (29/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-30$1.35B$335.6M$466.3M52%
FY 20242024-09-30$1.23B$289.8M$427.4M52%
FY 20232023-09-30$1.11B$264.7M$479.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NJR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NJR
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
NJR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.15%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $52.77H $53.21L $52.77C $53.21VOL 570.0K
RES: $53.35SUP: $47.45SMA50: $52.56SMA200: $54.50
$61.68$58.29$54.90$51.51$48.12RES $53.35SUP $47.45$53.212026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NJR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NJR Butterfly Map → + Track NJR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NJR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NJR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NJR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NJR)

Energy Rank #32 of 211 ⚔️ SR vs NJR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NJR vs. SR, OGS, UGP, EE)

Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #82 by equity capitalization ($5.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NJR leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while NJR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. NJR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NJR ACTIVE
NewJersey Resources Corporation
B- 71/100 16.1x — 16.3% +0.19% $5.39B Benchmark Subject
SR
Spire Inc.
D- 43/100 18.9x 58.8% 5.3% +1.48% $5.13B /sr-vs-njr →
OGS
ONE Gas Inc.
D 49/100 18.6x — 6.2% +0.56% $4.91B /ogs-vs-njr →
UGP
Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share)
D+ 53/100 — — — -2.68% $6.64B /ugp-vs-njr →
EE
Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A)
C 64/100 23.8x — 8.1% +0.86% $3.98B /ee-vs-njr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000356309

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.35B (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.23B , and +21.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $335.6M, operating cash flow of $466.3M, and free cash flow of $466.3M (+9.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NJR closed FY2025 with $7.91B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.35B $335.6M $466.3M $466.3M $7.91B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.23B $289.8M $427.4M $427.4M $7.19B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.11B $264.7M $479.0M $479.0M — —

3. NJR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NJR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, NewJersey Resources Corporation (NYSE: NJR) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $53.21 (+0.19% 1D, market cap $5.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NJR ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NJR compare to SR and OGS in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), NJR carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, SR (Spire Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $5.13B) and OGS (ONE Gas Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $4.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NJR?

Per NJR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000356309), NewJersey Resources Corporation generated $1.35B in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $335.6M in net income, and $466.3M in free cash flow against $7.91B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NJR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NJR last traded at $53.21 (+0.19% on volume of 849,916 shares), positioning the stock +1.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($52.56) and -2.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($54.50). Across its 52-week range of $43.46 to $60.86, NJR sits at the 56.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.5% ($51.35 to $55.07).

NJR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NJR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is NJR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.5% event move for NJR, spanning a range between $51.35 and $55.07.

Direct Sub-Reports: NJR RQD Cockpit NJR 12M Forecast NJR Earnings & Move NJR Dividends & DRIP NJR Insiders & 13F NJR Whale Options NJR Profit Sankey NJR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NJR — NewJersey Resources Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NJR scores 71 out of 100 with a letter grade of B-, labeled "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. The source cites ROIC of 16.3% and FCF yield of 8.65%. For a prospective investor, these are the strongest quantitative support for the rating: returns on invested capital and free cash generation relative to price are both solid in the source data.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. The pillar description references institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data, so the score can be read as moderate institutional support without specific holder confirmation.
  • Insider Conviction: 18 / 20. This is the highest pillar, described as reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The individual transactions are not itemized in the source, so the investor should treat this as a strong aggregate signal whose specifics must be verified separately.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Beta of 1.0 indicates the stock is in line with overall market volatility. The score reflects sector sensitivity, which the source does not further detail.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. The source cites Altman Z-Score of 2.5, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These point to a balance sheet the rating considers reasonably sound, not a distressed one.

Taken together, the investor implication is that the rating favors cash generation, insider signal strength, and balance sheet quality, while institutional flow and macro fit are more moderate. Valuation is a tradeoff: the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 16.1 and EV/EBITDA of 10.6, with a dividend yield of 3.34%, so upside depends on whether earnings and cash flow continue to grow at the pace implied by recent periods.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
53.11$5.39B16.11510.63.313.34%1.0$43.46 - $60.8616.3%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1351.3M$508.9M$335.6MN/A$466.3M$2.4MN/A
FY 2024$1229.9M$458.1M$289.8MN/A$427.4M$1.9MN/A
FY 2023$1111.5M$407.0M$264.7MN/A$479.0MN/AN/A

Reported revenue rose from $1111.5M (FY 2023) to $1351.3M (FY 2025), and net income rose from $264.7M to $335.6M over the same span. Per the market data, operating margin is 37.7%, net margin is 24.8%, and ROIC is 16.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Gross margin is listed as 0% in the market data, which the source does not explain, so it should not be relied on without clarification.

Open Questions

  • What specific products, customers, and revenue mix drive NJR's reported revenue, given that the business description is absent from the source?
  • What is the reported EPS, and why do the financial periods show EPS as N/A, when EPS (TTM) of 3.31 is listed in market data?
  • Why is gross margin listed as 0%, and does this reflect a data gap or a reporting structure that affects margin comparison?
  • What specific risks does the "Risk Channels" news item identify, and what volatility levels does the "Volatility Zones" item describe?
  • What is the date and content of the scheduled fiscal 2026 fourth quarter earnings call, and what do analysts expect from it?

NJR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NJR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NJR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.21?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NJR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NJR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $62.67 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NJR (B- • RQD 71/100) a Buy at $53.11?

Welcome to the NJR (NewJersey Resources Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Oil/Gas Transmission. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $42.49 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $53.11

Pump the brakes on NJR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NJR, but look at what you are paying: 16.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless NewJersey Resources Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $65.33 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $53.11

NJR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NJR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil/Gas Transmission and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $53.11 (52-wk range $43.46 - $60.86), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%