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NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$19.83 -2.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.70

NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $6.01B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NIQ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NIQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NYSE: NIQ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $19.83 (-2.65% 1D, market cap $6.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NIQ ranks #369 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NIQ compare to TTD and BZ in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), NIQ carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.7%. By comparison, TTD (The Trade Desk Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 13.9x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $6.17B) and BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $7.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NIQ?
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Per NIQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002054696), NIQ Global Intelligence plc generated $4.20B in revenue (+5.7% YoY), -$353.3M in net income, and $264.0M in free cash flow against $6.80B in total assets and $3.50B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.70 (-0.67%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 6.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (17)SEC (6)Macro (8)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$22 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE NIQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NIQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NIQ SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.3% FCF Margin ($264.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$18.17+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$18.59+7.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$19.91-0.4% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$19.83-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NIQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NIQ currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.49) and Max Pain ($20.82) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.46.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NIQ• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NIQ Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NIQ Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $19.83: 504.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $14.84
$7,484
$-2,516 (-25.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $19.03
$9,597
$-403 (-4.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $22.46
$11,326
+$1,326 (+13.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NIQ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NIQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
NIQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +89.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $20.09H $20.37L $19.83C $19.83VOL 1.50M
RES: $20.60SUP: $19.12SMA50: $18.49SMA200: $13.22
$21.44$17.78$14.12$10.46$6.79RES $20.60SUP $19.12$19.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NIQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NIQ Butterfly Map → + Track NIQ →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NIQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NIQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NIQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NIQ)

Technology Rank #369 of 714 ⚔️ TTD vs NIQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NIQ vs. TTD, BZ, GDS, SRAD)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) ranks #369 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #194 by equity capitalization ($6.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TTD leads on earnings valuation at 13.9x trailing P/E, while GDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with NIQ at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NIQ ACTIVE
NIQ Global Intelligence plc
D 49/100 — — 1.7% -2.65% $6.01B Benchmark Subject
TTD
The Trade Desk Inc.
C 64/100 13.9x 78.6% 13.8% -5.90% $6.17B /ttd-vs-niq →
BZ
KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares
B+ 76/100 19.6x 85.1% 10.9% +1.60% $7.68B /bz-vs-niq →
GDS
GDS Holdings Limited ADS
D+ 57/100 21.7x — 14.9% -5.35% $4.64B /gds-vs-niq →
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG (Class A)
D 48/100 — — — -1.63% $3.81B /srad-vs-niq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002054696

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) reported GAAP revenue of $4.20B (+5.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.97B , and +25.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$353.3M, operating cash flow of $298.7M, and free cash flow of $264.0M (+585.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NIQ closed FY2025 with $6.80B in total assets against $3.50B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.86, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.20B -$353.3M $298.7M $264.0M $6.80B $3.50B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.97B -$798.0M $73.9M $38.5M $6.37B $3.96B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.34B -$577.4M -$11.8M -$11.8M — —

3. NIQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NIQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NYSE: NIQ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $19.83 (-2.65% 1D, market cap $6.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NIQ ranks #369 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NIQ compare to TTD and BZ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), NIQ carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.7%. By comparison, TTD (The Trade Desk Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 13.9x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $6.17B) and BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $7.68B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NIQ?

Per NIQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002054696), NIQ Global Intelligence plc generated $4.20B in revenue (+5.7% YoY), -$353.3M in net income, and $264.0M in free cash flow against $6.80B in total assets and $3.50B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NIQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NIQ last traded at $19.83 (-2.65% on volume of 1,026,923 shares), positioning the stock +7.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($18.49) and +50.00% above its 200-day simple moving average ($13.22). Across its 52-week range of $7.93 to $20.56, NIQ sits at the 94.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($18.50 to $21.16).

NIQ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is NIQ's 12-month stock price target?

NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $19.03 (-4% from $19.83), with a bull-case target of $22.46 and a bear-case floor of $14.84.

Is NIQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates NIQ D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 49/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: NIQ RQD Cockpit NIQ 12M Forecast NIQ Earnings & Move NIQ Dividends & DRIP NIQ Insiders & 13F NIQ Whale Options NIQ Profit Sankey NIQ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NIQ — NIQ Global Intelligence plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:33Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NIQ scores 49 out of 100, a D grade with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10 / 20 (ROIC 1.7%; FCF yield 4.39%), Whale 13F Flow at 17 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 6 / 20 (Altman Z 0.86; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 3.54).

The pattern is uneven. The strongest pillar is institutional positioning, which the rating reads as accumulation, while the weakest are the balance sheet and insider conviction. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the institutional and momentum signals and on the 4.39% FCF yield. The tradeoffs are a 1.7% ROIC, a 0.86 Altman Z-Score, and a 3.54 Debt/Equity ratio, all of which point to limited margin for error if operating results disappoint. The rating's overall verdict is negative, so the composite view favors caution over conviction.

Business

Per the Profile section, NIQ Global Intelligence plc is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond this classification. Not available in source data for detailed product or customer breakdown.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$4198.4M$85.4M$-353.3MN/A$264.0M$518.8M$3502.6M
FY 2024$3972.6M$-99.8M$-798.0MN/A$38.5M$266.2M$3959.8M
FY 2023$3341.3M$-108.7M$-577.4MN/A$-11.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $3341.3M in FY 2023 to $4198.4M in FY 2025, while operating income moved from negative to $85.4M in FY 2025. Net income remained negative in all three periods, and the net margin is listed as -8.4%, with an operating margin of 2% and a gross margin of 0%. ROIC is 1.7% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.86, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 3.54. Reported debt of $3502.6M against cash of $518.8M in FY 2025 reflects a leveraged balance sheet.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the feed contains five items tagged to NIQ. A MarketBeat item reports a price target raised to $22.00 and carries a GREEN catalyst tag. The remaining items are generic market-wire summaries from Yahoo! Finance Canada, TradingView, Yahoo Finance UK, and Simply Wall St, tagged YELLOW, plus a MarketScreener item on the appointment of Céline Grena as Managing Director, Benelux & Nordics. No risk-watch items or proprietary signals are identified beyond these headlines.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are NIQ's core products, customers, and revenue drivers, given the source data provides only a sector and industry classification?
  • What explains the gap between positive FCF in FY 2025 ($264.0M) and continued net losses ($-353.3M), and is it sustainable?
  • What is the debt maturity profile behind $3502.6M in reported debt, and how does it compare with $518.8M in cash?
  • What drove the EV/EBITDA of 78.3, and how does it reconcile with a 2% operating margin?
  • What are the reported EPS and P/E figures, which the source data marks as unavailable?

NIQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NIQ Global Intelligence plc (NIQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NIQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NIQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.83?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NIQ 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NIQ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $22.00 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NIQ (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $20.37?

Welcome to the NIQ (NIQ Global Intelligence plc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.28 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $20.37

Pump the brakes on NIQ — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NIQ, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless NIQ Global Intelligence plc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.04 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $20.37

NIQ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NIQ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $20.37 (52-wk range $7.93 - $20.56), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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