Yahoo Finance report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NHC Stock dropped -2.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, National HealthCare Corporation (NYSE: NHC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $206.14 (-2.84% 1D, market cap $3.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NHC ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does NHC compare to SGRY and BKD in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Hospital/Nursing Management), NHC carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.1%. By comparison, SGRY (Surgery Partners Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $3.04B) and BKD (Brookdale Senior Living Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $2.45B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARDT leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while MD leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NHC?
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Per NHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001047335), National HealthCare Corporation generated $1.52B in revenue (+16.1% YoY), $120.0M in net income, and $148.6M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $32.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 6.61 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.8% FCF Margin ($148.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NHC Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 73/100 (B) score, NHC faces multiple-compression risk if 27.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($225.54) or 200D SMA ($194.45) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($220.05) toward Bear Floor ($169.03).
Why NHC Stock dropped -2.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) dropped -2.84% to $206.14, trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($118.14 – $248.2). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($118.14 – $248.2) with RSI-14 at 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.6% around $206.14 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $148.6M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AlphaStreet report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
October jobs report: election and inflation risks, sector winners, and top stock picks in health care, finance, manufacturing, and defense.
Get a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, including dividend changes and key ex-dividend dates.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NHC Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
NHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +16.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NHC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NHC)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NHC vs. SGRY, BKD, MD, ARDT)
Industry: Hospital/Nursing Management (14 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) ranks #59 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #199 by equity capitalization ($3.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARDT leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while MD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and — gross margin. MD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with NHC at 73/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC
ACTIVE
National HealthCare Corporation | B | 73/100 | 27.7x | — | 10.1% | -2.84% | $3.32B | Benchmark Subject |
| SGRY Surgery Partners Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | — | — | 9.9% | 0.00% | $3.04B | /sgry-vs-nhc → |
| BKD Brookdale Senior Living Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | 26.2% | 0.3% | +1.17% | $2.45B | /bkd-vs-nhc → |
| MD Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 14.3x | — | 33.6% | +2.19% | $2.37B | /md-vs-nhc → |
| ARDT Ardent Health Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 12.8x | — | 10.5% | -2.19% | $1.73B | /ardt-vs-nhc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001047335In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.52B (+16.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.31B , and +33.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $120.0M, operating cash flow of $185.1M, and free cash flow of $148.6M (+86.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NHC closed FY2025 with $1.53B in total assets against $32.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.61, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.52B | $120.0M | $185.1M | $148.6M | $1.53B | $32.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.31B | $101.9M | $107.3M | $79.7M | $1.52B | $129.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.14B | $66.8M | $111.2M | $111.2M | — | — |
3. NHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, National HealthCare Corporation (NYSE: NHC) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $206.14 (-2.84% 1D, market cap $3.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NHC ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NHC compare to SGRY and BKD in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Hospital/Nursing Management), NHC carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.1%. By comparison, SGRY (Surgery Partners Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $3.04B) and BKD (Brookdale Senior Living Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $2.45B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARDT leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while MD leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NHC?
Per NHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001047335), National HealthCare Corporation generated $1.52B in revenue (+16.1% YoY), $120.0M in net income, and $148.6M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $32.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NHC last traded at $206.14 (-2.84% on volume of 135,987 shares), positioning the stock -8.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($225.54) and +6.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($194.45). Across its 52-week range of $118.14 to $248.20, NHC sits at the 67.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($190.47 to $221.81).
NHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NHC stock moving today?
Why NHC Stock dropped -2.84% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
NHC — National HealthCare Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, NHC scores 73 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars break down as follows:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 10.1% and an FCF yield of 4.47%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the business generates returns above the level the rating treats as a baseline and converts a meaningful share of market value into free cash flow.
- Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. The lowest pillar. Per the Roarable RQD rating, it covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The modest score suggests institutional conviction is not a strong tailwind; the source data does not provide the underlying 13F or options detail behind this score.
- Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderately positive, but the source data does not itemize the trades.
- Macro Regime Fit: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity considered. A beta of 1.0 implies the stock is expected to move roughly in line with the broad market, so macro exposure is neutral-to-average rather than amplified.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. The strongest pillar. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 6.61, Piotroski F is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.03. These figures point to very low leverage and strong financial health, which reduces downside risk from solvency concerns.
Investor implications. The upside case rests on the cash engine and balance sheet: strong returns, healthy cash conversion, and minimal debt give management room to operate or reinvest. The valuation tradeoff is that per the market data, P/E (TTM) is 27.7 versus a forward P/E of 23.3, and EV/EBITDA is 20.5; the stock is not cheap on trailing earnings, so the thesis depends on earnings growth delivering the implied improvement. The weakest input is institutional flow (9 / 20), which suggests the rating's positive verdict leans primarily on fundamentals rather than broad professional conviction. Price sits at 212.16 within a 52-week range of $118.14 – $248.2, placing it closer to the upper portion of that range.
Snapshot
Business
National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Hospital/Nursing Management industry, per the profile. The profile describes it as a Health Care issuer operating in that industry with a market capitalization of $3.3B. Per the market data, gross margin is reported as 0%, operating margin is 8.5%, and net margin is 7.9%. Not available in source data: specific products, customer segments, or revenue model descriptions.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1517.8M | $128.4M | $120.0M | N/A | $148.6M | $92.8M | $32.5M |
| FY 2024 | $1307.4M | $89.9M | $101.9M | N/A | $79.7M | $76.1M | $129.5M |
| FY 2023 | $1141.5M | $57.5M | $66.8M | N/A | $111.2M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $1141.5M (FY 2023) to $1517.8M (FY 2025), and operating income rose from $57.5M to $128.4M over the same span. Net income was $120.0M in FY 2025 against $101.9M in FY 2024. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 10.1%, Altman Z-Score is 6.61, and Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Debt declined from $129.5M (FY 2024) to $32.5M (FY 2025), and the Debt/Equity ratio is reported at 0.03.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news data, six items were reported, with light signals as follows:
- Market Wire (YELLOW): Yahoo Finance stock forecast coverage; Seeking Alpha coverage citing improving business metrics and future operating leverage; MarketBeat stock coverage; a Stock Titan item on three entities reporting NHC shares while disclaiming beneficial ownership; a MarketBeat item noting the stock breaking above its 200-day moving average.
- Risk Watch (RED): AlphaStreet reported NHC dropped 5.2% amid sector-wide selling.
The news data does not provide full article text, so the substance behind the headlines is limited to the headlines and summaries provided. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links. Not available in source data: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector-correlation relationships. The sector assignment (Health Care) and industry (Hospital/Nursing Management) are the only structural context provided. A prospective investor should watch sector-wide selling, referenced in the AlphaStreet item, as a potential ripple, but the source data does not specify the transmission mechanism.
Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership
Not available in source data for analyst consensus, price targets, and holder data: the analyst data and holders sections are recorded as NONE. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 9 / 20 and the Insider Conviction pillar scores 15 / 20; the underlying trade-level detail is not provided.
Open Questions
- What drove the gross margin figure of 0% versus the reported operating and net margins, and is that a data-classification artifact?
- What are the EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, which are reported as N/A in the financials?
- What is the FY 2023 cash and debt position, which is reported as N/A?
- Which specific institutional holders and insider transactions make up the 9/20 whale and 15/20 insider pillar scores?
- What is the operating-leverage thesis referenced in the Seeking Alpha headline, and what metrics support it?
NHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AlphaStreet report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
NHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $206.14?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NHC (B • RQD 73/100) a Buy at $212.16?
Welcome to the NHC (National HealthCare Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 73/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Hospital/Nursing Management. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on NHC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NHC, but look at what you are paying: 27.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless National HealthCare Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
NHC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NHC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hospital/Nursing Management and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $212.16 (52-wk range $118.14 - $248.20), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.