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Stock Ratings / Energy / NGG / insiders
WMB (65) EPD (72) KMI (67) ENB (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$84.42 +0.56% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.34

National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) β†’
ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $88.14B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NGG Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NGG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NYSE: NGG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $84.42 (+0.56% 1D, market cap $88.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NGG ranks #68 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NGG compare to WMB and EPD in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), NGG carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, WMB (Williams Companies Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 18.8%, cap $90.94B) and EPD (Enterprise Products Partners L.P.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $82.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPD leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while WMB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGG?
β–Ό

For National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #68 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.34 (-0.09%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- Β· Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$102 Bull$87 Base$68 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NGG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NGG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±2.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NGG SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 15.8% FCF Margin ($1.95B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$78.51+2.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$80.78+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$82.22+2.7% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$84.42+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (56) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NGG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, NGG faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($78.52) or 200D SMA ($83.39) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($86.70) toward Bear Floor ($67.63).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NGGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNGG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NGG Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NGG)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NGG. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NGG Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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NGG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.52%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $84.20H $84.42L $83.95C $84.42VOL 673.9K
RES: $84.62SUP: $72.25SMA50: $78.52SMA200: $83.39
$89.65$85.42$81.18$76.95$72.72RES $84.62SUP $72.25$84.422026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NGG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ NGG Butterfly Map β†’ + Track NGG β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NGG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NGG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NGG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NGG)

Energy Rank #68 of 211 βš”οΈ WMB vs NGG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NGG vs. WMB, EPD, KMI, ENB)

Industry: Natural Gas Distribution (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG) ranks #68 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #18 by equity capitalization ($88.14B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EPD leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while WMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. EPD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with NGG at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NGG ACTIVE
National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC
C 64/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +0.56% $88.14B Benchmark Subject
WMB
Williams Companies Inc.
C 65/100 35.0x β€” 18.8% -4.25% $90.94B /wmb-vs-ngg β†’
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners L.P.
B 72/100 14.5x 26.7% 7.9% -2.04% $82.38B /epd-vs-ngg β†’
KMI
Kinder Morgan Inc.
C+ 67/100 24.8x β€” 6.0% -3.42% $75.45B /kmi-vs-ngg β†’
ENB
Enbridge Inc
C- 61/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -0.53% $108.03B /enb-vs-ngg β†’

2. NGG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG) operates in Natural Gas Distribution (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $88.14B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. NGG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NGG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NYSE: NGG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $84.42 (+0.56% 1D, market cap $88.14B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NGG ranks #68 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NGG compare to WMB and EPD in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), NGG carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, WMB (Williams Companies Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 18.8%, cap $90.94B) and EPD (Enterprise Products Partners L.P.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $82.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPD leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while WMB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGG?

For National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #68 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NGG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NGG last traded at $84.42 (+0.56% on volume of 1,255,486 shares), positioning the stock +7.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($78.52) and +1.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($83.39). Across its 52-week range of $73.37 to $94.64, NGG sits at the 52.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±2.7% ($82.14 to $86.70).

Direct Sub-Reports: NGG RQD Cockpit NGG 12M Forecast NGG Earnings & Move NGG Dividends & DRIP NGG Insiders & 13F NGG Whale Options NGG Profit Sankey NGG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 64/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NGG β€” National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:22Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NGG scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. Per the market data, ROIC is 9.9% and FCF yield is 2.21%. A 2.21% FCF yield at an EV/EBITDA of 21 signals that cash generation is modest relative to the valuation paid.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. this pillar reflects a beta of 0.88 and sector sensitivity. Per the market data, beta is 0.88, which implies below-market price sensitivity to broad market moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 3.74, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.39. This is the strongest pillar and the main source of the score's support.

For a prospective investor, the rating suggests a balanced profile: balance-sheet strength and low beta offset modest cash yield and a demanding valuation (P/E TTM 32.8, Forward P/E 27.6). Upside drivers would need to come from earnings growth that compresses the multiple; the valuation leaves limited margin for error. Two of the five pillars rest on data not present in this source set, so the grade carries more uncertainty than the pillar scores alone suggest. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under Natural Gas Distribution..4B.

Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9%, net margin is 10.9%, and gross margin is reported as 0%. ROIC is 9.9%, which is the return-generation figure supplied. The Altman Z-Score is 3.74 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, both pointing to a sound balance sheet. Debt/Equity is 0.39.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) and a low 0.88 beta provide a defensive base. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 9.9%, FCF yield 2.21%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $73.37 – $94.64 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: A 32.8 TTM P/E against a 2.21% FCF yield leaves the valuation demanding relative to cash generation. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 0.88 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Natural Gas Distribution (Energy), NGG carries a macro regime beta of 0.88 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: What is the analyst consensus rating and price target range, and how do they compare with the current price of 84.2?
  • Key Question #2: What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) transactions underlie the 12/20 scores for whale flow and insider conviction?
  • Key Question #3: What catalysts, regulatory developments, or earnings events are scheduled, given that the news feed is empty?

NGG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NGG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NGG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $84.42?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NGG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NGG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $109.97 (+31.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) and a low 0.88 beta provide a defensive base.

Don't sleep on NGG's setup in Energy. Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.39) and a low 0.88 beta provide a defensive base.. Beta of 0.88 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (64/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@SkepticalCFA Fair point on 32.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Natural Gas Distribution. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $71.36 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $83.95

A 32.8 TTM P/E against a 2.21% FCF yield leaves the valuation demanding relative to cash generation.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on NGG: A 32.8 TTM P/E against a 2.21% FCF yield leaves the valuation demanding relative to cash generation.. At 32.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Natural Gas Distribution triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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