National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$83.95 -0.30% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.75

National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $88.41B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NGG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NYSE: NGG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $83.95 (-0.30% 1D, market cap $88.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NGG ranks #68 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NGG compare to WMB and EPD in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), NGG carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, WMB (Williams Companies Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 18.8%, cap $91.59B) and EPD (Enterprise Products Partners L.P.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $84.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPD leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while WMB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGG?
β–Ό

For National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #68 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.75 (-0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 55.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- Β· Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$102 Bull$86 Base$67 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NGG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NGG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±2.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NGG SCORES 64/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 15.8% FCF Margin ($1.95B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$78.23+3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$81.06+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$81.76+2.7% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$83.95+1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (56) β†’ C (64)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NGG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, NGG faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($78.47) or 200D SMA ($83.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($86.22) toward Bear Floor ($67.25).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NGGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNGG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (14.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $38,731

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $697/yr
$11.4K
Yr 1
$13.1K
Yr 2
$15.0K
Yr 3
$17.2K
Yr 4
$19.7K
Yr 5
$22.5K
Yr 6
$25.8K
Yr 7
$29.5K
Yr 8
$33.8K
Yr 9
$38.7K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in NGG & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on NGG and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NGG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.06%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $82.22H $84.20L $82.22C $83.95VOL 882.1K
RES: $84.58SUP: $72.32SMA50: $78.47SMA200: $83.37
$89.65$85.42$81.18$76.95$72.72RES $84.58SUP $72.32$83.952026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NGG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NGG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NGG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NGG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NGG)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NGG vs. WMB, EPD, KMI, ENB)

Industry: Natural Gas Distribution (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG) ranks #68 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #18 by equity capitalization ($88.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EPD leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while WMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. EPD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with NGG at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NGG ACTIVE
National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC
C 64/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -0.30% $88.41B Benchmark Subject
WMB
Williams Companies Inc.
C 65/100 35.0x β€” 18.8% -0.71% $91.59B /wmb-vs-ngg β†’
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners L.P.
B 73/100 14.5x 26.7% 7.9% -2.31% $84.33B /epd-vs-ngg β†’
KMI
Kinder Morgan Inc.
C+ 67/100 24.8x β€” 6.0% -0.29% $75.68B /kmi-vs-ngg β†’
ENB
Enbridge Inc
C- 61/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +0.39% $107.61B /enb-vs-ngg β†’

2. NGG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG) operates in Natural Gas Distribution (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $88.41B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. NGG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NGG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NYSE: NGG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $83.95 (-0.30% 1D, market cap $88.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NGG ranks #68 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NGG compare to WMB and EPD in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), NGG carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, WMB (Williams Companies Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 35.0x, ROIC 18.8%, cap $91.59B) and EPD (Enterprise Products Partners L.P.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $84.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPD leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while WMB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NGG?

For National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #68 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NGG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NGG last traded at $83.95 (-0.30% on volume of 673,920 shares), positioning the stock +6.98% above its 50-day simple moving average ($78.47) and +0.70% above its 200-day simple moving average ($83.37). Across its 52-week range of $73.37 to $94.64, NGG sits at the 49.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±2.8% ($81.60 to $86.30).

NGG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does NGG pay a dividend and is it safe?

National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 64/100 (C) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NGG β€” National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:22Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NGG scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. Per the market data, ROIC is 9.9% and FCF yield is 2.21%. A 2.21% FCF yield at an EV/EBITDA of 21 signals that cash generation is modest relative to the valuation paid.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying holder data is not available in source data, so the pillar score cannot be traced to specific filings.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying transaction data is not available in source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 0.88 and sector sensitivity. Per the market data, beta is 0.88, which implies below-market price sensitivity to broad market moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 3.74, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.39. This is the strongest pillar and the main source of the score's support.

For a prospective investor, the rating suggests a balanced profile: balance-sheet strength and low beta offset modest cash yield and a demanding valuation (P/E TTM 32.8, Forward P/E 27.6). Upside drivers would need to come from earnings growth that compresses the multiple; the valuation leaves limited margin for error. Two of the five pillars rest on data not present in this source set, so the grade carries more uncertainty than the pillar scores alone suggest. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
84.2$88.41B32.827.6212.560%0.88$73.37 - $94.649.9%

Business

National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under Natural Gas Distribution. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $88.4B. Customer base, product lines, and revenue model are not available in source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow by period, so that the trend in the 9.9% ROIC can be tested?
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and price target range, and how do they compare with the current price of 84.2?
  • What institutional (13F) and insider (Form 4) transactions underlie the 12/20 scores for whale flow and insider conviction?
  • What catalysts, regulatory developments, or earnings events are scheduled, given that the news feed is empty?
  • Why is the dividend yield 0%, and what is the company's capital-return policy?

NGG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC (NGG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NGG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NGG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $83.95?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NGG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NGG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $90.94 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NGG (C β€’ RQD 64/100) a Buy at $84.20?

Welcome to the NGG (National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Natural Gas Distribution. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $69.89 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $84.20

Pump the brakes on NGG β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NGG, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless National Grid Transco PLC National Grid PLC expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $105.25 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $84.20

NGG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NGG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Natural Gas Distribution and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $84.20 (52-wk range $73.37 - $94.64), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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