Yahoo Finance report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NFG Stock advanced +0.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NFG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, National Fuel Gas Company (NYSE: NFG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $79.55 (+0.24% 1D, market cap $7.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NFG ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NFG compare to UGP and NJR in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), NFG carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of 90.4%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, UGP (Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.64B) and NJR (NewJersey Resources Corporation) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 16.3%, cap $5.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NFG leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NFG?
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Per NFG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000070145), National Fuel Gas Company generated $2.22B in revenue (+30.0% YoY), $518.5M in net income, and $187.2M in free cash flow against $9.21B in total assets and $2.08B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 1.83 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NFG Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, NFG faces multiple-compression risk if 14.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 87.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($80.18) or 200D SMA ($83.35) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($79.55) toward Bear Floor ($62.05).
Why NFG Stock advanced +0.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) advanced +0.24% to $79.55, trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($75.03 – $97.06). Stretched risk/reward at 15x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($75.03 – $97.06) with RSI-14 at 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.3% around $79.55 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 90.4% gross margin and $187.2M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ConocoPhillips (COP) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
National Fuel Gas (NFG) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NFG)
- ✓Walkthrough of NFG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
NFG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +30.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NFG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NFG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NFG)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NFG vs. UGP, NJR, SR, OGS)
Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) ranks #104 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #67 by equity capitalization ($7.54B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NFG leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while NJR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. NJR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with NFG at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFG
ACTIVE
National Fuel Gas Company | D+ | 58/100 | 14.5x | 90.4% | 9.7% | +0.24% | $7.54B | Benchmark Subject |
| UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share) | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | — | -2.68% | $6.64B | /ugp-vs-nfg → |
| NJR NewJersey Resources Corporation | B- | 71/100 | 16.1x | — | 16.3% | +0.19% | $5.39B | /njr-vs-nfg → |
| SR Spire Inc. | D- | 43/100 | 18.9x | 58.8% | 5.3% | +1.48% | $5.13B | /sr-vs-nfg → |
| OGS ONE Gas Inc. | D | 49/100 | 18.6x | — | 6.2% | +0.56% | $4.91B | /ogs-vs-nfg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000070145In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.22B (+30.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.71B , and -1.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $518.5M, operating cash flow of $1.10B, and free cash flow of $187.2M (+39.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, NFG closed FY2025 with $9.21B in total assets against $2.08B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.83, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $2.22B | $518.5M | $1.10B | $187.2M | $9.21B | $2.08B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $1.71B | $77.5M | $1.07B | $134.7M | $8.30B | $2.19B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $2.25B | $476.9M | $1.24B | $1.14B | $4.15B | $970.8M |
3. NFG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NFG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, National Fuel Gas Company (NYSE: NFG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $79.55 (+0.24% 1D, market cap $7.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NFG ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NFG compare to UGP and NJR in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), NFG carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of 90.4%, and ROIC of 9.7%. By comparison, UGP (Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share)) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $6.64B) and NJR (NewJersey Resources Corporation) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 16.3%, cap $5.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NFG leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NFG?
Per NFG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000070145), National Fuel Gas Company generated $2.22B in revenue (+30.0% YoY), $518.5M in net income, and $187.2M in free cash flow against $9.21B in total assets and $2.08B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NFG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NFG last traded at $79.55 (+0.24% on volume of 1,018,133 shares), positioning the stock -0.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($80.18) and -4.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($83.35). Across its 52-week range of $75.03 to $97.06, NFG sits at the 20.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($76.13 to $82.97).
NFG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is NFG stock moving today?
Why NFG Stock advanced +0.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 15x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
NFG — National Fuel Gas Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, NFG scores 58 out of 100, a D+ grade with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.7% and an FCF yield of 2.48%. Both are the weakest-scoring inputs in the cash-generation picture for a prospective investor, since the FCF yield is modest relative to the $7.54B market capitalization.
- Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. The RQD rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning as the basis for this score. The holders section contains no data, so this pillar cannot be independently verified from the source set.
- Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the strongest pillar in the rating and is the main offset to the weaker cash and institutional scores.
- Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta of 1.15 and sector sensitivity drive this score. A prospective investor should expect the stock to amplify broader market moves.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 1.83, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.44 support this score. The Piotroski reading is strong, while the Altman Z sits in a range that warrants attention.
Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose cash generation and institutional support are the main drags, partly offset by insider activity and a reasonably sound balance-sheet profile. Valuation metrics in the market data (forward P/E of 12.2, EV/EBITDA of 5.9) indicate the market is not pricing a premium, which a prospective investor may weigh against the weak cash-engine score. The rating's verdict is a trim signal rather than a fundamental collapse signal, and any decision should account for the pending spin-off described in the catalysts section.
Snapshot
Open Questions
- What are the exact terms, timing, and structure of the planned spin-off of the Integrated Upstream and Gathering business, and how will it affect revenue, cash flow, and debt allocation?
- What is the EPS for FY 2023, FY 2024, and FY 2025, given that the financials list EPS as N/A for each period?
- What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is listed as N/A in the financials?
- What specific insider transactions, institutional holdings, and options positioning underlie the pillar scores for insider conviction and whale flow?
- What analyst ratings and price targets exist for NFG, given that no analyst data is provided?
NFG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
NFG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $79.55?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NFG (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $79.36?
Welcome to the NFG (National Fuel Gas Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Oil/Gas Transmission. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on NFG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NFG, but look at what you are paying: 14.5x trailing P/E with 90.4% gross margins. Unless National Fuel Gas Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
NFG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NFG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil/Gas Transmission and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $79.36 (52-wk range $75.03 - $97.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.