NewMarket Corp (NEU) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.9% Move

$783.66 -2.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $782.13

NewMarket Corp (NEU) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (32% profit margin, 17% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $7.39B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NEU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, NewMarket Corp (NYSE: NEU) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $783.66 (-2.42% 1D, market cap $7.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NEU ranks #5 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEU compare to EMN and WLK in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), NEU carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.6x, gross margin of 31.5%, and ROIC of 16.6%. By comparison, EMN (Eastman Chemical Company) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 16.4x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $7.77B) and WLK (Westlake Corporation) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.2%, cap $8.44B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EMN leads on earnings multiple (16.4x) while NEU leads on capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEU?
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Per NEU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001282637), NewMarket Corp generated $2.73B in revenue (-2.2% YoY), $418.7M in net income, and $491.3M in free cash flow against $3.49B in total assets and $883.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (32% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $782.09 (-0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 18% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B+
Cash (18)Whales (8)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
$1031 Bull$837 Base$643 Bear
📬 FREE NEU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NEU SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18% FCF Margin ($491.3M FCF) & 31.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.77 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
81
Grade A-$898.98-2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
78
Grade A-$879.70-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
76
Grade B+$875.42-10.5% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$783.66+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (81) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NEU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, NEU faces multiple-compression risk if 17.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 29.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($887.07) or 200D SMA ($764.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($836.56) toward Bear Floor ($642.60).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NEU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.9% Swing Band

±$54.07 Expected Swing
$729.59 (-6.9%)Spot $783.66$837.73 (+6.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NEU Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 73/100

Trailing EPS: $45.53 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.2%

Model Bullish Setup (73/100)Model Risk Weight (27/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.73B$418.7M$491.3M31.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$2.79B$462.4M$462.3M31.8%
FY 20232023-12-31$2.70B$388.9M$455.4M31.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NEU & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NEU
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NEU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.24%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $873.3H $873.3L $783.7C $783.7VOL 227.1K
RES: $908.2SUP: $783.2SMA50: $887.1SMA200: $764.1
$1,005.8$905.7$805.6$705.5$605.4RES $908.2SUP $783.2$783.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
10.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEU)

Materials Rank #5 of 270 ⚔️ EMN vs NEU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NEU vs. EMN, WLK, ESI, HXL)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NewMarket Corp (NEU) ranks #5 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #56 by equity capitalization ($7.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EMN leads on earnings valuation at 16.4x trailing P/E, while NEU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.6% ROIC and 31.5% gross margin. NEU currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NEU ACTIVE
NewMarket Corp
B 73/100 17.6x 31.5% 16.6% -2.42% $7.39B Benchmark Subject
EMN
Eastman Chemical Company
D+ 58/100 16.4x 21.1% 4.8% -2.06% $7.77B /emn-vs-neu →
WLK
Westlake Corporation
E 27/100 — 7.3% -11.2% +3.44% $8.44B /wlk-vs-neu →
ESI
Element Solutions Inc.
D+ 52/100 45.0x 42.0% 8.8% -3.19% $8.59B /esi-vs-neu →
HXL
Hexcel Corporation
D+ 52/100 55.0x 23.0% 6.2% -2.15% $6.02B /hxl-vs-neu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001282637

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NewMarket Corp (NEU) reported GAAP revenue of $2.73B (-2.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.79B , and +1.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $418.7M, operating cash flow of $569.0M, and free cash flow of $491.3M (+6.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, NEU closed FY2025 with $3.49B in total assets against $883.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.77, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.73B $418.7M $569.0M $491.3M $3.49B $883.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.79B $462.4M $519.6M $462.3M $3.13B $971.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.70B $388.9M $576.8M $455.4M $4.06B $950.5M

3. NEU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, NewMarket Corp (NYSE: NEU) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $783.66 (-2.42% 1D, market cap $7.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NEU ranks #5 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NEU compare to EMN and WLK in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), NEU carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.6x, gross margin of 31.5%, and ROIC of 16.6%. By comparison, EMN (Eastman Chemical Company) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 16.4x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $7.77B) and WLK (Westlake Corporation) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.2%, cap $8.44B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EMN leads on earnings multiple (16.4x) while NEU leads on capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEU?

Per NEU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001282637), NewMarket Corp generated $2.73B in revenue (-2.2% YoY), $418.7M in net income, and $491.3M in free cash flow against $3.49B in total assets and $883.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (32% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NEU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEU last traded at $783.66 (-2.42% on volume of 198,117 shares), positioning the stock -11.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($887.07) and +2.56% above its 200-day simple moving average ($764.13). Across its 52-week range of $580.03 to $981.66, NEU sits at the 50.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($729.59 to $837.73).

NEU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NEU's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, NewMarket Corp (NEU)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NEU stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.9% event move for NEU, spanning a range between $729.59 and $837.73.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NEU — NewMarket Corp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:18:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NEU carries an RQD Score of 73 with a letter grade of B, labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The score is built from five pillars:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 16.6% and an FCF yield of 6.65%. It is the strongest contributor to the score, suggesting the business converts capital into cash at a healthy rate.
  • Whale 13F Flow (8 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the weakest pillar, covering institutional accumulation and options positioning. A low score here indicates institutional signals are not a clear tailwind.
  • Insider Conviction (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, a moderately supportive reading.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is tied to a beta of 0.96 and sector sensitivity. The beta near 1.0 implies market-like volatility rather than defensive or aggressive behavior.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z of 4.77, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, pointing to a financially sound balance sheet.

For a prospective investor, the investor-relevant takeaway is that the score is driven by cash generation and balance-sheet strength rather than by institutional momentum. Upside drivers would be sustained cash conversion and continued valuation support; the valuation tradeoff is that the stock is priced at a P/E (TTM) of 17.6 and forward P/E of 16.4 following an 8.04% single-session decline, so the entry point has shifted relative to the 52-week range. The weak whale-flow pillar is a reason to watch whether institutional holders follow the fundamentals. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
803.07$7.39B17.616.413.445.531.43%0.96$580.03 - $981.6616.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2725.2M$543.7M$418.7MN/A$491.3M$77.6M$883.4M
FY 2024$2786.6M$590.0M$462.4MN/A$462.3M$77.5M$971.3M
FY 2023$2698.4M$483.0M$388.9MN/A$455.4MN/A$950.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue moved from $2698.4M (FY 2023) to $2786.6M (FY 2024) before easing to $2725.2M (FY 2025), while net income declined from $462.4M to $418.7M over FY 2024–FY 2025. Per the market data, gross margin is 31.5%, operating margin 20%, and net margin 15.4%, with ROIC at 16.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.77 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt declined from $971.3M (FY 2024) to $883.4M (FY 2025), and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5 per the RQD forensic pillar.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference NEU with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Headlines include a Yahoo Finance piece suggesting the stock "May Offer A 35% Discount To Cash Flow," a ChartMill piece describing NEU as "A Quality Stock With Strong ROIC and Cash Flow," and a GuruFocus piece noting the stock is "Down 8.0% but Still Overvalued" with a GF Score of 77/100. A Benzinga item references the Q3 2026 earnings call transcript, and additional ChartMill and Yahoo Finance items cover quality-investing framing and stock forecasts. Risk watch items per these headlines include the reported overvaluation framing and the single-session decline. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded for NEU.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and end markets, given that the source data only classifies it as Materials / Major Chemicals?
  • What drove the 8.04% single-session decline, and does the Q3 2026 earnings call reference address it?
  • Why does EPS appear as N/A across all reported periods when EPS (TTM) is listed at 45.53?
  • What explains the decline in net income from FY 2024 to FY 2025 despite revenue remaining broadly stable?
  • What is the institutional and analyst positioning behind the weak Whale 13F Flow pillar score of 8 / 20?

NEU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NewMarket Corp (NEU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NEU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $783.66?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEU 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NEU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $947.62 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NEU (B • RQD 73/100) a Buy at $803.07?

Welcome to the NEU (NewMarket Corp) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 73/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $618.36 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $803.07

Pump the brakes on NEU — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NEU, but look at what you are paying: 17.6x trailing P/E with 31.5% gross margins. Unless NewMarket Corp expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $971.71 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $803.07

NEU cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NEU, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $803.07 (52-wk range $580.03 - $981.66), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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