National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.61 -8.52% NASDAQ โ€ข Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.58

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- โ€ข RED ALERT Cap $151.5M
๐Ÿ“ค Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: ๐• Post Reddit StockTwits โฌ‡ Live SVG Card
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๐Ÿค– Mara Quenwick โ€ข AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
โ–ผ

As of 2026-11-03, National CineMedia Inc. (NASDAQ: NCMI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.61 (-8.52% 1D, market cap $151.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NCMI ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Ellis Vennor โ€ข AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCMI compare to FLNT and ANGI in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), NCMI carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 94.7%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, FLNT (Fluent Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $108.7M) and ANGI (Angi Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 5.6x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $242.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ANGI leads on earnings multiple (5.6x) while THRY leads on capital efficiency (10.1% ROIC).

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– Gideon Ashmere โ€ข AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCMI?
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Per NCMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-01, CIK 0001377630), National CineMedia Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and $2.8M in free cash flow against $490.6M in total assets and $12.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

โœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
๐Ÿค– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists โ€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.58 (-1.72%)๐Ÿงฌ Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)โš™๏ธ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) โ€ข 1.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 ยท D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY โ€ข 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record โ†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT โ€ข D-
025507510039
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0โ€“100 RQD rubric) โ€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E ยท Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0โ€“20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.7% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
๐Ÿ“ฌ FREE NCMI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: โ€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ยฑ10.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
๐Ÿ” WHY NCMI SCORES 39/100 (D-) โ€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
โ–ฒ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.13 (WATCH ZONE (1.8โ€“3.0)) โ€ข Piotroski F-Score 7/9

โ–ฒ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy โ€ข Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)

โ–ผ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

๐Ÿ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 โ†’ Q2 โ†’ Q3 โ†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$2.21-7.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$2.05-10.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$1.84-12.5% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$1.61-7.6% Hist 90D ฮฑ
Trajectory: D (47) โ†’ D- (39)Full Audit โ†’
โš”๏ธ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

โš”๏ธ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCMI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk โ†’

While NCMI currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.20) and Max Pain ($1.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.74.

๐Ÿš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

๐ŸŽฒ LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCMIโ€ข $2.4M Crowd Pool โ€ข Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: โ€œNCMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 31, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMAโ€
SEC FORM 4 ร— 13F HEDGE FUNDS ร— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NCMI Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales โ†’
โ–ฒ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)โ–ผ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NCMI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NCMI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP โ€ข SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCMI)

  • โœ“Walkthrough of NCMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • โœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • โœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NCMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.23%๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.76H $1.76L $1.61C $1.61VOL 953.9K
RES: $4.85SUP: $1.57SMA50: $2.20SMA200: $3.15
$4.46$3.68$2.90$2.13$1.35RES $4.85SUP $1.57$1.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCMI today. View full Setup Ledger โ†’

๐Ÿฆ‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph โ†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
๐ŸŽฌ No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk โ†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT โ€ข SEC EDGAR XBRL ร— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

๐Ÿ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCMI)

Communication Services Rank #92 of 132 โš”๏ธ FLNT vs NCMI Full Matrix โ†’

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NCMI vs. FLNT, ANGI, STFS, THRY)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) ranks #92 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #92 by equity capitalization ($151.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ANGI leads on earnings valuation at 5.6x trailing P/E, while THRY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.1% ROIC and 67.9% gross margin. ANGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with NCMI at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NCMI ACTIVE
National CineMedia Inc.
D- 39/100 โ€” 94.7% -3.1% -8.52% $151.5M Benchmark Subject
FLNT
Fluent Inc.
D- 35/100 โ€” โ€” -35.0% +5.20% $108.7M /flnt-vs-ncmi โ†’
ANGI
Angi Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 5.6x 95.4% 4.6% -0.50% $242.9M /angi-vs-ncmi โ†’
STFS
Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited (Class A)
E 34/100 โ€” 5.7% -35.0% +4.27% $74.1M /stfs-vs-ncmi โ†’
THRY
Thryv Holdings Inc.
D 47/100 โ€” 67.9% 10.1% 0.00% $55.5M /thry-vs-ncmi โ†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023โ€“FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K โ€ข FILED 2026-01-01 โ€ข CIK 0001377630

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-01), National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) reported GAAP revenue of $243.2M (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $240.8M , and +47.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.6M, operating cash flow of $8.4M, and free cash flow of $2.8M (-94.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCMI closed FY2025 with $490.6M in total assets against $12.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-01 $243.2M -$10.6M $8.4M $2.8M $490.6M $12.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-26 $240.8M -$22.3M $60.3M $54.5M $568.6M $10.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-28 $165.2M $705.2M -$6.7M -$6.7M โ€” โ€”

3. NCMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

โœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, National CineMedia Inc. (NASDAQ: NCMI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.61 (-8.52% 1D, market cap $151.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NCMI ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCMI compare to FLNT and ANGI in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), NCMI carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 94.7%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, FLNT (Fluent Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $108.7M) and ANGI (Angi Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 5.6x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $242.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ANGI leads on earnings multiple (5.6x) while THRY leads on capital efficiency (10.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCMI?

Per NCMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-01, CIK 0001377630), National CineMedia Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and $2.8M in free cash flow against $490.6M in total assets and $12.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCMI last traded at $1.61 (-8.52% on volume of 953,885 shares), positioning the stock -26.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.20) and -48.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.15). Across its 52-week range of $1.59 to $4.51, NCMI sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ยฑ10.7% ($1.44 to $1.78).

NCMI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS โ€ข SEC EDGAR ร— CBOE ร— FRED

Are NCMI insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NCMI leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF โ€ข RQD 39/100 (D-) โœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NCMI โ€” National CineMedia Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:42:18Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NCMI scores 40 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell โ€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 7 out of 20 (ROIC -3.1%; FCF yield 1.69%), indicating that the business is not currently generating returns above its cost of capital and produces modest free cash flow relative to its market value. The whale/13F flow pillar scores 3 out of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), the weakest reading in the framework, suggesting limited evidence of institutional conviction in the source data. The insider conviction pillar scores 9 out of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). The macro regime fit pillar scores 9 out of 20 (beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 12 out of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.13, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.03 per the RQD inputs. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the balance-sheet and cash-flow stability reflected in the forensic pillar and the 6.89% dividend yield, while the valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a price of 1.76 with negative operating margin and negative ROIC, meaning the market is pricing in a recovery that the reported operating results do not yet demonstrate. Second-order risk lies in the weak institutional flow pillar: low institutional sponsorship can amplify price moves in either direction. This analysis is educational and is not personalized financial advice.

Business

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Communication Services sector and the Advertising industry, per the profile. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 94.7%, indicating a high-margin revenue base. The source data does not further describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue mechanics beyond sector and industry classification.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the most recent items include a Yahoo! Finance Canada market-action report and a Seeking Alpha item on adding to the cinema advertising network, both marked yellow. A TradingView item reports that Blantyre Capital II secured a board seat with a 28.9% stake. A Stock Titan item describes a luxury dine-in theater and a new theater company joining the ad network. Investing.com reports that Texas Capital cut its rating on leverage concerns, marked red as a risk-watch item. An ad-hoc-news.de item reports completion of a USD 275.0 million deal. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports a supply chain of "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drove the FY 2023 net income of $705.2M given negative operating income, and why are FY 2023 cash and debt not available?
  • What are the TTM EPS and P/E figures, which are absent from the source data, so that valuation can be assessed against earnings?
  • What is the source and basis of the 6.89% dividend yield given that net income and FCF are negative or minimal in several periods?
  • What specifically underlies the Texas Capital leverage concern, and how does the reported $12.0M debt reconcile with it?
  • What are the terms and business implications of the USD 275.0 million deal and the Blantyre Capital II board seat?

NCMI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) โ€ข Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

๐Ÿ’ฌ Jump to NCMI Debate Forum (3) โ†“
๐Ÿ”ฅ THE ROAR PIT โ€ข LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NCMI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board โ€” What's Your Call at $1.61?

๐Ÿ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NCMI ๐Ÿป 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NCMI:
๐Ÿ’ก Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ๐Ÿป BEARISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $1.55 (-11.9%)
๐Ÿ“Œ Pinned Debate

๐Ÿ”ฅ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NCMI (D- โ€ข RQD 40/100) a Buy at $1.76?

Welcome to the NCMI (National CineMedia Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell โ€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Advertising. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (๐Ÿ‚ Bull or ๐Ÿป Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch ๐Ÿป BEARISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $1.41 (-19.9%)
Spot @ $1.76

Pump the brakes on NCMI โ€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NCMI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 94.7% gross margins. Unless National CineMedia Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader ๐Ÿ‚ BULLISH ๐ŸŽฏ Target: $2.25 (+27.8%)
Spot @ $1.76

NCMI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NCMI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Advertising and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.76 (52-wk range $1.59 - $4.56), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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