What is NCI's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NCI.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / NCI / options

PASW (33) TLF (35) BIRD (34) FMFC (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

Q: Where is NCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCI last traded at $0.69 (-2.86% on volume of 111,507 shares), positioning the stock -89.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.60) and -95.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.83). Across its 52-week range of $0.57 to $110.48, NCI sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 18.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.78).

$0.69 -2.86% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.69

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $6.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $0.69 (-2.86% 1D, market cap $6.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCI ranks #838 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCI compare to PASW and TLF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), NCI carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 153.8x, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $16.0M) and TLF (Tandy Leather Factory Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $18.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCI leads on earnings multiple (153.8x) while NCI leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCI?

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Per NCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001916331), Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $17.6M in revenue (-41.9% YoY), $42.6K in net income, and $2.2M in free cash flow against $14.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.69 (-0.70%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 12.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NCI SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.7% FCF Margin ($2.2M FCF) & 36.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 18.1 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$0.74-18.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$0.60+35% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$0.81-14.8% Next Q

Current

Grade E$0.69-8.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NCI currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.60) and Max Pain ($0.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $116.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NCI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NCI)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NCI.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCI)

✓Walkthrough of NCI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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NCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -91.86%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $0.73H $0.73L $0.69C $0.69VOL 83.7K

RES: $18.77SUP: $-0.12SMA50: $6.60SMA200: $15.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NCI Butterfly Map → + Track NCI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -41.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #838 of 1011 ⚔️ PASW vs NCI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NCI vs. PASW, TLF, BIRD, FMFC)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) ranks #838 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #953 by equity capitalization ($6.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NCI leads on earnings valuation at 153.8x trailing P/E, while NCI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.6% ROIC and 36.9% gross margin. FMFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with NCI at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NCI ACTIVE Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A)	E	33/100	153.8x	36.9%	2.6%	-2.86%	$6.4M	Benchmark Subject
PASW Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)	E	33/100	—	2.8%	—	-8.59%	$16.0M	/pasw-vs-nci →
TLF Tandy Leather Factory Inc.	D-	35/100	—	57.0%	-2.1%	+1.36%	$18.0M	/tlf-vs-nci →
BIRD Smartbird Inc. (Class A)	E	34/100	—	41.0%	-35.0%	-16.92%	$23.0M	/bird-vs-nci →
FMFC Kandal M Venture Limited (Class A)	D	47/100	—	—	—	+2.66%	$1.7M	/fmfc-vs-nci →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001916331

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) reported GAAP revenue of $17.6M (-41.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $30.3M , and -20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.6K, operating cash flow of $2.7M, and free cash flow of $2.2M (+566.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCI closed FY2025 with $14.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.49, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$17.6M	$42.6K	$2.7M	$2.2M	$14.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$30.3M	$1.0M	$55.1K	-$478.4K	$17.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$22.3M	$565.2K	-$6.3M	-$6.3M	—	—

3. NCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NCI compare to PASW and TLF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCI?

Where is NCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCI last traded at $0.69 (-2.86% on volume of 111,507 shares), positioning the stock -89.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.60) and -95.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.83). Across its 52-week range of $0.57 to $110.48, NCI sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 18.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.78).

Direct Sub-Reports: NCI RQD Cockpit NCI 12M Forecast NCI Earnings & Move NCI Dividends & DRIP NCI Insiders & 13F NCI Whale Options NCI Profit Sankey NCI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NCI — Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.69 (-2.86% 1D, market capitalization $6.4M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.6%, gross margin of 36.9%, operating margin of 1.3%, and free cash flow yield of —.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.49, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

NCI is classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Apparel industry, and trades on NASDAQ. It is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in Apparel.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) reported $17.6M in annual revenue (up from $30.3M in FY2024, -41.9% YoY) and $42.6K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($22.3M revenue, $565.2K net income) through FY2025, NCI scaled operating cash flow to $2.7M and free cash flow to $2.2M, backed by $14.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.57 – $110.48 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 153.8x trailing P/E and 9.3x EV/EBITDA against 1.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Apparel (Consumer Discretionary), NCI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 36.9%.

Key Question #1: Can NCI sustain or expand its 1.3% operating margin and 2.6% ROIC against Apparel peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $17.6M and free cash flow of $2.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is NCI's 140.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NCI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NCI Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Announces 2-For-1 Forward Stock Split, Effective Nov. 10

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Ltd (the "Company") held the Company’s Extraordinary General Meeting (the "EGM") , amongst which a share consolidation (the "Share Consolidation") was

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 14d ago

12 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Moving In Monday's After-Market Session

Gainers Golden Heaven Group Hldgs (NASDAQ:GDHG) stock increased by 6.1% to $1.22 during Monday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $63.6 million. Chegg (NYSE:CHGG) stock

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 19d ago

12 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Moving In Wednesday's After-Market Session

Gainers MKDWell Tech (NASDAQ:MKDW) shares increased by 9.6% to $0.9 during Wednesday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $31.5 million. Neo-Concept Intl Group Hldgs

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Neo-Concept International Announces Share Consolidation

HONG KONG, Nov. 02, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- On October 29, 2026, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Ltd (the “Company”) held the Company’s Extraordinary General Meeting (the “EGM”) , amongst which a share consolid

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 32d ago

Univest Securities, LLC Announces Closing of $2.0 Million Registered Direct Offering for its Client Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Ltd (NASDAQ: NCI)

New York, Oct. 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Univest Securities, LLC (“Univest”), a member of FINRA and SIPC, and a full-service investment bank and securities broker-dealer firm based in New York, today announced the clo

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 33d ago

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Ltd Announces Pricing of $2.0 Million Registered Direct Offering

HONGKONG, Sept. 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Ltd (NASDAQ: NCI) (“Neo-Concept” or the “Company”), a one-stop apparel solution services provider, today announced that it has entered

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 208d ago

NTG Clarity Announces Work Valued at $12.3 Million

Toronto, Ontario--(Newsfile Corp. - April 9, 2026) - NTG Clarity Networks Inc. (TSXV: NCI) (OTC Pink: NYWKF); NTG Clarity ("NTG") is pleased to announce it has received new purchase orders ("POs") and contract renewals t

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 251d ago

D. Boral Capital Acted as Lead Placement Agent to Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Nasdaq:NCI) in Connection with its ~$8,000,000 Follow-On Offering

NEW YORK CITY, NEW YORK / ACCESS Newswire / February 24, 2026 / On February 11, 2026, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Nasdaq:NCI) (the "Company" or "NCI"), a one-stop apparel solution services provider,

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NCI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.69?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NCI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.84 (+18.3%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The stock's 0.73 price and 9.3x EV/EBITDA sit far below the 52-week high of $110.48, leaving room for a rebound if operating income rec

Here is why I am bullish on NCI here at $0.71: The stock's 0.73 price and 9.3x EV/EBITDA sit far below the 52-week high of $110.48, leaving room for a rebound if operating income recovers from the $0.2M FY 2025 level.. Compare NCI's 1.3% operating margin and 2.6% ROIC against the rest of Apparel. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $0.67 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.71 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.53 (-25.4%)

Spot @ $0.71

Revenue fell from $30.3M to $17.6M in one year, the RQD rating is 33 with an E grade, and institutional and insider pillars score only

I respect the product at Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A), but the stock at $0.71 is a different story. Revenue fell from $30.3M to $17.6M in one year, the RQD rating is 33 with an E grade, and institutional and insider pillars score only 3 and 5 of 20.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 33/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?