Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.71 -2.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.71

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $6.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $0.71 (-2.16% 1D, market cap $6.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCI ranks #838 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCI compare to PASW and TLF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), NCI carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 153.8x, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $16.0M) and TLF (Tandy Leather Factory Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $18.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCI leads on earnings multiple (153.8x) while NCI leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCI?
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Per NCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001916331), Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $17.6M in revenue (-41.9% YoY), $42.6K in net income, and $2.2M in free cash flow against $14.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.71 (-0.58%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 12.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (7)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.3% Base Target
$116 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE NCI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NCI SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.7% FCF Margin ($2.2M FCF) & 36.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 18.1 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$0.74-18.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$0.60+35% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$0.81-12.3% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$0.71-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NCI currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.60) and Max Pain ($0.75) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $116.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NCI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
18.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.49>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $1$0.71H: $110
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NCI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

2.6% ROIC with 36.9% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 1.49 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (27)

8/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NCI
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 154x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NCI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NCI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -91.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.73H $0.73L $0.71C $0.71VOL 83.7K
RES: $18.77SUP: $-0.12SMA50: $6.60SMA200: $15.83
$35.23$25.83$16.44$7.05$-2.35RES $18.77SUP $-0.12$0.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -41.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #838 of 1011 ⚔️ PASW vs NCI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (NCI vs. PASW, TLF, BIRD, FMFC)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) ranks #838 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #953 by equity capitalization ($6.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NCI leads on earnings valuation at 153.8x trailing P/E, while NCI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.6% ROIC and 36.9% gross margin. FMFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with NCI at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NCI ACTIVE
Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A)
E 33/100 153.8x 36.9% 2.6% -2.16% $6.4M Benchmark Subject
PASW
Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)
E 33/100 — 2.8% — +2.40% $16.0M /pasw-vs-nci →
TLF
Tandy Leather Factory Inc.
D- 35/100 — 57.0% -2.1% -2.65% $18.0M /tlf-vs-nci →
BIRD
Smartbird Inc. (Class A)
E 34/100 — 41.0% -35.0% -8.02% $23.0M /bird-vs-nci →
FMFC
Kandal M Venture Limited (Class A)
D 47/100 — — — -11.05% $1.7M /fmfc-vs-nci →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001916331

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) reported GAAP revenue of $17.6M (-41.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $30.3M , and -20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.6K, operating cash flow of $2.7M, and free cash flow of $2.2M (+566.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCI closed FY2025 with $14.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.49, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.6M $42.6K $2.7M $2.2M $14.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $30.3M $1.0M $55.1K -$478.4K $17.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $22.3M $565.2K -$6.3M -$6.3M — —

3. NCI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: NCI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $0.71 (-2.16% 1D, market cap $6.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, NCI ranks #838 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCI compare to PASW and TLF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), NCI carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 153.8x, gross margin of 36.9%, and ROIC of 2.6%. By comparison, PASW (Ping An Biomedical Co. Ltd. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $16.0M) and TLF (Tandy Leather Factory Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $18.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NCI leads on earnings multiple (153.8x) while NCI leads on capital efficiency (2.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCI?

Per NCI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001916331), Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $17.6M in revenue (-41.9% YoY), $42.6K in net income, and $2.2M in free cash flow against $14.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCI last traded at $0.71 (-2.16% on volume of 83,677 shares), positioning the stock -89.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.60) and -95.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.83). Across its 52-week range of $0.57 to $110.48, NCI sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 18.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.80).

NCI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NCI stock right now?

Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 33/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 154x P/E (3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NCI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NCI's 12-month base price target is $0.63 (range $0.49 to $116), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NCI — Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:52:40Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NCI scores 33 out of 100, graded E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC 2.6%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20 (Altman Z 1.49; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Every pillar sits at or below half of its maximum. The weakest signals are institutional and insider flow, which score 3 and 5 of 20. For a prospective investor, the rating points to low cash generation, minimal ownership support, and balance-sheet metrics that sit in the distress-adjacent range, with the stock's upside depending largely on improvement not yet visible in the reported figures.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
0.73$6.6M153.81409.30.010%1.0$0.57 - $110.482.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$17.6M$0.2M$0.0MN/A$2.2M$0.3MN/A
FY 2024$30.3M$1.5M$1.0MN/A$-0.5M$1.2MN/A
FY 2023$22.3M$1.2M$0.6MN/A$-6.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $30.3M in FY 2024 to $17.6M in FY 2025, and operating income fell from $1.5M to $0.2M. Per the market data, gross margin is 36.9%, operating margin 1.3%, net margin 0.2%, and ROIC 2.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.49, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash was $0.3M at FY 2025 against $1.2M at FY 2024, and the FCF yield is 0%.

Open Questions

  • What drove the revenue decline from $30.3M in FY 2024 to $17.6M in FY 2025, and is it continuing?
  • What are the reported debt figures, given that debt is listed as N/A across all periods while Debt/Equity is 0.5?
  • What explains the gap between the $110.48 52-week high and the $0.57 low, and what corporate events occurred in that range?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A in the financial periods while EPS (TTM) is 0.01?
  • What is the company's product mix, customer base, and supplier dependency, given that the profile provides only sector and industry classifications?

NCI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NCI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NCI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NCI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.71?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NCI 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NCI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.64 (-12.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NCI (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $0.73?

Welcome to the NCI (Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Apparel. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (153.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.56 (-23.3%)
Spot @ $0.73

Pump the brakes on NCI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NCI, but look at what you are paying: 153.8x trailing P/E with 36.9% gross margins. Unless Neo-Concept International Group Holdings Limited (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.88 (+20.5%)
Spot @ $0.73

NCI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NCI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Apparel and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.73 (52-wk range $0.57 - $110.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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