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Motorola Solutions Inc. (MSI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$491.53 -0.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $492.61

Motorola Solutions Inc. (MSI) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (52% profit margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $81.44B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MSI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Motorola Solutions Inc. (NYSE: MSI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $491.53 (-0.11% 1D, market cap $81.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MSI ranks #44 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MSI compare to NOK and ERIC in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), MSI carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.8x, gross margin of 51.7%, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, NOK (Nokia Corporation Sponsored) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $53.46B) and ERIC (Ericsson) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $37.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOK leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while QCOM leads on capital efficiency (34.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSI?
▼

Per MSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000068505), Motorola Solutions Inc. generated $11.68B in revenue (+8.0% YoY), $2.15B in net income, and $2.31B in free cash flow against $19.39B in total assets and $8.41B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $492.61 (+0.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 19.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk C
Cash (17)Whales (17)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$622 Bull$527 Base$403 Bear
📬 FREE MSI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MSI SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 19.8% FCF Margin ($2.31B FCF) & 51.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (72.4) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$449.01+3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$463.46+4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$483.61+1.6% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$491.53+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MSI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, MSI faces multiple-compression risk if 37.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($466.67) or 200D SMA ($440.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($526.92) toward Bear Floor ($403.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MSI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 74%NO 26%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MSI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $491.53: 20.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $403.05
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $526.92
$10,720
+$720 (+7.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $621.77
$12,650
+$2,650 (+26.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskOUTPERFORM$54874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadSTRONG BUY$58469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$46558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MSI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
MSI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.33%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $483.4H $492.1L $483.4C $491.5VOL 1.27M
RES: $499.2SUP: $452.0SMA50: $466.7SMA200: $440.5
$507.2$473.1$438.9$404.8$370.7RES $499.2SUP $452.0$491.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MSI Butterfly Map → + Track MSI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
29.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSI)

Technology Rank #44 of 714 ⚔️ NOK vs MSI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MSI vs. NOK, ERIC, UI, QCOM)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Motorola Solutions Inc. (MSI) ranks #44 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #52 by equity capitalization ($81.44B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NOK leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while QCOM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.3% ROIC and 55.4% gross margin. QCOM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 86/100 (A) compared with MSI at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MSI ACTIVE
Motorola Solutions Inc.
B 74/100 37.8x 51.7% 24.4% -0.11% $81.44B Benchmark Subject
NOK
Nokia Corporation Sponsored
C- 61/100 21.7x — 14.9% -8.06% $53.46B /nok-vs-msi →
ERIC
Ericsson
C+ 69/100 21.7x — 14.9% +0.36% $37.56B /eric-vs-msi →
UI
Ubiquiti Inc.
C 63/100 51.6x 43.4% 22.5% -7.07% $36.71B /ui-vs-msi →
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
A 86/100 35.1x 55.4% 34.3% -11.12% $194.72B /qcom-vs-msi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000068505

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Motorola Solutions Inc. (MSI) reported GAAP revenue of $11.68B (+8.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.82B , and +17.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.15B, operating cash flow of $2.84B, and free cash flow of $2.31B (+21.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSI closed FY2025 with $19.39B in total assets against $8.41B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.56, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $11.68B $2.15B $2.84B $2.31B $19.39B $8.41B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $10.82B $1.58B $2.39B $1.90B $14.60B $5.67B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $9.98B $1.71B $2.04B $1.59B $44.79B $10.48B

3. MSI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Motorola Solutions Inc. (NYSE: MSI) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $491.53 (-0.11% 1D, market cap $81.44B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MSI ranks #44 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MSI compare to NOK and ERIC in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), MSI carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.8x, gross margin of 51.7%, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, NOK (Nokia Corporation Sponsored) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $53.46B) and ERIC (Ericsson) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $37.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOK leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while QCOM leads on capital efficiency (34.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSI?

Per MSI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000068505), Motorola Solutions Inc. generated $11.68B in revenue (+8.0% YoY), $2.15B in net income, and $2.31B in free cash flow against $19.39B in total assets and $8.41B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MSI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSI last traded at $491.53 (-0.11% on volume of 1,240,787 shares), positioning the stock +5.33% above its 50-day simple moving average ($466.67) and +11.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($440.53). Across its 52-week range of $359.36 to $499.00, MSI sits at the 94.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 72.4 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.8% ($472.85 to $510.21).

MSI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MSI's 12-month stock price target?

Motorola Solutions Inc. (MSI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $526.92 (+7.2% from $491.53), with a bull-case target of $621.77 and a bear-case floor of $403.05.

Is MSI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates MSI B (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 74/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: MSI RQD Cockpit MSI 12M Forecast MSI Earnings & Move MSI Dividends & DRIP MSI Insiders & 13F MSI Whale Options MSI Profit Sankey MSI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MSI — Motorola Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MSI scores 74 out of 100, graded B, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 24.4% and an FCF yield of 2.84%. Returns on invested capital of this level suggest the business generates strong value per dollar deployed, while a 2.84% FCF yield indicates that the cash return relative to the current price is modest, which is a valuation tradeoff.
  • Whale 13F flow: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar is labeled as institutional accumulation and options positioning. Source detail behind the score is not itemized in the holders section (see Analyst View).
  • Insider conviction: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro regime fit: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.35 and sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar. A beta above 1.0 implies the stock has historically moved more than the broader market, which amplifies both upside and drawdown exposure in risk-off regimes.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 6.56, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity of 3.49. The Z-Score and F-Score point to financial strength, while the leverage ratio is a meaningful counterweight.

Taken together, the pillar profile suggests a company with strong cash generation and quality metrics, where the main investor considerations are valuation (P/E of 37.8 TTM), beta-driven volatility, and leverage. The score is a model output and is not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
492.08$81.44B37.835.225.813.020.89%1.35$359.36 - $49924.4%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$11682.0M$2988.0M$2154.0MN/A$2311.3M$1165.0M$8413.0M
FY 2024$10817.0M$2688.0M$1577.0MN/A$1904.2M$2102.0M$5675.0M
FY 2023$9978.0M$2294.0M$1709.0MN/A$1595.0MN/A$10480.8M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $9978.0M (FY 2023) to $11682.0M (FY 2025), and FY 2025 net income was $2154.0M. Per the market data, gross margin is 51.7%, operating margin 25.6%, and net margin 18.4%, with ROIC of 24.4%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 6.56 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Per the SEC financials, debt moved from $5675.0M (FY 2024) to $8413.0M (FY 2025), and cash moved from $2102.0M to $1165.0M over the same period; the Debt/Equity ratio of 3.49 per the RQD rating reflects leverage that the source data does not decompose further.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Market wire (yellow): Yahoo! Finance Canada coverage of market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts (1h ago).
  • Risk watch (red): A Trefis report, "Could You Have Held Motorola Solutions Stock Through Its Falls?" (3h ago). The headline points to drawdown history; the article body is not included in the source data.
  • Catalyst (green): A Seeking Alpha piece on contracted backlog as protection against AI spending swings (6h ago). Per the headline, the thesis is that contracted backlog provides insulation from AI-driven spending volatility.
  • Market wire (yellow): Yahoo Finance comparison of MSI to Nokia on valuation, headlined as an 11% undervaluation (9h ago).
  • Market wire (yellow): Benzinga 20-year return illustration (12h ago).
  • Market wire (yellow): MarketBeat report on an Evercore positive forecast for the stock price (15h ago). The forecast's price target is not included in the source data.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the underlying Form 4, 13F, and Congressional PTR transactions behind the insider and whale pillar scores?
  • What is the revenue and EPS trajectory after FY 2025, given that the EPS field is N/A across all reported periods?
  • What is the composition of the rise in debt from $5675.0M to $8413.0M, and what is the associated interest cost?
  • What is the price target and rating detail behind the Evercore forecast, and what is the broader analyst consensus?
  • How does contracted backlog translate into revenue visibility, and how sensitive is it to the AI spending cycle referenced in news coverage?

MSI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Motorola Solutions Inc. (MSI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MSI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MSI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $491.53?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MSI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MSI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $580.65 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MSI (B • RQD 74/100) a Buy at $492.08?

Welcome to the MSI (Motorola Solutions Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 74/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment. Bulls point to capital efficiency (24.4% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (37.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $369.06 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $492.08

Pump the brakes on MSI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MSI, but look at what you are paying: 37.8x trailing P/E with 51.7% gross margins. Unless Motorola Solutions Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $580.65 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $492.08

MSI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MSI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $492.08 (52-wk range $359.36 - $499.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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