Marsh (MRSH) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$200.62 +1.82% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $201.76

Marsh (MRSH) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $93.69B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MRSH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MRSH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Marsh (NYSE: MRSH) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $200.62 (+1.82% 1D, market cap $93.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MRSH ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MRSH compare to AJG and AON in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), MRSH carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, AJG (Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 46.0x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $68.74B) and AON (Aon plc (Ireland) (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 18.5x, ROIC 15.0%, cap $68.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AON leads on earnings multiple (18.5x) while WTW leads on capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRSH?
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Per MRSH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000062709), Marsh generated $26.98B in revenue (+10.3% YoY), $4.16B in net income, and $5.00B in free cash flow against $58.71B in total assets and $18.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $201.76 (+0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 18.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510080
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (18)SEC (15)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target
$260 Bull$220 Base$165 Bear
📬 FREE MRSH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MRSH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MRSH SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.5% FCF Margin ($5.00B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit15/20 pts (-5 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (64) create a -5 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$177.01+8.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
75
Grade B+$191.26-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
77
Grade B+$190.67+5.2% Next Q
Current
80
Grade B+$200.62+8.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → B+ (80)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MRSH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, MRSH faces multiple-compression risk if 22.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($182.49) or 200D SMA ($177.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($220.48) toward Bear Floor ($164.51).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MRSH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MRSH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.61% Total Yield
1.81% Cash ($3.63/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
22% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (9.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $24,333

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $878/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$11.9K
Yr 2
$13.1K
Yr 3
$14.3K
Yr 4
$15.6K
Yr 5
$17.0K
Yr 6
$18.6K
Yr 7
$20.4K
Yr 8
$22.3K
Yr 9
$24.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in MRSH & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on MRSH and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
MRSH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.51%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $192.3H $200.6L $192.3C $200.6VOL 2.42M
RES: $202.8SUP: $163.6SMA50: $182.5SMA200: $177.3
$205.9$192.6$179.2$165.8$152.5RES $202.8SUP $163.6$200.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MRSH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MRSH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MRSH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MRSH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MRSH)

Financials Rank #4 of 1096 ⚔️ AJG vs MRSH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MRSH vs. AJG, AON, WTW, BRO)

Industry: Specialty Insurers (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marsh (MRSH) ranks #4 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #36 by equity capitalization ($93.69B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AON leads on earnings valuation at 18.5x trailing P/E, while WTW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.6% ROIC and — gross margin. MRSH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MRSH ACTIVE
Marsh
B+ 80/100 22.5x — 10.6% +1.82% $93.69B Benchmark Subject
AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
C+ 69/100 46.0x — 5.3% +2.93% $68.74B /ajg-vs-mrsh →
AON
Aon plc (Ireland) (Class A)
C+ 68/100 18.5x — 15.0% +0.01% $68.24B /aon-vs-mrsh →
WTW
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company
B 74/100 18.6x — 16.6% +1.15% $29.79B /wtw-vs-mrsh →
BRO
Brown & Brown Inc.
B 72/100 21.3x — 4.7% +2.83% $22.50B /bro-vs-mrsh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000062709

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Marsh (MRSH) reported GAAP revenue of $26.98B (+10.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $24.46B , and +18.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.16B, operating cash flow of $5.29B, and free cash flow of $5.00B (+25.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MRSH closed FY2025 with $58.71B in total assets against $18.32B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $26.98B $4.16B $5.29B $5.00B $58.71B $18.32B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $24.46B $4.06B $4.30B $3.99B $56.48B $19.43B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $22.74B $3.76B $4.26B $3.23B $51.53B $12.06B

3. MRSH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MRSH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Marsh (NYSE: MRSH) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $200.62 (+1.82% 1D, market cap $93.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MRSH ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MRSH compare to AJG and AON in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Specialty Insurers), MRSH carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, AJG (Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 46.0x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $68.74B) and AON (Aon plc (Ireland) (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 18.5x, ROIC 15.0%, cap $68.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AON leads on earnings multiple (18.5x) while WTW leads on capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MRSH?

Per MRSH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000062709), Marsh generated $26.98B in revenue (+10.3% YoY), $4.16B in net income, and $5.00B in free cash flow against $58.71B in total assets and $18.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MRSH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MRSH last traded at $200.62 (+1.82% on volume of 2,916,831 shares), positioning the stock +9.93% above its 50-day simple moving average ($182.49) and +13.14% above its 200-day simple moving average ($177.32). Across its 52-week range of $156.60 to $202.70, MRSH sits at the 95.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($190.79 to $210.45).

MRSH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does MRSH pay a dividend and is it safe?

Marsh (MRSH) offers a 1.81% cash dividend yield ($3.63 annualized) and 3.61% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 80/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MRSH — Marsh: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:55Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MRSH carries an RQD Score of 80 and a letter grade of B+, labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 (ROIC 10.6%; FCF yield 5.34%), Whale 13F Flow at 18/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 15/20 (Beta 1.06; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest pillar is institutional flow, which is the largest single contributor to the score; the weakest pillars are macro fit and balance sheet, each at 15/20. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on cash generation and institutional positioning, while the valuation tradeoff is visible in the P/E of 22.5 (TTM) against the forward P/E of 20.9, which implies expected earnings growth is already partly reflected in price. The beta of 1.06 indicates the stock has moved roughly in line with the broader market, so macro-regime sensitivity is present but not extreme. This is an analytical summary of the rating, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
197.03$93.69B22.520.916.98.751.81%1.06$156.6 - $202.710.6%

Business

Marsh (MRSH) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Specialty Insurers industry, per the company profile. Per the SEC financials, the company generated FY 2025 revenue of $26981.0M. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue-model details beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$26981.0M$6223.0M$4160.0MN/A$5001.0M$2687.0M$18320.0M
FY 2024$24458.0M$5817.0M$4060.0MN/A$3986.0M$2398.0M$19428.0M
FY 2023$22736.0M$5282.0M$3756.0MN/A$3234.9MN/A$12058.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow rose in each reported period. Per the market data section, operating margin is 23.1%, net margin is 15.4%, and gross margin is 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 10.6%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9. Debt declined from $19428.0M in FY 2024 to $18320.0M in FY 2025, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5 per the Roarable RQD rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines are predominantly market-wire coverage with a yellow signal, including reports on a possible valuation gap ("Marsh McLennan (MRSH) Stock May Be 37% Undervalued Despite Reinsurance Launch"), a quality-candidate assessment that notes caveats, and a trading-up report. One item is flagged as a green catalyst: an earnings-beat headline suggesting the results could be a game changer for the stock. Risk watch items are limited to the caveat-framed coverage; the feed does not describe specific operational or regulatory risks. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What drove the reported FY 2025 earnings beat referenced in the news feed, and what was the EPS figure, given that reported EPS is N/A in the financials?
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0%, and does that reflect the business model or a data gap?
  • What is the composition of the "reinsurance launch" referenced in the news feed, and how material is it to revenue?
  • How do the institutional accumulation and insider cluster flows in the RQD rating reconcile with the absence of holder and analyst data in the source?
  • What explains the change in cash between FY 2023 (not available) and FY 2024 and FY 2025?

MRSH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Marsh (MRSH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MRSH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MRSH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $200.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MRSH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MRSH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $232.50 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MRSH (B+ • RQD 80/100) a Buy at $197.03?

Welcome to the MRSH (Marsh) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 80/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Specialty Insurers. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $157.62 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $197.03

Pump the brakes on MRSH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MRSH, but look at what you are paying: 22.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Marsh expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $232.50 (+18.0%)
Spot @ $197.03

MRSH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MRSH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Specialty Insurers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $197.03 (52-wk range $156.60 - $202.70), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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