Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1,211.63 +1.07% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,211.66

Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $58.91B
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: MPWR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $1,211.63 (+1.07% 1D, market cap $58.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MPWR ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MPWR compare to NXPI and ALAB in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), MPWR carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 94.8x, gross margin of 55.2%, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 33.2x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $67.05B) and ALAB (Astera Labs Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.4%, cap $50.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UMC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while UMC leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MPWR?
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Per MPWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001280452), Monolithic Power Systems Inc. generated $2.79B in revenue (+26.4% YoY), $621.5M in net income, and $666.2M in free cash flow against $4.19B in total assets and $298.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,211.63 (+0.00%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) β€’ 23.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510061
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk B-
Cash (16)Whales (8)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$1800 Bull$1228 Base$958 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MPWR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MPWR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MPWR SCORES 61/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.9% FCF Margin ($666.2M FCF) & 55.2% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$1,319.55-5.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$1,248.74-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$1,211.89+0% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$1,211.63+0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (69) β†’ C- (61)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MPWR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, MPWR faces multiple-compression risk if 94.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1,270.62) or 200D SMA ($1,318.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1,227.99) toward Bear Floor ($957.83).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MPWRβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMPWR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How MPWR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$666.2M (23.9% FCF Margin)
Revenue$2.79BGross Profit $1.54B (55.2%)Cost of Sales $1.25BOp Profit $728.6M (26.1%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $811.1MNet Profit$621.5M (22.3%)Tax/Other $107.2M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $1.82B
FY24
Rev $2.21B
FY25
Rev $2.79B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$2.79B55.2%26.1%$621.5M$666.2M21.1%
FY 2024$2.21B55.3%24.4%$1.59B$642.3M17%
FY 2023$1.82B55.2%26.5%$427.4M$556.3M1.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MPWR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MPWR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MPWR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.99%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $1,211.2H $1,211.6L $1,198.8C $1,211.6VOL 789.9K
RES: $1,458.3SUP: $1,067.0SMA50: $1,270.6SMA200: $1,318.0
$1,762.7$1,561.4$1,360.1$1,158.8$957.4RES $1,458.3SUP $1,067.0$1,211.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MPWR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +26.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MPWR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MPWR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MPWR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MPWR)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MPWR vs. NXPI, ALAB, UMC, STM)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) ranks #211 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #58 by equity capitalization ($58.91B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UMC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while UMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. NXPI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with MPWR at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MPWR ACTIVE
Monolithic Power Systems Inc.
C- 61/100 94.8x 55.2% 12.2% +1.07% $58.91B Benchmark Subject
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
B 72/100 33.2x 54.7% 13.6% -2.40% $67.05B /nxpi-vs-mpwr β†’
ALAB
Astera Labs Inc.
C+ 68/100 β€” 75.7% 3.4% -10.92% $50.39B /alab-vs-mpwr β†’
UMC
United Microelectronics Corporation
C 65/100 21.7x β€” 14.9% -7.54% $45.42B /umc-vs-mpwr β†’
STM
STMicroelectronics N.V.
D+ 56/100 β€” 33.9% 0.8% -6.50% $44.62B /stm-vs-mpwr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001280452

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.79B (+26.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.21B , and +53.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $621.5M, operating cash flow of $838.2M, and free cash flow of $666.2M (+3.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MPWR closed FY2025 with $4.19B in total assets against $298.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.79B $621.5M $838.2M $666.2M $4.19B $298.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.21B $1.59B $788.4M $642.3M $3.52B $254.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.82B $427.4M $638.2M $556.3M $32.40B $7.58B

3. MPWR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MPWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: MPWR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $1,211.63 (+1.07% 1D, market cap $58.91B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MPWR ranks #211 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MPWR compare to NXPI and ALAB in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), MPWR carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 94.8x, gross margin of 55.2%, and ROIC of 12.2%. By comparison, NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 33.2x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $67.05B) and ALAB (Astera Labs Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.4%, cap $50.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UMC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while UMC leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MPWR?

Per MPWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001280452), Monolithic Power Systems Inc. generated $2.79B in revenue (+26.4% YoY), $621.5M in net income, and $666.2M in free cash flow against $4.19B in total assets and $298.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MPWR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MPWR last traded at $1,211.63 (+1.07% on volume of 2,133,833 shares), positioning the stock -4.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1,270.62) and -8.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1,318.01). Across its 52-week range of $833.18 to $1,714.09, MPWR sits at the 43.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.5% ($1,108.64 to $1,314.62).

MPWR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

How profitable is Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), MPWR converted $2.8B of revenue into a 55.2% gross margin, 26.1% operating margin, and $666.2M in free cash flow (23.9% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 61/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MPWR β€” Monolithic Power Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MPWR scores 61 out of 100, graded C- under the verdict label "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, this reflects ROIC of 12.2% and an FCF yield of 1.13%. The pillar is strong on returns but the 1.13% FCF yield signals that the cash generated is small relative to the current share price, which is a valuation tradeoff.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score modestly. The underlying 13F and options detail is not provided in the source data beyond this score.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is weak. The source data contains no insider transaction detail, so the reason for this score cannot be traced further.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, the beta of 1.24 and sector sensitivity place the stock in a higher-volatility regime. Investors should expect amplified moves relative to the broad market.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 26, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.08 indicate the strongest pillar and a low-leverage, financially sound profile.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating implies that business quality and balance sheet strength are supportive, while price, institutional momentum, and insider signals are not. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 94.8 and EV/EBITDA of 66.4, which the RQD's low FCF yield corroborates as a demanding valuation. Upside drivers would need to come from earnings growth that compresses these multiples; the verdict of "Cautious Neutral" reflects that the current price already embeds substantial expectations.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$1198.81$58.91B94.879.666.412.650.48%1.24$833.18 - $1714.0912.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2790.5M$728.6M$621.5MN/A$666.2M$1099.3M$298.2M
FY 2024$2207.1M$539.4M$1592.1MN/A$642.3M$691.8M$254.1M
FY 2023$1821.1M$481.7M$427.4MN/A$556.3MN/A$7582.1M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1821.1M (FY 2023) to $2790.5M (FY 2025), with operating income moving from $481.7M to $728.6M. Net income in FY 2024 ($1592.1M) exceeds operating income in that year ($539.4M), a discrepancy the source data does not explain. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 12.2%, the Altman Z-Score is 26, and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, all supportive of balance sheet strength. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 debt of $298.2M against cash of $1099.3M is consistent with the Debt/Equity of 0.08 cited in the RQD rating; the FY 2023 debt figure of $7582.1M is inconsistent with the other periods and is not explained in the source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items were recorded, all relating to MPWR:

  • Catalysts (GREEN): Coverage describing "Record Revenue" fueling valuation debate, an upgrade citing "stronger growth," and a report on "Early Entry" amid AI demand. The feed flags two items as CATALYST and characterizes sentiment as bullish on growth.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): Reports describing the stock as potentially "fully priced" on earnings, "expensive," and a TD Cowen reiteration tied to the "AI power opportunity." These are flagged as risk-watch items on valuation.
  • Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the proprietary signal list is empty, and no supply-chain links were recorded.

Net read: the news flow is split between growth enthusiasm and valuation caution, consistent with the RQD verdict.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE" with an empty butterfly link list. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are not available in source data. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided data. Investors seeking this analysis should look to the company's filings for supplier and customer concentration disclosures, which are not included here.

Open Questions

  • What explains FY 2024 net income ($1592.1M) exceeding operating income ($539.4M), and what is the composition of non-operating items?
  • Why is FY 2023 debt reported at $7582.1M when FY 2024 and FY 2025 debt are $254.1M and $298.2M, and is this a reporting or data error?
  • What are the company's principal products, customers, and supplier dependencies, given that the supply-chain graph is empty?
  • What are the analyst consensus rating and price targets, and how do they compare with the current P/E of 94.8?
  • What are the specific 13F, options, and insider transaction details behind the weak whale-flow and insider-conviction pillar scores?

MPWR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Monolithic Power Systems Inc. (MPWR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MPWR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MPWR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1,211.63?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MPWR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MPWR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1,294.71 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MPWR (C- β€’ RQD 61/100) a Buy at $1198.81?

Welcome to the MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (94.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $911.10 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $1,198.81

Pump the brakes on MPWR β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MPWR, but look at what you are paying: 94.8x trailing P/E with 55.2% gross margins. Unless Monolithic Power Systems Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1,462.55 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $1,198.81

MPWR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MPWR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1198.81 (52-wk range $833.18 - $1714.09), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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