STM (56) MCHP (68) ALAB (68) MPWR (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$16.68 -7.54% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.42

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $45.42B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on UMC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is UMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, United Microelectronics Corporation (NYSE: UMC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $16.68 (-7.54% 1D, market cap $45.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, UMC ranks #162 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does UMC compare to STM and MCHP in the Technology sector?

▼

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), UMC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, STM (STMicroelectronics N.V.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.8%, cap $44.62B) and MCHP (Microchip Technology Incorporated) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.3%, cap $44.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UMC leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while UMC leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UMC?

▼

For United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.42 (-1.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 28.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UMC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY UMC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$22.39-12.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$19.67-1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$19.45-14.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C$16.68+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UMC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, UMC faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.60) or 200D SMA ($17.14) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.21) toward Bear Floor ($13.42).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UMC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “UMC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

36.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.87>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE44% OF RANGE

L: $7$16.68H: $29

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on UMC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 3.99% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.87 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (62)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like UMC

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (UMC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

UMC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.51%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $18.82H $18.82L $16.68C $16.68VOL 12.52M

RES: $25.54SUP: $16.21SMA50: $21.60SMA200: $17.14

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

UMC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 UMC Butterfly Map → + Track UMC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UMC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UMC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UMC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UMC)

Technology Rank #162 of 714 ⚔️ STM vs UMC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (UMC vs. STM, MCHP, ALAB, MPWR)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) ranks #162 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #70 by equity capitalization ($45.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UMC leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while UMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. MCHP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with UMC at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
UMC ACTIVE United Microelectronics Corporation	C	65/100	21.7x	—	14.9%	-7.54%	$45.42B	Benchmark Subject
STM STMicroelectronics N.V.	D+	56/100	—	33.9%	0.8%	-6.50%	$44.62B	/stm-vs-umc →
MCHP Microchip Technology Incorporated	C+	68/100	—	57.7%	3.3%	-4.66%	$44.05B	/mchp-vs-umc →
ALAB Astera Labs Inc.	C+	68/100	—	75.7%	3.4%	-10.92%	$50.39B	/alab-vs-umc →
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems Inc.	C-	61/100	94.8x	55.2%	12.2%	+1.07%	$58.91B	/mpwr-vs-umc →

2. UMC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) operates in Semiconductors (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $45.42B, trailing P/E of 21.7x, forward P/E of 20.2x, and EV/EBITDA of 14.9x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 21.1%, net profit margin of 16.4%, ROIC of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. UMC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is UMC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does UMC compare to STM and MCHP in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UMC?

Where is UMC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

UMC last traded at $16.68 (-7.54% on volume of 24,245,797 shares), positioning the stock -22.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.60) and -2.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.14). Across its 52-week range of $6.97 to $28.96, UMC sits at the 44.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($15.48 to $17.88).

UMC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell UMC stock right now?

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is UMC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

UMC's 12-month base price target is $17.21 (range $13.42 to $30.41), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: UMC RQD Cockpit UMC 12M Forecast UMC Earnings & Move UMC Dividends & DRIP UMC Insiders & 13F UMC Whale Options UMC Profit Sankey UMC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

UMC — United Microelectronics Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:49Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, UMC scores 65 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 14.9% and an FCF yield of 3.99%. Returns on capital are solid, but the free-cash-flow yield is modest relative to the share price, so the cash generation supports the valuation only partially.
Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the weakest pillar, suggesting institutional conviction is not a clear tailwind at present.
Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Insider activity is a relative strength in the rating.
Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects a beta of 1.33 and sector sensitivity. A beta above 1 implies amplified moves relative to the broader market in both directions.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z of 3.87, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39. The balance sheet is the rating's second-strongest pillar.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a balanced picture: balance-sheet strength and insider activity support the case, while weak institutional flow and a high-beta profile temper it. The valuation tradeoff is that P/E (TTM) of 21.7 and EV/EBITDA of 14.9 must be weighed against a 3.99% FCF yield. Upside drivers would be improving institutional accumulation and continued cash-flow conversion; downside risk is amplified by the beta of 1.33 during sector drawdowns.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
18.04	$45.42B	21.7	20.2	14.9	0.83	0%	1.33	$6.97 - $28.96	14.9%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines are listed, all tagged as market wire items with a YELLOW signal:

A Yahoo! Finance Canada report on market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
A Seeking Alpha headline stating that GF forecasts UMC for stronger prices and margins over the next two years as orders mount.
A TradingKey report noting the stock moved down 9.95% on Oct 5.
A StockInvest.us price forecast piece.
A TradingView preview of Q3 earnings.
A Yahoo Finance UK quote and history page.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Key watch items from the news flow are the Q3 earnings event and the forward-looking margin commentary attributed to GF in the Seeking Alpha item. The headlines themselves do not provide quantified results.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is "NONE," and there are no butterfly links. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependency mapping, sector correlation figures, or 2nd-order bottleneck identification.

Open Questions

What period-level revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow figures support the margin and ROIC metrics?
Why is gross margin reported as 0% when operating and net margins are positive?
What do the 13F institutional holdings and options positioning look like, given the weak Whale 13F Flow pillar score of 8 / 20?
What analyst consensus, price targets, and insider transactions exist to validate the Insider Conviction pillar score?
What is the specific source and substance of the forward margin and pricing outlook attributed to GF?

UMC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to UMC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 8h ago

United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 11h ago

GF forecasts UMC for stronger prices and margins next two years as orders mount

Seeking Alpha report covering United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingKey • 14h ago

United Microelectronics Corp Stock (UMC) Moved Down by 9.95% on Oct 5: Facts Behind the Movement

TradingKey report covering United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 17h ago

United Microelectronics Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy UMC?

StockInvest.us report covering United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 20h ago

United Microelectronics to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in Store?

TradingView report covering United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 23h ago

United Microelectronics Corporation (2303.TW) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance UK report covering United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 1d ago

UMC Stock Slides After $1.8B Convertible Bond Pricing — Proceeds To Fund Equipment, Plant Expansion

Stocktwits report covering United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Benzinga • 1d ago

Why Is United Microelectronics Stock Falling Wednesday? - United Microelectronics (NYSE:UMC)

Benzinga report covering United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

UMC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.68?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON UMC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $19.48 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is UMC (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $18.04?

Welcome to the UMC (United Microelectronics Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.61 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $18.04

Pump the brakes on UMC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on UMC, but look at what you are paying: 21.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless United Microelectronics Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $22.01 (+22.0%)

Spot @ $18.04

UMC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on UMC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $18.04 (52-wk range $6.97 - $28.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.