Yahoo Finance report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MPB Stock surged +2.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Mid Penn Bancorp (NASDAQ: MPB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $34.52 (+2.37% 1D, market cap $860.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MPB ranks #489 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MPB compare to ORRF and CCBG in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), MPB carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, ORRF (Orrstown Financial Services Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 10.8x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $863.9M) and CCBG (Capital City Bank Group) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $870.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORRF leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while ORRF leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MPB?
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Per MPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000879635), Mid Penn Bancorp generated $2.58B in revenue (+12.1% YoY), $56.2M in net income, and $71.8M in free cash flow against $6.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.8% FCF Margin ($71.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MPB Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, MPB faces multiple-compression risk if 15.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($36.02) or 200D SMA ($34.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($34.36) toward Bear Floor ($26.80).
Why MPB Stock surged +2.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) surged +2.37% to $34.52, trading at 59% of its 52-week range ($27.98 – $39.15). Stretched risk/reward at 15x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 59% of its 52-week range ($27.98 – $39.15) with RSI-14 at 36.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.7% around $34.52 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $71.8M annual free cash flow.
Nasdaq report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Piper Sandler analyst Manuel Navas reiterates Mid Penn Bancorp (NASDAQ:MPB) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $42 to $40.
The headline numbers for Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended September 2026, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and th
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MPB)
- ✓Walkthrough of MPB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
MPB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MPB today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MPB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MPB)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MPB vs. ORRF, CCBG, GSBC, FCBC)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) ranks #489 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #583 by equity capitalization ($860.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ORRF leads on earnings valuation at 10.8x trailing P/E, while ORRF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ORRF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with MPB at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPB
ACTIVE
Mid Penn Bancorp | D+ | 57/100 | 15.4x | — | 6.9% | +2.37% | $860.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| ORRF Orrstown Financial Services Inc. | B | 73/100 | 10.8x | — | 13.7% | +3.07% | $863.9M | /orrf-vs-mpb → |
| CCBG Capital City Bank Group | B- | 70/100 | 14.2x | — | 11.1% | +2.14% | $870.4M | /ccbg-vs-mpb → |
| GSBC Great Southern Bancorp Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 12.4x | — | 11.2% | +1.75% | $873.4M | /gsbc-vs-mpb → |
| FCBC First Community Bankshares Inc. (VA) | D+ | 57/100 | 72.8x | — | 2.4% | +1.68% | $887.7M | /fcbc-vs-mpb → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000879635 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) reported GAAP revenue of $2.58B (+12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.30B , and +1195.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $56.2M, operating cash flow of $80.0M, and free cash flow of $71.8M (+61.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MPB closed FY2025 with $6.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.58B | $56.2M | $80.0M | $71.8M | $6.13B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.30B | $49.4M | $51.4M | $44.5M | $5.47B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $198.9M | $37.4M | $52.3M | $52.3M | — | — |
3. MPB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MPB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Mid Penn Bancorp (NASDAQ: MPB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $34.52 (+2.37% 1D, market cap $860.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MPB ranks #489 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MPB compare to ORRF and CCBG in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), MPB carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, ORRF (Orrstown Financial Services Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 10.8x, ROIC 13.7%, cap $863.9M) and CCBG (Capital City Bank Group) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 14.2x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $870.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ORRF leads on earnings multiple (10.8x) while ORRF leads on capital efficiency (13.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MPB?
Per MPB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000879635), Mid Penn Bancorp generated $2.58B in revenue (+12.1% YoY), $56.2M in net income, and $71.8M in free cash flow against $6.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MPB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MPB last traded at $34.52 (+2.37% on volume of 118,594 shares), positioning the stock -4.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($36.02) and +0.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($34.40). Across its 52-week range of $27.98 to $39.15, MPB sits at the 58.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($32.90 to $36.14).
MPB — Mid Penn Bancorp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $34.52 (+2.37% 1D, market capitalization $860.4M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 8.26%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Major Banks industry, with a market capitalization of $0.9B. The reported periods show net income but no reported revenue or operating income values.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) reported $2.58B in annual revenue (up from $2.30B in FY2024, +12.1% YoY) and $56.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($198.9M revenue, $37.4M net income) through FY2025, MPB scaled operating cash flow to $80.0M and free cash flow to $71.8M, backed by $6.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.26% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $27.98 – $39.15 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 15.4x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. The only sector context available is the Financials / Major Banks classification and the Beta of 1.0 per market data.
- Key Question #1: Can MPB sustain or expand its — operating margin and 6.9% ROIC against Major Banks peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.58B and free cash flow of $71.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is MPB's 14.3x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
MPB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Nasdaq report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MPB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $34.52?
Insider conviction (16/20) and FY 2025 net income of $56.2M with $71.8M free cash flow show real cash generation at a 14.3 forward P/E.
Don't sleep on MPB's setup in Financials. Insider conviction (16/20) and FY 2025 net income of $56.2M with $71.8M free cash flow show real cash generation at a 14.3 forward P/E.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (57/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@MultipleCompression Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $33.95 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.
The RQD rating of 58 (D+) with a Sell/Trim verdict, weak whale flow (7/20), and two RED RISK WATCH news items on Q3 margin softening an
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short MPB above $33.95. The RQD rating of 58 (D+) with a Sell/Trim verdict, weak whale flow (7/20), and two RED RISK WATCH news items on Q3 margin softening and a revenue miss.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20) and FCF yield (8.26%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $39.15.