What is MEC's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MEC.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / MEC / options

OFLX (67) PKOH (50) BOOM (51) AMRO (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$15.77 +4.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.88

Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $383.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MEC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-03, Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (NYSE: MEC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $15.77 (+4.99% 1D, market cap $383.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, MEC ranks #340 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MEC compare to OFLX and PKOH in the Industrials sector?

▼

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), MEC carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.9%, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, OFLX (Omega Flex Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 18.0x, ROIC 43.2%, cap $265.9M) and PKOH (Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 27.4x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $625.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MEC?

▼

Per MEC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001766368), Mayville Engineering Company Inc. generated $546.5M in revenue (-6.0% YoY), -$8.1M in net income, and $26.9M in free cash flow against $563.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.88 (+0.71%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 4.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MEC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MEC SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.9% FCF Margin ($26.9M FCF) & 9.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$14.76-5.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$13.89-0.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$13.86+13.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$15.77-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MEC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MEC currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.59) and Max Pain ($16.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $40.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MEC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MEC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±11.8%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MEC)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MEC.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

🏆 Enter Free $100K Paper Arena →

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MEC)

✓Walkthrough of MEC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MEC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.80%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $15.11H $15.77L $15.02C $15.77VOL 468.2K

SUP: $11.85SMA50: $16.59SMA200: $22.61

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MEC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MEC Butterfly Map → + Track MEC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MEC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MEC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MEC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MEC)

Industrials Rank #340 of 485 ⚔️ OFLX vs MEC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (MEC vs. OFLX, PKOH, BOOM, AMRO)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) ranks #340 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #311 by equity capitalization ($383.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OFLX leads on earnings valuation at 18.0x trailing P/E, while OFLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.2% ROIC and 60.0% gross margin. OFLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with MEC at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MEC ACTIVE Mayville Engineering Company Inc.	D-	39/100	—	9.9%	-1.3%	+4.99%	$383.0M	Benchmark Subject
OFLX Omega Flex Inc.	C+	67/100	18.0x	60.0%	43.2%	+3.53%	$265.9M	/oflx-vs-mec →
PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.	D	50/100	27.4x	17.0%	15.6%	-0.21%	$625.1M	/pkoh-vs-mec →
BOOM DMC Global Inc.	D	51/100	—	22.2%	0.0%	-1.18%	$192.1M	/boom-vs-mec →
AMRO Amaero Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	—	+2.88%	$132.5M	/amro-vs-mec →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001766368

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) reported GAAP revenue of $546.5M (-6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $581.6M , and -7.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.1M, operating cash flow of $38.6M, and free cash flow of $26.9M (-65.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, MEC closed FY2025 with $563.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.91, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$546.5M	-$8.1M	$38.6M	$26.9M	$563.6M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$581.6M	$26.0M	$89.8M	$77.7M	$445.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$588.4M	$7.8M	$40.4M	$40.4M	—	—

3. MEC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MEC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MEC compare to OFLX and PKOH in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MEC?

Where is MEC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MEC last traded at $15.77 (+4.99% on volume of 625,871 shares), positioning the stock -4.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.59) and -30.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.61). Across its 52-week range of $12.41 to $38.76, MEC sits at the 12.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($13.91 to $17.63).

Direct Sub-Reports: MEC RQD Cockpit MEC 12M Forecast MEC Earnings & Move MEC Dividends & DRIP MEC Insiders & 13F MEC Whale Options MEC Profit Sankey MEC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MEC — Mayville Engineering Company Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:19Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD Score is 39, graded D-, with a verdict of "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow" (). The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of -1.3% and an FCF yield of 6.99%. Negative ROIC means the company is currently not earning a return above zero on invested capital, which weakens the case that incremental capital is compounding value. The FCF yield is the main offsetting positive in this pillar.
Whale / 13F Flow: 5 / 20. this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. Its low score indicates weak institutional support in the scoring model.
Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow.
Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is weighed here. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is modeled to move in line with the broader market, offering no defensive cushion or amplified-upside characteristic on this metric.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 7 / 20. the Altman Z-Score is 1.91, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. An Altman Z near the low end of the distress range and a Piotroski score below the midpoint point to a fragile balance sheet, even though leverage on a debt-to-equity basis is moderate.

Investor implications: The score is driven by weak returns on capital and weak signals across institutional, insider, and balance-sheet pillars. Upside drivers in the data are limited to the positive FCF yield and the stock's recent price action (+2.37% on the day).5% means earnings-based valuation cannot be anchored from the provided figures. The most important second-order risk is that the balance sheet has limited cushion if operating performance does not recover.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Industrials sector, Industrial Specialties industry (per the company profile). Revenue of $546.

Revenue declined from $588.4M (FY 2023) to $581.6M (FY 2024) to $546.5M (FY 2025), and the company moved from operating income of $44.6M in FY 2024 to an operating loss of -$3.8M in FY 2025. Per the market data, gross margin is 9.9%, operating margin -0.7%, net margin -1.5%, and ROIC -1.3%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.91 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Reported cash is $1.5M at FY 2025 year-end.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: The stock carries a 6.99% FCF yield and a 2.37% gain on the day while trading near the low end of its $12.41–$38.76 52-week range. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 (ROIC -1.3%, FCF yield 6.99%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $12.41 – $38.76 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: ROIC of -1.3%, an operating loss of -$3.8M in FY 2025, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.91 indicate weak returns and a fragile balance sheet. Investors must weigh current valuation against -0.7% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The one identified sector context is Industrials / Industrial Specialties, and the broader market sensitivity is captured by beta of 1.0 (per market data).

Key Question #1: What drove the swing from FY 2024 operating income of $44.6M to FY 2025 operating loss of -$3.8M, and is the Q3 report due Nov. 3 expected to show recovery?
Key Question #2: Does reported FY 2025 cash of $1.5M, with FCF of $26.9M, indicate the company is funding obligations internally, and what is its debt maturity profile?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is MEC's 9.9% gross margin and equity valuation to Industrials demand cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00)?

MEC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MEC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

What Makes Mayville Engineering (MEC) an Attractive Opportunity?

Yahoo Finance report covering Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 23h ago

Mayville Engineering Company: Why We Reestablished A Position In Q3

Seeking Alpha report covering Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 1d ago

MEC: Mayville Engineering Company Inc Latest Stock Price, Analysis, News and Trading Ideas

Stocktwits report covering Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Third-quarter results are due after market close Nov. 3; Mayville Engineering's call follows Nov. 4.

Stock Titan report covering Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Mayville Engineering (MEC) Q3 earnings: what to expect

Yahoo Finance report covering Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH StockStory • 1d ago

3 Stocks Under $50 We Find Risky

StockStory report covering Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Trading the Move, Not the Narrative: (MEC) Edition

Stock Traders Daily report covering Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

BlackRock reports ownership above 5% in Mayville Engineering (MEC).

Stock Titan report covering Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MEC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.77?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MEC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeepValue_CFA Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.57 (+17.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

The stock carries a 6.99% FCF yield and a 2.37% gain on the day while trading near the low end of its $12.41–$38.76 52-week range.

The street is overcomplicating Mayville Engineering Company Inc. (MEC). The stock carries a 6.99% FCF yield and a 2.37% gain on the day while trading near the low end of its $12.41–$38.76 52-week range.. With an RQD score of 39/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $16.22.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $15.02 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

FO ForensicBear 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.02 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $15.02

ROIC of -1.3%, an operating loss of -$3.8M in FY 2025, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.91 indicate weak returns and a fragile balance sheet.

I respect the product at Mayville Engineering Company Inc., but the stock at $15.02 is a different story. ROIC of -1.3%, an operating loss of -$3.8M in FY 2025, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.91 indicate weak returns and a fragile balance sheet.. FCF yield is 6.99% and RQD sits at 39/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?