Why MAR Stock slipped -0.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$399.30 -0.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $400.19

Marriott International (MAR) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 39% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $104.22B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Marriott International (NASDAQ: MAR) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $399.30 (-0.09% 1D, market cap $104.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MAR ranks #49 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MAR compare to HLT and IHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MAR carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 39.2%. By comparison, HLT (Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 54.5x, ROIC 33.5%, cap $79.42B) and IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group American) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $24.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while MAR leads on capital efficiency (39.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAR?
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Per MAR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001048286), Marriott International generated $26.19B in revenue (+4.3% YoY), $2.60B in net income, and $2.03B in free cash flow against $27.54B in total assets and $6.44B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $400.18 (+0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 7.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510076
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (18)SEC (18)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target
$509 Bull$432 Base$327 Bear
📬 FREE MAR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MAR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MAR SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.90 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (68.1) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$371.50+6.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$397.31-1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
73
Grade B$390.23+2.3% Next Q
Current
76
Grade B+$399.30+7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MAR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, MAR faces multiple-compression risk if 40.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($361.86) or 200D SMA ($356.77) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($431.64) toward Bear Floor ($327.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MAR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MAR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why MAR Stock slipped -0.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Marriott International (MAR) slipped -0.09% to $399.30, trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($258.99 – $410.98). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 39% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($258.99 – $410.98) with RSI-14 at 68.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.1% around $399.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $2.0B annual free cash flow.
Live MAR Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (MAR Tape Review)

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  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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MAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.99%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $394.4H $399.7L $394.4C $399.3VOL 1.29M
RES: $410.8SUP: $289.9SMA50: $361.9SMA200: $356.8
$418.6$387.0$355.4$323.8$292.2RES $410.8SUP $289.9$399.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MAR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
30.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MAR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MAR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MAR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MAR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #49 of 1011 ⚔️ HLT vs MAR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MAR vs. HLT, IHG, LVS, H)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marriott International (MAR) ranks #49 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #19 by equity capitalization ($104.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LVS leads on earnings valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E, while MAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.2% ROIC and — gross margin. MAR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MAR ACTIVE
Marriott International
B+ 76/100 40.1x — 39.2% -0.09% $104.22B Benchmark Subject
HLT
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
B+ 76/100 54.5x — 33.5% 0.00% $79.42B /hlt-vs-mar →
IHG
Intercontinental Hotels Group American
C+ 66/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.09% $24.97B /ihg-vs-mar →
LVS
Las Vegas Sands Corp.
D+ 56/100 14.3x — 36.2% -0.19% $23.22B /lvs-vs-mar →
H
Hyatt Hotels Corporation
D 48/100 — — -0.7% -2.02% $17.36B /h-vs-mar →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001048286

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Marriott International (MAR) reported GAAP revenue of $26.19B (+4.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.10B , and +10.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.60B, operating cash flow of $3.21B, and free cash flow of $2.03B (+1.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MAR closed FY2025 with $27.54B in total assets against $6.44B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.90, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $26.19B $2.60B $3.21B $2.03B $27.54B $6.44B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $25.10B $2.38B $2.75B $2.00B $26.18B $6.13B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $23.71B $3.08B $3.17B $2.10B $57.32B $13.41B

3. MAR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Marriott International (NASDAQ: MAR) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $399.30 (-0.09% 1D, market cap $104.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MAR ranks #49 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MAR compare to HLT and IHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MAR carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 39.2%. By comparison, HLT (Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 54.5x, ROIC 33.5%, cap $79.42B) and IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group American) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $24.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while MAR leads on capital efficiency (39.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MAR?

Per MAR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001048286), Marriott International generated $26.19B in revenue (+4.3% YoY), $2.60B in net income, and $2.03B in free cash flow against $27.54B in total assets and $6.44B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MAR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MAR last traded at $399.30 (-0.09% on volume of 2,028,603 shares), positioning the stock +10.35% above its 50-day simple moving average ($361.86) and +11.92% above its 200-day simple moving average ($356.77). Across its 52-week range of $258.99 to $410.98, MAR sits at the 92.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($382.93 to $415.67).

MAR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is MAR stock moving today?

Why MAR Stock slipped -0.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 39% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 76/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MAR — Marriott International: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MAR scores 76 out of 100, grade B+, labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 39.2% and an FCF yield of 1.95%. The high return on invested capital is the strongest cash-generation signal in the source; the 1.95% FCF yield indicates that free cash flow is modest relative to the current market capitalization, which is consistent with a premium valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 18 / 20. The rating attributes this score to institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source does not itemize 13F holdings (see Analyst View section), so the underlying positioning cannot be independently verified here.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. The rating cites SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow as the basis. No individual insider transactions are itemized in the source data, so the cluster pattern is not verifiable from the material provided.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the rating, this reflects a beta of 0.9 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 suggests the stock has historically moved less than the broad market, which may appeal to investors seeking lower volatility, but the sector-sensitivity component is not quantified in the source.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z-Score of 6.9, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.85. These are strong readings on the forensic side.

Investor implications: The composite score is driven by strong capital efficiency and balance-sheet quality. The principal tradeoff is valuation: at a trailing P/E of 40.1 and EV/EBITDA of 21.3, the price embeds substantial expectations, and the 1.95% FCF yield offers limited cash-return cushion at this level. Upside depends on sustained high returns on capital; downside risk concentrates in any compression of the multiple, since the rating's sentiment and flow pillars (18 and 12 of 20) rely on conditions that the source does not fully document. This is an analytical summary, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$399.65$104.22B40.137.321.39.970.69%0.9$258.99 - $410.9839.2%

Business

Per the Profile section, Marriott International (MAR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Hotels/Resorts industry. Per the same source, the company has a market capitalization of $104.2B. The source data does not describe specific products, customer segments, or revenue-generation mechanics beyond the sector and industry classification.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, headlines include a report that MAR "May Be Fully Priced Following Thailand Hotel Expansion," a report describing a nine-session run of gains and an 11% rise, a report describing a ten-day winning streak with a 13% gain, and a long-horizon return piece. All six items are flagged YELLOW with a MARKET WIRE impact label. These headlines point to recent price momentum and a valuation debate tied to the Thailand expansion. The feed does not provide the underlying expansion details, so the scale of that catalyst is not quantified.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What is the scale and timing of the Thailand hotel expansion, and how much of projected cash generation does it represent?
  • Why is the gross margin reported as 0%, and how should that figure be interpreted given the reported operating margin of 15.8%?
  • What were the reported EPS values for each fiscal year, given that EPS is N/A across all three periods?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders underlie the whale and insider pillar scores of 18 and 12?
  • Why is cash unreported for FY 2023, and how did debt fall from $13412.5M to $6444.4M across the period?

MAR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Marriott International (MAR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MAR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MAR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $399.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MAR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MAR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $471.59 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MAR (B+ • RQD 76/100) a Buy at $399.65?

Welcome to the MAR (Marriott International) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 76/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to capital efficiency (39.2% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (40.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $323.72 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $399.65

Pump the brakes on MAR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MAR, but look at what you are paying: 40.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Marriott International expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $487.57 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $399.65

MAR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MAR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $399.65 (52-wk range $258.99 - $410.98), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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