Why LTM Stock dropped -3.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is LTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (NYSE: LTM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $42.38 (-3.59% 1D, market cap $12.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LTM ranks #564 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does LTM compare to FDXF and AAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), LTM carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, FDXF (FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $16.40B) and AAL (American Airlines Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 76.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FDXF leads on earnings multiple (25.0x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LTM?
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For LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #564 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LTM Turnaround Squeeze
While LTM currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($49.50) and Max Pain ($44.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $73.94.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why LTM Stock dropped -3.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM) dropped -3.59% to $42.38, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($41.44 – $70.42). Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($41.44 – $70.42) with RSI-14 at 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.8% around $42.38 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $278.9M annual free cash flow.
Key TakeawaysPetrobras fell 15% today after Lula won Sunday’s runoff in Brazil with 51. 8% of the vote.
MIRAMAR, Fla., October 26, 2026--Quvia, an edge-to-cloud network platform, today announced that LATAM Airlines is deploying Quvia to get an independent, real-time view of in-flight connectivity (IFC) performance and pass
Gainers DSS (AMEX:DSS) shares moved upwards by 13.7% to $0.58 during Monday's pre-market session. The company's market cap stands at $5.3 million. Stem (NYSE:STEM) stock moved upwards by 8.63% to $3.27. The
Brazilian stocks plunged premarket after Lula's reelection, led by XP (-46%), Inter & Co (-34.7%), StoneCo (-33.8%) and MercadoLibre (-14.1%).
Copa Holdings, LATAM Airlines, Volaris and Ryanair report September traffic growth as strong travel demand supports passenger volumes despite rising fuel and labor costs.
The move comes just three months after the carrier announced a new route to JFK.
Investors need to pay close attention to LTM stock based on the movements in the options market lately.
LTM reported 6.2% traffic growth and 7.7% capacity expansion in September 2026, but its load factor fell as capacity growth outpaced demand.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LTM)
- ✓Walkthrough of LTM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
LTM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LTM today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LTM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LTM)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LTM vs. FDXF, AAL, LUV, RYAAY)
Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM) ranks #564 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #145 by equity capitalization ($12.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FDXF leads on earnings valuation at 25.0x trailing P/E, while AAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. LUV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with LTM at 49/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM
ACTIVE
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American | D | 49/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -3.59% | $12.62B | Benchmark Subject |
| FDXF FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc. | D | 45/100 | 25.0x | — | 8.3% | +14.91% | $16.40B | /fdxf-vs-ltm → |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 76.3x | — | 85.0% | -1.41% | $8.47B | /aal-vs-ltm → |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Company | D+ | 56/100 | 48.5x | — | 3.2% | -2.86% | $21.39B | /luv-vs-ltm → |
| RYAAY Ryanair Holdings plc | D+ | 54/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +0.62% | $28.10B | /ryaay-vs-ltm → |
2. LTM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTLATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $12.62B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.
3. LTM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (NYSE: LTM) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $42.38 (-3.59% 1D, market cap $12.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LTM ranks #564 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LTM compare to FDXF and AAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), LTM carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, FDXF (FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $16.40B) and AAL (American Airlines Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 76.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FDXF leads on earnings multiple (25.0x) while AAL leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LTM?
For LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #564 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LTM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LTM last traded at $42.38 (-3.59% on volume of 1,120,735 shares), positioning the stock -14.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($49.50) and -19.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($52.60). Across its 52-week range of $41.44 to $70.42, LTM sits at the 3.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($39.92 to $44.84).
LTM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LTM stock moving today?
Why LTM Stock dropped -3.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
LTM — LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, LTM scores 49 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 11 of 20, reflecting a ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%; for a prospective investor, this indicates modest capital efficiency and a thin free-cash cushion relative to the share price. Whale 13F Flow scores 4 of 20, indicating weak institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 12 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 6 of 20, with a Beta of 1.05 and the sector sensitivity noted in the rating. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 16 of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 3.74, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39. Taken together, the balance sheet is the strongest element of the rating, while institutional flow and macro fit are the weakest. The verdict signals that, on this framework, upside drivers are limited relative to the risks flagged, and the valuation (P/E TTM of 32.8) leaves little margin for error. This is an educational reading of the rating, not personalized advice.
Snapshot
Open Questions
- What are the company's reported revenue, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, and how have they trended?
- Which specific airline routes, customers, and revenue streams drive the business, and how does the company generate its income?
- What is the analyst consensus rating and price target distribution, and how does the current price of 43.96 compare to those targets?
- What insider, 13F institutional, or Congressional trades have occurred, and what do they indicate about conviction?
- What recent corporate events, earnings results, or regulatory developments explain the stock's position within its 52-week range of $41.44 to $70.42?
LTM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American (LTM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Key TakeawaysPetrobras fell 15% today after Lula won Sunday’s runoff in Brazil with 51. 8% of the vote.
MIRAMAR, Fla., October 26, 2026--Quvia, an edge-to-cloud network platform, today announced that LATAM Airlines is deploying Quvia to get an independent, real-time view of in-flight connectivity (IFC) performance and pass
Gainers DSS (AMEX:DSS) shares moved upwards by 13.7% to $0.58 during Monday's pre-market session. The company's market cap stands at $5.3 million. Stem (NYSE:STEM) stock moved upwards by 8.63% to $3.27. The
Brazilian stocks plunged premarket after Lula's reelection, led by XP (-46%), Inter & Co (-34.7%), StoneCo (-33.8%) and MercadoLibre (-14.1%).
Copa Holdings, LATAM Airlines, Volaris and Ryanair report September traffic growth as strong travel demand supports passenger volumes despite rising fuel and labor costs.
The move comes just three months after the carrier announced a new route to JFK.
LTM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $42.38?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LTM (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $43.96?
Welcome to the LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Air Freight/Delivery Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on LTM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LTM, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
LTM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LTM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Air Freight/Delivery Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $43.96 (52-wk range $41.44 - $70.42), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.