Stride Inc. (LRN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$78.36 -2.90% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.14

Stride Inc. (LRN) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (39% profit margin, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ β€’ BUY Cap $3.39B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LRN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Stride Inc. (NYSE: LRN) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $78.36 (-2.90% 1D, market cap $3.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, LRN ranks #6 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LRN compare to LOPE and CVSA in the Real Estate sector?
β–Ό

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), LRN carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.8x, gross margin of 39.2%, and ROIC of 19.4%. By comparison, LOPE (Grand Canyon Education Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 33.1%, cap $4.02B) and CVSA (Covista Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LRN leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while LOPE leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LRN?
β–Ό

Per LRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001157408), Stride Inc. generated $2.41B in revenue (+17.9% YoY), $287.9M in net income, and $431.0M in free cash flow against $2.31B in total assets and $417.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (39% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $78.14 (-0.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) β€’ 17.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 70.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B+
025507510076
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk B+
Cash (18)Whales (9)SEC (18)Macro (13)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target
$109 Bull$85 Base$64 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LRN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LRN SCORES 76/100 (B+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17.9% FCF Margin ($431.0M FCF) & 39.2% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.58 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 9/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
84
Grade A$83.00-4.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
81
Grade A-$78.95+0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
79
Grade A-$79.21-1.1% Next Q
Current
76
Grade B+$78.36+7.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: A (84) β†’ B+ (76)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LRN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, LRN faces multiple-compression risk if 11.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 36.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($81.29) or 200D SMA ($86.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($84.71) toward Bear Floor ($64.26).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LRNβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
5.2% Total Yield
3.4% Cash ($2.66/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
17.4% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $40,456

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $2,104/yr
$11.5K
Yr 1
$13.2K
Yr 2
$15.2K
Yr 3
$17.5K
Yr 4
$20.1K
Yr 5
$23.1K
Yr 6
$26.6K
Yr 7
$30.6K
Yr 8
$35.2K
Yr 9
$40.5K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in LRN & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on LRN and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.07%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $80.10H $80.70L $78.36C $78.36VOL 793.3K
RES: $84.92SUP: $72.63SMA50: $81.29SMA200: $86.07
$105.7$97.14$88.54$79.93$71.33RES $84.92SUP $72.63$78.362026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LRN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LRN)

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (LRN vs. LOPE, CVSA, GHC, DAO)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Stride Inc. (LRN) ranks #6 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #10 by equity capitalization ($3.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LRN leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while LOPE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.1% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CVSA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with LRN at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LRN ACTIVE
Stride Inc.
B+ 76/100 11.8x 39.2% 19.4% -2.90% $3.39B Benchmark Subject
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education Inc.
B+ 76/100 β€” β€” 33.1% -4.08% $4.02B /lope-vs-lrn β†’
CVSA
Covista Inc.
B+ 78/100 18.4x 56.9% 14.8% -3.44% $4.36B /cvsa-vs-lrn β†’
GHC
Graham Holdings Company
C 63/100 16.8x β€” 3.5% +0.56% $4.92B /ghc-vs-lrn β†’
DAO
Youdao Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
C+ 68/100 β€” 44.3% 21.5% +4.09% $2.33B /dao-vs-lrn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0001157408

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Stride Inc. (LRN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.41B (+17.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.04B , and +30.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $287.9M, operating cash flow of $432.8M, and free cash flow of $431.0M (+55.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LRN closed FY2025 with $2.31B in total assets against $417.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.58, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $2.41B $287.9M $432.8M $431.0M $2.31B $417.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $2.04B $204.2M $278.8M $276.5M $2.07B $415.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $1.84B $126.9M $203.2M $120.5M $2.20B $515.9M

3. LRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Stride Inc. (NYSE: LRN) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $78.36 (-2.90% 1D, market cap $3.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, LRN ranks #6 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LRN compare to LOPE and CVSA in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), LRN carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.8x, gross margin of 39.2%, and ROIC of 19.4%. By comparison, LOPE (Grand Canyon Education Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 33.1%, cap $4.02B) and CVSA (Covista Inc.) posts a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LRN leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while LOPE leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LRN?

Per LRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001157408), Stride Inc. generated $2.41B in revenue (+17.9% YoY), $287.9M in net income, and $431.0M in free cash flow against $2.31B in total assets and $417.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (39% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LRN last traded at $78.36 (-2.90% on volume of 634,204 shares), positioning the stock -3.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($81.29) and -8.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($86.07). Across its 52-week range of $60.61 to $103.67, LRN sits at the 41.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.0% ($72.87 to $83.85).

LRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does LRN pay a dividend and is it safe?

Stride Inc. (LRN) offers a 3.4% cash dividend yield ($2.66 annualized) and 5.2% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 76/100 (B+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LRN β€” Stride Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LRN scores 76 out of 100, equating to a letter grade of B+ and the verdict label "Roarable Buy β€” Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 18 of 20 (ROIC 19.4%; FCF yield 12.7%), Whale 13F Flow at 9 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 18 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 13 of 20 (Beta 1.08; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18 of 20 (Altman Z 5.58; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.27).

For a prospective investor, the strongest support comes from cash generation, insider flow, and balance sheet strength, while institutional 13F positioning is the weakest pillar relative to its weight. The Macro Regime Fit score reflects a beta above 1.0, meaning the stock is sensitive to broad market moves, which is a valuation and volatility consideration rather than a fundamental defect. Upside drivers implied by the scores are the high free cash flow yield and low leverage; the principal tradeoff is that the rating does not itself establish whether current pricing already reflects these strengths. This is educational context, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
80.7$3.39B11.89.99.26.853.4%1.08$60.61 - $103.6719.4%

Business

Stride Inc. (LRN) is a NYSE-listed issuer. Per the profile, it operates in the Real Estate sector and the Other Consumer Services industry. Not available in source data for: specific products or services sold, customer base, or revenue model detail.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2405.3M$360.1M$287.9MN/A$431.0M$497.1M$417.2M
FY 2024$2040.1M$249.6M$204.2MN/A$276.5M$515.0M$415.5M
FY 2023$1837.4M$165.5M$126.9MN/A$120.5MN/A$515.9M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $1837.4M (FY 2023) to $2405.3M (FY 2025), and net income rose from $126.9M to $287.9M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 39.2%, operating margin 15%, and net margin 12%, with ROIC at 19.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.58 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.27. Cash declined from $515.0M (FY 2024) to $497.1M (FY 2025) while debt was broadly stable.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines are as follows. "Stride (LRN) Stock Price Slides As Q1 Results Squeeze Margins" (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) cites margin pressure. "Stride (NYSE:LRN): A Decent Value Stock Trading at a Discount" (ChartMill, YELLOW) points to valuation. "Stride (LRN) Reports Q3: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings" (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW) flags an upcoming earnings event. "Stride: Last Year's Missteps Are Casting A Long Shadow (Downgrade)" (Seeking Alpha, RED, RISK WATCH) is the sole risk-watch item and references a downgrade. "A Look at Stride Inc (LRN) After 3.2% Decline" (GuruFocus, YELLOW) notes a 3.2% decline against a GF value figure. "Why Stride (LRN) Stock Is Down Today" (Quiver Quantitative, YELLOW) covers a recent decline. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific drivers account for the margin compression cited in the Q1 results headline, and how do they compare to the FY 2025 operating margin trajectory?
  • What is the content and basis of the downgrade referenced in the Seeking Alpha risk-watch item?
  • Why does cash fall year over year while FCF rises, and what drives the difference between the two?
  • What are the underlying institutional 13F and insider trade records supporting the 9/20 and 18/20 pillar scores?
  • What is the company's revenue model and customer base, which the source data does not describe?

LRN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Stride Inc. (LRN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to LRN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LRN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $78.36?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LRN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LRN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $95.23 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LRN (B+ β€’ RQD 76/100) a Buy at $80.70?

Welcome to the LRN (Stride Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 76/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Other Consumer Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (19.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $66.98 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $80.70

Pump the brakes on LRN β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LRN, but look at what you are paying: 11.8x trailing P/E with 39.2% gross margins. Unless Stride Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $96.84 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $80.70

LRN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LRN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $80.70 (52-wk range $60.61 - $103.67), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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