Lazard Inc. (LAZ) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$38.35 -3.01% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.07

Lazard Inc. (LAZ) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.75B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LAZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lazard Inc. (NYSE: LAZ) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $38.35 (-3.01% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LAZ ranks #414 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LAZ compare to CNS and FHI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), LAZ carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, CNS (Cohen & Steers Inc) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 33.7%, cap $3.73B) and FHI (Federated Hermes Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 39.8%, cap $4.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while AAMI leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAZ?
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Per LAZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001311370), Lazard Inc. generated $3.19B in revenue (+1.5% YoY), $237.0M in net income, and $487.4M in free cash flow against $4.94B in total assets and $1.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.07 (-0.73%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 15.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D
Cash (16)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$62 Bull$39 Base$30 Bear
📬 FREE LAZ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LAZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LAZ SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.3% FCF Margin ($487.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (52.5) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$34.66+7.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$37.37+2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$38.47-0.3% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$38.35+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LAZ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, LAZ faces multiple-compression risk if 16.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.43) or 200D SMA ($44.03) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.52) toward Bear Floor ($30.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LAZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LAZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LAZ)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LAZ.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LAZ & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LAZ
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LAZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.36%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $39.54H $39.54L $38.35C $38.35VOL 1.68M
RES: $44.68SUP: $33.15SMA50: $38.43SMA200: $44.03
$51.73$46.96$42.19$37.42$32.65RES $44.68SUP $33.15$38.352026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LAZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LAZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LAZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LAZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LAZ)

Financials Rank #414 of 1096 ⚔️ CNS vs LAZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LAZ vs. CNS, FHI, AAMI, HTGC)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lazard Inc. (LAZ) ranks #414 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #318 by equity capitalization ($3.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HTGC leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while AAMI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.3% ROIC and — gross margin. FHI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with LAZ at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LAZ ACTIVE
Lazard Inc.
C- 59/100 16.3x — 24.4% -3.01% $3.75B Benchmark Subject
CNS
Cohen & Steers Inc
D- 43/100 24.5x — 33.7% -0.59% $3.73B /cns-vs-laz →
FHI
Federated Hermes Inc.
B 74/100 10.7x — 39.8% +0.81% $4.37B /fhi-vs-laz →
AAMI
Acadian Asset Management Inc.
D 50/100 40.5x — 40.3% -2.63% $3.16B /aami-vs-laz →
HTGC
Hercules Capital Inc.
D- 42/100 9.3x — 15.3% -1.83% $3.14B /htgc-vs-laz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001311370

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lazard Inc. (LAZ) reported GAAP revenue of $3.19B (+1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.14B , and +22.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $237.0M, operating cash flow of $519.3M, and free cash flow of $487.4M (-30.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LAZ closed FY2025 with $4.94B in total assets against $1.78B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.19B $237.0M $519.3M $487.4M $4.94B $1.78B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.14B $280.0M $742.8M $697.3M $4.79B $1.81B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.59B -$75.0M $164.7M $48.0M $3.11B $728.2M

3. LAZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LAZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lazard Inc. (NYSE: LAZ) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $38.35 (-3.01% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LAZ ranks #414 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LAZ compare to CNS and FHI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), LAZ carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, CNS (Cohen & Steers Inc) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 33.7%, cap $3.73B) and FHI (Federated Hermes Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 39.8%, cap $4.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while AAMI leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAZ?

Per LAZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001311370), Lazard Inc. generated $3.19B in revenue (+1.5% YoY), $237.0M in net income, and $487.4M in free cash flow against $4.94B in total assets and $1.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LAZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LAZ last traded at $38.35 (-3.01% on volume of 1,683,450 shares), positioning the stock -0.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($38.43) and -12.90% below its 200-day simple moving average ($44.03). Across its 52-week range of $34.13 to $58.75, LAZ sits at the 17.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($34.90 to $41.80).

LAZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LAZ's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for LAZ.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

LAZ — Lazard Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, LAZ scores 62 out of 100, earning a letter grade of C and the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar cites ROIC of 24.4% and an FCF yield of 12.62%. This is the strongest contributor to the score and points to high capital efficiency and strong cash generation relative to the market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data contains no 13F holder detail (see Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership), so the basis for this mid-range score cannot be independently traced in the supplied material.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the highest pillar score and references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying transaction records are not present in the supplied holder data, so this score is accepted as reported but not verifiable from the sources provided.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar cites Beta of 1.01 and sector sensitivity. It is the weakest pillar, suggesting that the stock's market sensitivity and sector exposure are a relative drag under the rating's framework.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this cites Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These point to a moderate balance sheet posture rather than a distressed or pristine one.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating implies a balanced setup: strong cash-generation and capital-efficiency metrics (upside drivers) are offset by weak macro-regime fit and mid-range institutional flow. Per the market data, the forward P/E of 15.2 versus trailing P/E of 16.3 suggests earnings expectations are modestly higher in the coming period, while the 12.62% FCF yield implies a valuation that is already cash-rich relative to price. Investors should weigh whether that cash yield is sustainable against the revenue and net income trend shown in the financials. This is an analytical framing, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$39.54$3.86B16.315.211.42.434.83%1.01$34.13 - $58.7524.4%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3186.5M$327.6M$237.0MN/A$487.4M$1469.4M$1778.2M
FY 2024$3139.9M$386.5M$280.0MN/A$697.3M$1308.2M$1813.1M
FY 2023$2593.2M$-80.0M$-75.0MN/A$48.0MN/A$728.2M

Revenue rose from $2593.2M in FY 2023 to $3186.5M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $-75.0M to $237.0M, with FY 2025 down from FY 2024's $280.0M. Per the market data, the operating margin is 10.3%, the net margin is 7.4%, and the gross margin is listed as 0%. ROIC is 24.4% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the rating. Debt declined from $1813.1M in FY 2024 to $1778.2M in FY 2025, while cash increased over the same period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Market wire, trading lower (YELLOW): A headline states Lazard stock is trading lower today, per the Yahoo Finance item in the news feed.
  • Risk Watch (RED): Q3 miss. Per the Seeking Alpha item, a headline reports Q3 revenue and EPS missed estimates, attributed to a limited number of deal "pull-forwards."
  • Risk Watch (RED): Dividend payout. Per the ChartMill item, a high-yield dividend passes a quality screen despite payout risks.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): Valuation. Per the GuruFocus item, the stock is down 5.1% and a GF Score of 8 is cited in the headline.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): Earnings preview. Per the Yahoo Finance item, Lazard is set to report earnings the following day.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): Acquisition. Per the Quantisnow item, Lazard completed its acquisition of Campbell Lutyens and launched a related initiative.

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph contains no proprietary signals and no links, so no signal-based catalysts are attributable from that source.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific service lines and client mix that generate the reported revenue, and how much depends on deal timing?
  • What are the individual SEC Form 4 and 13F transactions underlying the insider (17/20) and whale flow (10/20) pillar scores?
  • What is the FY 2025 EPS, which is listed as N/A in the financials, and how does it reconcile with the trailing EPS of 2.43?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is listed as N/A, and does the FY 2025 cash build reflect sustainable operating cash generation?
  • What drives the sector sensitivity behind the Macro Regime Fit score of 6/20, and what is the gross margin of 0% reported in the market data?

LAZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lazard Inc. (LAZ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LAZ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LAZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $38.35?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LAZ 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LAZ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $42.70 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is LAZ (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $39.54?

Welcome to the LAZ (Lazard Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Investment Managers. Bulls point to capital efficiency (24.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $30.45 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $39.54

Pump the brakes on LAZ — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LAZ, but look at what you are paying: 16.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Lazard Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $47.84 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $39.54

LAZ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LAZ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Managers and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $39.54 (52-wk range $34.13 - $58.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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