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Lazard Inc. (LAZ) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$39.16 +2.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.23

Lazard Inc. (LAZ) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.75B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LAZ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LAZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lazard Inc. (NYSE: LAZ) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $39.16 (+2.11% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LAZ ranks #414 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LAZ compare to CNS and FHI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), LAZ carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, CNS (Cohen & Steers Inc) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 33.7%, cap $3.73B) and FHI (Federated Hermes Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 39.8%, cap $4.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while AAMI leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAZ?
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Per LAZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001311370), Lazard Inc. generated $3.19B in revenue (+1.5% YoY), $237.0M in net income, and $487.4M in free cash flow against $4.94B in total assets and $1.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.23 (+0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 15.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D
Cash (16)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$62 Bull$39 Base$31 Bear
📬 FREE LAZ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LAZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LAZ SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.3% FCF Margin ($487.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (52.5) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$34.66+7.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$37.37+2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$38.47+1.8% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$39.16+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LAZ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, LAZ faces multiple-compression risk if 16.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.43) or 200D SMA ($44.03) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.34) toward Bear Floor ($30.69).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LAZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LAZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LAZ Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $39.16: 255.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $30.69
$7,837
$-2,163 (-21.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $39.34
$10,046
+$46 (+0.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $61.69
$15,753
+$5,753 (+57.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$5869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LAZ Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LAZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $39.54H $39.54L $38.35C $39.16VOL 1.68M
RES: $44.68SUP: $33.15SMA50: $38.43SMA200: $44.03
$51.73$46.96$42.19$37.42$32.65RES $44.68SUP $33.15$39.162026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LAZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
9.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LAZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LAZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LAZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LAZ)

Financials Rank #414 of 1096 ⚔️ CNS vs LAZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LAZ vs. CNS, FHI, AAMI, HTGC)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lazard Inc. (LAZ) ranks #414 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #318 by equity capitalization ($3.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HTGC leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while AAMI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.3% ROIC and — gross margin. FHI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with LAZ at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LAZ ACTIVE
Lazard Inc.
C- 59/100 16.3x — 24.4% +2.11% $3.75B Benchmark Subject
CNS
Cohen & Steers Inc
D- 43/100 24.5x — 33.7% +2.62% $3.73B /cns-vs-laz →
FHI
Federated Hermes Inc.
B 74/100 10.7x — 39.8% +6.98% $4.37B /fhi-vs-laz →
AAMI
Acadian Asset Management Inc.
D 50/100 40.5x — 40.3% -1.57% $3.16B /aami-vs-laz →
HTGC
Hercules Capital Inc.
D- 42/100 9.3x — 15.3% -0.36% $3.14B /htgc-vs-laz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001311370 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lazard Inc. (LAZ) reported GAAP revenue of $3.19B (+1.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.14B , and +22.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $237.0M, operating cash flow of $519.3M, and free cash flow of $487.4M (-30.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LAZ closed FY2025 with $4.94B in total assets against $1.78B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.19B $237.0M $519.3M $487.4M $4.94B $1.78B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.14B $280.0M $742.8M $697.3M $4.79B $1.81B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.59B -$75.0M $164.7M $48.0M $3.11B $728.2M

3. LAZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LAZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lazard Inc. (NYSE: LAZ) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $39.16 (+2.11% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LAZ ranks #414 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LAZ compare to CNS and FHI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), LAZ carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 24.4%. By comparison, CNS (Cohen & Steers Inc) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 33.7%, cap $3.73B) and FHI (Federated Hermes Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 39.8%, cap $4.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HTGC leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while AAMI leads on capital efficiency (40.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAZ?

Per LAZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001311370), Lazard Inc. generated $3.19B in revenue (+1.5% YoY), $237.0M in net income, and $487.4M in free cash flow against $4.94B in total assets and $1.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LAZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LAZ last traded at $39.16 (+2.11% on volume of 1,234,695 shares), positioning the stock +1.90% above its 50-day simple moving average ($38.43) and -11.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($44.03). Across its 52-week range of $34.13 to $58.75, LAZ sits at the 20.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($35.64 to $42.68).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LAZ — Lazard Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lazard Inc. (LAZ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $39.16 (+2.11% 1D, market capitalization $3.75B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 24.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 10.3%, and free cash flow yield of 12.62%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.01x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lazard Inc. (LAZ) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Investment Managers industry..9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lazard Inc. (LAZ) reported $3.19B in annual revenue (up from $3.14B in FY2024, +1.5% YoY) and $237.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.59B revenue, -$75.0M net income) through FY2025, LAZ scaled operating cash flow to $519.3M and free cash flow to $487.4M, backed by $4.94B in total assets against $1.78B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $34.13 – $58.75 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 16.3x trailing P/E and 11.4x EV/EBITDA against 10.3% operating margins and a 1.01x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the supplied data. Within the Financials/Investment Managers classification, the relevant second-order watch item visible in the news feed is the reported Q3 revenue and EPS miss tied to deal timing; a prospective investor should monitor whether deal-timing dependence recurs, since it is the only sector-linked ripple the sources describe.

  • Key Question #1: Can LAZ sustain or expand its 10.3% operating margin and 24.4% ROIC against Investment Managers peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.19B and free cash flow of $487.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.78B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LAZ's 15.2x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.01x)?

LAZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lazard Inc. (LAZ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LAZ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LAZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $39.16?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LAZ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LAZ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $50.62 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong capital efficiency with 24.4% ROIC and a 12.62% FCF yield, with a forward P/E of 15.2 below the trailing 16.3.

Long LAZ at $38.35 targeting $50.62. Strong capital efficiency with 24.4% ROIC and a 12.62% FCF yield, with a forward P/E of 15.2 below the trailing 16.3.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $34.13 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — LAZ's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $31.06 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $38.35

A reported Q3 revenue and EPS miss tied to limited deal pull-forwards, with the weakest RQD pillar at 6/20 on macro regime fit.

I respect the product at Lazard Inc., but the stock at $38.35 is a different story. A reported Q3 revenue and EPS miss tied to limited deal pull-forwards, with the weakest RQD pillar at 6/20 on macro regime fit.. FCF yield is 12.62% and RQD sits at 59/100 (C-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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