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Katapult Holdings Inc. (KPLT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$11.05 +6.46% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.16

Katapult Holdings Inc. (KPLT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $880.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KPLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Katapult Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: KPLT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $11.05 (+6.46% 1D, market cap $880.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KPLT ranks #612 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KPLT compare to UPBD and PRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), KPLT carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.7%, and ROIC of -0.8%. By comparison, UPBD (Upbound Group Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 16.0x, ROIC 30.7%, cap $1.21B) and PRG (PROG Holdings Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 37.3%, cap $1.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRG leads on earnings multiple (8.9x) while PRG leads on capital efficiency (37.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KPLT?
β–Ό

Per KPLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001785424), Katapult Holdings Inc. generated $291.8M in revenue (+18.0% YoY), $1.4M in net income, and -$12.0M in free cash flow against $107.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.16 (+0.97%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D+
Cash (6)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$13 Bull$11 Base$8 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE KPLT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KPLT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY KPLT SCORES 47/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.04 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$4.45+78.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$7.96+5.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$8.39+31.7% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$11.05-5.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (39) β†’ D (47)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KPLT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While KPLT currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.08) and Max Pain ($11.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.31.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KPLTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œKPLT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

KPLT Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (KPLT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on KPLT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KPLT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of KPLT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KPLT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +62.26%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $12.52H $12.52L $10.38C $11.05VOL 545.9K
RES: $12.81SUP: $3.34SMA50: $7.08SMA200: $6.78
$13.30$10.74$8.18$5.62$3.06RES $12.81SUP $3.34$11.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KPLT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KPLT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KPLT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KPLT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KPLT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #612 of 1009 βš”οΈ UPBD vs KPLT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (KPLT vs. UPBD, PRG, ARLO, CTOS)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Katapult Holdings Inc. (KPLT) ranks #612 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #522 by equity capitalization ($880.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRG leads on earnings valuation at 8.9x trailing P/E, while PRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. UPBD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with KPLT at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KPLT ACTIVE
Katapult Holdings Inc.
D 47/100 β€” 17.7% -0.8% +6.46% $880.7M Benchmark Subject
UPBD
Upbound Group Inc.
B- 70/100 16.0x 48.4% 30.7% +10.34% $1.21B /upbd-vs-kplt β†’
PRG
PROG Holdings Inc.
C+ 69/100 8.9x β€” 37.3% +9.90% $1.36B /prg-vs-kplt β†’
ARLO
Arlo Technologies Inc.
C 63/100 106.3x 44.0% 6.0% -2.35% $1.56B /arlo-vs-kplt β†’
CTOS
Custom Truck One Source Inc.
C- 60/100 β€” 28.5% 4.1% +0.28% $2.41B /ctos-vs-kplt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001785424 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Katapult Holdings Inc. (KPLT) reported GAAP revenue of $291.8M (+18.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $247.2M , and +31.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.4M, operating cash flow of -$11.9M, and free cash flow of -$12.0M (+63.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, KPLT closed FY2025 with $107.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.04, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $291.8M $1.4M -$11.9M -$12.0M $107.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $247.2M -$25.9M -$32.6M -$32.6M $93.2M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $221.6M -$36.7M -$17.4M -$17.4M β€” β€”

3. KPLT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KPLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Katapult Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: KPLT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $11.05 (+6.46% 1D, market cap $880.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KPLT ranks #612 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KPLT compare to UPBD and PRG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), KPLT carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.7%, and ROIC of -0.8%. By comparison, UPBD (Upbound Group Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 16.0x, ROIC 30.7%, cap $1.21B) and PRG (PROG Holdings Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 37.3%, cap $1.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRG leads on earnings multiple (8.9x) while PRG leads on capital efficiency (37.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KPLT?

Per KPLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001785424), Katapult Holdings Inc. generated $291.8M in revenue (+18.0% YoY), $1.4M in net income, and -$12.0M in free cash flow against $107.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KPLT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KPLT last traded at $11.05 (+6.46% on volume of 349,564 shares), positioning the stock +56.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($7.08) and +62.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.78). Across its 52-week range of $3.85 to $12.68, KPLT sits at the 81.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($9.67 to $12.43).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 47/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KPLT β€” Katapult Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Katapult Holdings Inc. (KPLT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $11.05 (+6.46% 1D, market capitalization $880.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -0.8%, gross margin of 17.7%, operating margin of -0.2%, and free cash flow yield of -1.13%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.04, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Katapult Holdings Inc. (KPLT) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Diversified Commercial Services industry,.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Katapult Holdings Inc. (KPLT) reported $291.8M in annual revenue (up from $247.2M in FY2024, +18.0% YoY) and $1.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($221.6M revenue, -$36.7M net income) through FY2025, KPLT scaled operating cash flow to -$11.9M and free cash flow to -$12.0M, backed by $107.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 47/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of -1.13% and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.85 – $12.68 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -0.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, and sector correlations beyond the stated classification, are β€” Investors should note that second-order ripples cannot be mapped from the provided data; the only linkage available is the Aaron's merger reference in the news feed, whose downstream effects are not described.

  • Key Question #1: Can KPLT sustain or expand its -0.2% operating margin and -0.8% ROIC against Diversified Commercial Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $291.8M and free cash flow of -$12.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KPLT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KPLT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Katapult Holdings Inc. (KPLT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to KPLT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KPLT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $11.05?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KPLT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KPLT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.49 (+30.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 16/20 and the balance sheet shows an Altman Z of 6.04, with cash rising from $

Here is why I am bullish on KPLT here at $10.38: Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 16/20 and the balance sheet shows an Altman Z of 6.04, with cash rising from $3.5M to $22.4M.. Compare KPLT's -0.2% operating margin and -0.8% ROIC against the rest of Diversified Commercial Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $9.86 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” KPLT's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.41 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $10.38

ROIC of -0.8%, FCF yield of -1.13%, and negative FCF in every reported period, with the stock trading near its 52-week high of $12.68.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short KPLT above $10.38. ROIC of -0.8%, FCF yield of -1.13%, and negative FCF in every reported period, with the stock trading near its 52-week high of $12.68.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20) and FCF yield (-1.13%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $12.68.

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