Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / JCTC

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Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.72 -3.72% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.70

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $9.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JCTC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JCTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (NASDAQ: JCTC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $2.72 (-3.72% 1D, market cap $9.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, JCTC ranks #808 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JCTC compare to CAPS and SMJF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), JCTC carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.1%, and ROIC of -18.8%. By comparison, CAPS (Capstone Holding Corp.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.5M) and SMJF (SMJ International Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $42.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JCTC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while JCTC leads on capital efficiency (-18.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCTC?

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Per JCTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0000885307), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company generated $41.3M in revenue (-12.4% YoY), -$4.1M in net income, and -$6.7M in free cash flow against $23.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.70 (-0.86%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JCTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JCTC SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 66% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.90+1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.93-3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.83-3.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.72-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a JCTC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While JCTC currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.90) and Max Pain ($2.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.49.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JCTC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JCTC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.09>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

1 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE66% OF RANGE

L: $2$2.72H: $3

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 4 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on JCTC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (20)

-18.8% ROIC with 15.1% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 3.09 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (40)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like JCTC

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JCTC)

✓Walkthrough of JCTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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JCTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +35.32%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $2.76H $2.82L $2.72C $2.72VOL 3.5K

RES: $2.91SUP: $2.73SMA50: $2.90SMA200: $2.32

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JCTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JCTC Butterfly Map → + Track JCTC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -12.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JCTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JCTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JCTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JCTC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #808 of 1011 ⚔️ CAPS vs JCTC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (JCTC vs. CAPS, SMJF, OLOX, GRWG)

Industry: RETAIL: Building Materials (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) ranks #808 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #929 by equity capitalization ($9.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JCTC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while JCTC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -18.8% ROIC and 15.1% gross margin. JCTC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JCTC ACTIVE Jewett-Cameron Trading Company	D-	36/100	—	15.1%	-18.8%	-3.72%	$9.9M	Benchmark Subject
CAPS Capstone Holding Corp.	E	27/100	—	23.0%	-35.0%	-18.68%	$2.5M	/caps-vs-jctc →
SMJF SMJ International Holdings Inc. (Class A)	E	29/100	—	34.6%	—	+0.65%	$42.7M	/smjf-vs-jctc →
OLOX Olenox Industries Inc.	E	31/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-2.25%	$1.3M	/olox-vs-jctc →
GRWG GrowGeneration Corp.	E	28/100	—	26.8%	-30.1%	0.00%	$88.4M	/grwg-vs-jctc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0000885307

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) reported GAAP revenue of $41.3M (-12.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $47.1M , and -23.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.1M, operating cash flow of -$6.6M, and free cash flow of -$6.7M (-213.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, JCTC closed FY2025 with $23.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.09, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-08-31	$41.3M	-$4.1M	-$6.6M	-$6.7M	$23.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-08-31	$47.1M	$721.8K	$6.0M	$5.9M	$26.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-08-31	$54.3M	-$20.6K	$5.6M	$5.6M	—	—

3. JCTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JCTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JCTC compare to CAPS and SMJF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JCTC?

Where is JCTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JCTC last traded at $2.72 (-3.72% on volume of 3,401 shares), positioning the stock -6.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.90) and +17.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.32). Across its 52-week range of $1.54 to $3.32, JCTC sits at the 66.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($2.54 to $2.90).

JCTC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell JCTC stock right now?

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 36/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is JCTC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

JCTC's 12-month base price target is $2.45 (range $1.91 to $3.49), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: JCTC RQD Cockpit JCTC 12M Forecast JCTC Earnings & Move JCTC Dividends & DRIP JCTC Insiders & 13F JCTC Whale Options JCTC Profit Sankey JCTC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

JCTC — Jewett-Cameron Trading Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, JCTC scores 36 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC -18.8%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 3.09; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction, which together carry the most weight in the low score. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the institutional flow and balance-sheet pillars holding up, while the valuation tradeoff is that the business is currently generating negative returns on invested capital and zero free-cash-flow yield, so any re-rating would depend on a turnaround that the source data does not yet show. The Altman Z of 3.09 and Debt/Equity of 0.5 provide some balance-sheet cushion, but the Piotroski F of 1/9 signals weak fundamental quality.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$41.3M	$-3.8M	$-4.1M	N/A	$-6.7M	$1.0M	N/A
FY 2024	$47.1M	$-1.8M	$0.7M	N/A	$5.9M	$3.0M	N/A
FY 2023	$54.3M	$0.4M	$-0.0M	N/A	$5.6M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $54.3M (FY 2023) to $47.1M (FY 2024) to $41.3M (FY 2025), and operating income moved from positive to negative across the period. Per the market data, gross margin is 15.1%, operating margin is -9.1%, and net margin is -10%, with ROIC at -18.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.09 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. The source data does not provide EPS or total debt figures for any period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the feed contains six items tied to JCTC. Four Form 4 and general coverage items are flagged YELLOW under "MARKET WIRE," including a Form 4 filing by AJB Investment Fund II, LP (10% Owner) for October 16 and another for September 28, plus a MarketBeat home-improvement watchlist item dated October 5. One item, a Q3 2025 earnings report citing a reported loss of $0.18 per share with no analyst estimate available, is flagged RED under "RISK WATCH." The headline and summary for that item are not consistent with a clean earnings summary, so the figures should be verified against primary filings. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Consumer Discretionary, supply chain is listed as NONE, and no butterfly links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

What are the verified Q3 2025 and FY 2025 EPS figures, given that the EPS field is N/A across periods and a news item cites a $0.18 loss per share?
What is the total debt balance, since the debt field is N/A for every reported period?
What drove the decline in revenue from $54.3M to $41.3M over two years, and is the margin compression tied to specific product or customer segments?
What is the identity and holding size of the institutional and 10% owners referenced in the Form 4 filings, and what is the size of those transactions?
Does the company's cash position of $1.0M in FY 2025 cover its negative free cash flow of $-6.7M, and what is the funding plan?

JCTC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JCTC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 10h ago

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Estimates – NASDAQ:JCTC

TradingView report covering Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 13h ago

Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd. (JCTC) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com South Africa • 16h ago

Form 4 Jewett-Cameron Trading Company Ltd: AJB Investment Fund II, LP (10% Owner) For: 16 October

Investing.com South Africa report covering Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 19h ago

Home Improvement Stocks To Watch Now - October 5th

MarketBeat report covering Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

JCTC Q3 2025 Earnings: Reported Loss of $0.18 Per Share With No Analyst Estimate Available - Earnings Recovery Stocks

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Home Improvement Stocks To Research - November 1st

MarketBeat report covering Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Home Improvement Stocks To Consider - October 18th

MarketBeat report covering Jewett-Cameron Trading Company (JCTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JCTC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.72?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JCTC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.48 (-12.1%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is JCTC (D- • RQD 36/100) a Buy at $2.82?

Welcome to the JCTC (Jewett-Cameron Trading Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in RETAIL: Building Materials. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.12 (-24.8%)

Spot @ $2.82

Pump the brakes on JCTC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on JCTC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 15.1% gross margins. Unless Jewett-Cameron Trading Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.61 (+28.0%)

Spot @ $2.82

JCTC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on JCTC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in RETAIL: Building Materials and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.82 (52-wk range $1.54 - $3.32), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.