John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.4% Move

$53.90 -4.55% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.36

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $660.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JBSS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (NASDAQ: JBSS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $53.90 (-4.55% 1D, market cap $660.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, JBSS ranks #24 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JBSS compare to MAMA and JJSF in the Consumer Staples sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), JBSS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of 18.0%, and ROIC of 19.2%. By comparison, MAMA (Mama's Creations Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 114.4x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $604.9M) and JJSF (J & J Snack Foods Corp.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $1.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBSS?
▼

Per JBSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25, CIK 0000880117), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. generated $1.18B in revenue (+6.2% YoY), $61.9M in net income, and $35.7M in free cash flow against $617.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.36 (-1.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (3)SEC (18)Macro (11)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$97 Bull$56 Base$44 Bear
📬 FREE JBSS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBSS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY JBSS SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$67.36-2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$65.73+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$67.37-20% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$53.90+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JBSS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, JBSS faces multiple-compression risk if 10.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($68.22) or 200D SMA ($76.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.84) toward Bear Floor ($43.56).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBSS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “JBSS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 24, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 24, 2026 (~51 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.4% Swing Band

±$4.53 Expected Swing
$49.37 (-8.4%)Spot $53.90$58.43 (+8.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

JBSS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 66/100

Trailing EPS: $5.30 • YoY Revenue Growth: 6.2%

Model Bullish Setup (66/100)Model Risk Weight (34/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-06-25$1.18B$61.9M$35.7M18%
FY 20242025-06-26$1.11B$58.9M-$20.2M18.4%
FY 20232024-06-27$1.07B$60.2M$101.7M18%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating JBSS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on JBSS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
JBSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.81%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $66.34H $66.34L $53.90C $53.90VOL 267.2K
RES: $78.06SUP: $60.16SMA50: $68.22SMA200: $76.97
$94.77$83.62$72.48$61.33$50.18RES $78.06SUP $60.16$53.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
0.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBSS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBSS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBSS)

Consumer Staples Rank #24 of 146 ⚔️ MAMA vs JBSS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (JBSS vs. MAMA, JJSF, TR, WYHG)

Industry: Specialty Foods (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) ranks #24 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #79 by equity capitalization ($660.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBSS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while JBSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and 18.0% gross margin. JJSF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with JBSS at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
JBSS ACTIVE
John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.
C+ 66/100 10.7x 18.0% 19.2% -4.55% $660.3M Benchmark Subject
MAMA
Mama's Creations Inc.
D+ 52/100 114.4x 25.1% 17.2% -1.17% $604.9M /mama-vs-jbss →
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods Corp.
B 74/100 23.9x 29.7% 7.9% +1.87% $1.57B /jjsf-vs-jbss →
TR
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.
D+ 55/100 27.4x 35.3% 9.8% +0.85% $2.74B /tr-vs-jbss →
WYHG
Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited
D- 37/100 13.3x 29.2% 4.6% -7.12% $105.0M /wyhg-vs-jbss →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-25 • CIK 0000880117

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (+6.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.11B , and +10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $61.9M, operating cash flow of $123.8M, and free cash flow of $35.7M (+277.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBSS closed FY2025 with $617.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-06-25 $1.18B $61.9M $123.8M $35.7M $617.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-06-26 $1.11B $58.9M $30.5M -$20.2M $545.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-06-27 $1.07B $60.2M $101.7M $101.7M — —

3. JBSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (NASDAQ: JBSS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $53.90 (-4.55% 1D, market cap $660.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, JBSS ranks #24 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JBSS compare to MAMA and JJSF in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), JBSS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of 18.0%, and ROIC of 19.2%. By comparison, MAMA (Mama's Creations Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 114.4x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $604.9M) and JJSF (J & J Snack Foods Corp.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $1.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBSS?

Per JBSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25, CIK 0000880117), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. generated $1.18B in revenue (+6.2% YoY), $61.9M in net income, and $35.7M in free cash flow against $617.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JBSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBSS last traded at $53.90 (-4.55% on volume of 317,997 shares), positioning the stock -20.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($68.22) and -29.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($76.97). Across its 52-week range of $53.64 to $92.08, JBSS sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.4% ($49.37 to $58.43).

JBSS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is JBSS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 24, 2026.

How much is JBSS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.4% event move for JBSS, spanning a range between $49.37 and $58.43.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

JBSS — John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:34:04Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, JBSS scores 66 out of 100, a C+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars show a split profile. The fundamental cash engine scores 16 of 20, supported by an ROIC of 19.2% and an FCF yield of 5.41%, which indicates the business is generating meaningful returns on capital relative to the rating model's framework. Insider conviction scores 18 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the strongest pillar in the rating. The forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20, reflecting an Altman Z of 4.87, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. Macro regime fit scores 11 of 20 with a Beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity factor. Whale 13F flow scores only 3 of 20, indicating weak institutional accumulation and options positioning in the rating's read.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the cash generation, balance sheet strength, and insider activity, while the low institutional flow score means the rating does not see broad "smart money" conviction behind the stock. The valuation context from the market data (P/E TTM of 10.7, EV/EBITDA of 4) suggests the market is pricing the shares at a low multiple, which may reflect the recent price decline of -14.88% and the stock's position within its 52-week range. The rating's verdict of Hold with a watch-for-breakout framing implies the setup is not yet confirmed. This is an analytical summary of the source data, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
56.47$660.3M10.71045.37.08%1.0$53.64 - $92.0819.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2026-06-25)$1175.7M$89.2M$61.9MN/A$35.7M$2.4MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2025-06-26)$1107.2M$84.7M$58.9MN/A$-20.2M$0.3MN/A
FY 2023 (filed 2024-06-27)$1066.8M$85.2M$60.2MN/A$101.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1066.8M in FY 2023 to $1175.7M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $60.2M to $61.9M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 18%, operating margin is 7.6%, and net margin is 5.3%, with ROIC at 19.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.87 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Debt values are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the stock's most prominent item is a Seeking Alpha piece titled around a turnaround that "takes time." Several items relate to the company's first quarter fiscal year 2027 results: an operating results conference call announcement, a Benzinga earnings call transcript, and a MarketScreener earnings listing dated 10-28-26. Two items are flagged RED under RISK WATCH: a Yahoo Finance report stating JBSS missed Q1 earnings and revenue estimates, and a Simply Wall St report describing the stock sinking as Q1 margins tightened. Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are recorded. Consensus, price targets, and analyst coverage are not available in source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is not available in source data. Sector correlation data beyond the Beta of 1.0 is not available in source data. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources. The news flow's emphasis on Q1 margin tightening is the only margin-pressure signal in the source data, and its transmission path is not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported EPS and debt figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, which the source marks as N/A?
  • What drove the Q1 fiscal year 2027 margin tightening and revenue miss cited in the news feed?
  • What is the composition of institutional 13F holdings, given the rating's low whale-flow score?
  • What does the FCF swing from $101.7M in FY 2023 to $-20.2M in FY 2024 reflect operationally?
  • What supply-chain dependencies, if any, link JBSS to upstream or downstream sector peers?

JBSS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to JBSS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

JBSS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.90?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON JBSS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on JBSS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $60.99 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is JBSS (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $56.47?

Welcome to the JBSS (John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Specialty Foods. Bulls point to capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $42.35 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $56.47

Pump the brakes on JBSS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on JBSS, but look at what you are paying: 10.7x trailing P/E with 18.0% gross margins. Unless John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $69.46 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $56.47

JBSS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on JBSS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Specialty Foods and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $56.47 (52-wk range $53.64 - $92.08), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%