Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Per the Roarable RQD rating, IBKR scores 55 out of 100, a D+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 0.3%; FCF yield 22%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 10/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 0.92; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest pillar is the balance sheet, while macro fit and insider conviction are the weakest. For a prospective investor, the headline FCF yield of 22% is offset by a ROIC of only 0.3%, indicating that cash generation is not translating into high returns on invested capital. The valuation tradeoff is significant: a trailing P/E of 139.6 and EV/EBITDA of 95 imply that much of the expected performance is already priced in. Upside would depend on earnings growth catching up to the multiple; the rating's verdict suggests the current risk-reward skews unfavorably on these inputs.

Per the company profile, Interactive Brokers Group Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. Not available in source data for product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix beyond the profile classification. The profile describes the company as operating in this industry with a market capitalization of $37.0B. Not available in source data for detailed monetization mechanics.

Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9%, net margin 10.9%, and gross margin 0%, with ROIC at 0.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported net income in the SEC financials is $0.0M for each period and EPS is N/A, so the income statement figures cannot be reconciled to the TTM EPS of 0.59 in the market data. Debt grew from $4768.1M in FY 2023 to $82245.6M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, a material increase that the source does not explain.

Per the recent news feed, six items are tagged to IBKR, each with a YELLOW signal light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Headlines include a generic Yahoo Finance UK profile, a Motley Fool piece on customer cash balances versus Robinhood, a Seeking Alpha note titled "Q3 Should Be Fine, That's The Problem," a CNBC after-hours movers item, and two Yahoo Finance valuation pieces offering conflicting views (one suggesting 47% overvaluation, one suggesting 17% undervaluation). The valuation debate is the dominant theme across the feed. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for the body text of any news item; conclusions beyond headline framing cannot be drawn.

• Net income is reported as $0.0M for every period while TTM EPS is 0.59; what reconciles the income statement to the per-share figure?
• Total debt rose from $4768.1M (FY 2023) to $82245.6M (FY 2025); what is the composition and purpose of this increase?
• What drives the gap between a 22% FCF yield and a 0.3% ROIC, and is FCF representative of sustainable cash generation?
• What is the company's revenue mix and customer base, given the profile provides only sector classification?
• What did the Q3 results contain that the news feed's "Q3 Should Be Fine" and "higher Q3 profit" headlines reference?