Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$76.90 -5.96% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.93

Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $37.05B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IBKR Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IBKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (NASDAQ: IBKR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $76.90 (-5.96% 1D, market cap $37.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, IBKR ranks #553 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IBKR compare to CBOE and RJF in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), IBKR carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 0.3%. By comparison, CBOE (Cboe Global Markets Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $35.14B) and RJF (Raymond James Financial Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $31.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJF leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while CBOE leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBKR?
β–Ό

Per IBKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001381197), Interactive Brokers Group Inc. generated $2.44B in revenue (+23.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $15.70B in free cash flow against $203.24B in total assets and $82.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $75.93 (-1.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 643.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 51.4% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (7)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$104 Bull$76 Base$59 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE IBKR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IBKR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY IBKR SCORES 55/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 643.5% FCF Margin ($15.70B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.2) create a -13 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$87.49-5.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$82.91-0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$82.25-6.5% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$76.90-0.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ D+ (55)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IBKR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, IBKR faces multiple-compression risk if 139.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.93) or 200D SMA ($83.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($75.86) toward Bear Floor ($59.17).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IBKRβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œIBKR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.16% Total Yield
0.36% Cash ($0.28/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
14% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $40,456

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $874/yr
$11.5K
Yr 1
$13.2K
Yr 2
$15.2K
Yr 3
$17.5K
Yr 4
$20.1K
Yr 5
$23.1K
Yr 6
$26.6K
Yr 7
$30.6K
Yr 8
$35.2K
Yr 9
$40.5K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IBKR)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of IBKR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IBKR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.90%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $83.54H $83.54L $76.90C $76.90VOL 3.59M
RES: $99.74SUP: $75.11SMA50: $87.93SMA200: $83.06
$100.9$92.11$83.35$74.59$65.83RES $99.74SUP $75.11$76.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IBKR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBKR today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBKR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IBKR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBKR)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (IBKR vs. CBOE, RJF, TW, NMR)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) ranks #553 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #79 by equity capitalization ($37.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RJF leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while CBOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CBOE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with IBKR at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IBKR ACTIVE
Interactive Brokers Group Inc.
D+ 55/100 139.6x β€” 0.3% -5.96% $37.05B Benchmark Subject
CBOE
Cboe Global Markets Inc.
B+ 78/100 31.9x β€” 26.6% +6.77% $35.14B /cboe-vs-ibkr β†’
RJF
Raymond James Financial Inc.
C+ 69/100 14.5x β€” 5.9% -2.52% $31.03B /rjf-vs-ibkr β†’
TW
Tradeweb Markets Inc.
B+ 76/100 34.2x β€” 13.6% +3.08% $27.82B /tw-vs-ibkr β†’
NMR
Nomura Holdings Inc ADR
D+ 56/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% -0.95% $27.48B /nmr-vs-ibkr β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001381197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (+23.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.98B , and +56.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $15.81B, and free cash flow of $15.70B (+81.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBKR closed FY2025 with $203.24B in total assets against $82.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.44B $0 $15.81B $15.70B $203.24B $82.25B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.98B $0 $8.72B $8.64B $150.14B $60.10B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.56B $0 $4.54B $4.47B $20.38B $4.77B

3. IBKR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IBKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (NASDAQ: IBKR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $76.90 (-5.96% 1D, market cap $37.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, IBKR ranks #553 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IBKR compare to CBOE and RJF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), IBKR carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 0.3%. By comparison, CBOE (Cboe Global Markets Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $35.14B) and RJF (Raymond James Financial Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $31.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJF leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while CBOE leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBKR?

Per IBKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001381197), Interactive Brokers Group Inc. generated $2.44B in revenue (+23.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $15.70B in free cash flow against $203.24B in total assets and $82.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IBKR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBKR last traded at $76.90 (-5.96% on volume of 5,745,613 shares), positioning the stock -12.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($87.93) and -7.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($83.06). Across its 52-week range of $58.95 to $98.75, IBKR sits at the 45.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.9% ($71.59 to $82.21).

IBKR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does IBKR pay a dividend and is it safe?

Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) offers a 0.36% cash dividend yield ($0.28 annualized) and 2.16% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 55/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IBKR β€” Interactive Brokers Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:53Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, IBKR scores 55 out of 100, a D+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 0.3%; FCF yield 22%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 10/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 7/20 (Beta 0.92; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest pillar is the balance sheet, while macro fit and insider conviction are the weakest. For a prospective investor, the headline FCF yield of 22% is offset by a ROIC of only 0.3%, indicating that cash generation is not translating into high returns on invested capital. The valuation tradeoff is significant: a trailing P/E of 139.6 and EV/EBITDA of 95 imply that much of the expected performance is already priced in. Upside would depend on earnings growth catching up to the multiple; the rating's verdict suggests the current risk-reward skews unfavorably on these inputs.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$81.77$37.05B139.6117.3950.590.36%0.92$58.95 - $98.750.3%

Business

Per the company profile, Interactive Brokers Group Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. Not available in source data for product lines, customer segments, or revenue mix beyond the profile classification. The profile describes the company as operating in this industry with a market capitalization of $37.0B. Not available in source data for detailed monetization mechanics.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2440.0M$343.6M$0.0MN/A$15701.2M$4963.0M$82245.6M
FY 2024$1977.0M$278.4M$0.0MN/A$8635.0M$3633.0M$60095.2M
FY 2023$1557.0M$219.2M$0.0MN/A$4473.9MN/A$4768.1M

Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9%, net margin 10.9%, and gross margin 0%, with ROIC at 0.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported net income in the SEC financials is $0.0M for each period and EPS is N/A, so the income statement figures cannot be reconciled to the TTM EPS of 0.59 in the market data. Debt grew from $4768.1M in FY 2023 to $82245.6M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, a material increase that the source does not explain.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items are tagged to IBKR, each with a YELLOW signal light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Headlines include a generic Yahoo Finance UK profile, a Motley Fool piece on customer cash balances versus Robinhood, a Seeking Alpha note titled "Q3 Should Be Fine, That's The Problem," a CNBC after-hours movers item, and two Yahoo Finance valuation pieces offering conflicting views (one suggesting 47% overvaluation, one suggesting 17% undervaluation). The valuation debate is the dominant theme across the feed. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for the body text of any news item; conclusions beyond headline framing cannot be drawn.

Open Questions

  • Net income is reported as $0.0M for every period while TTM EPS is 0.59; what reconciles the income statement to the per-share figure?
  • Total debt rose from $4768.1M (FY 2023) to $82245.6M (FY 2025); what is the composition and purpose of this increase?
  • What drives the gap between a 22% FCF yield and a 0.3% ROIC, and is FCF representative of sustainable cash generation?
  • What is the company's revenue mix and customer base, given the profile provides only sector classification?
  • What did the Q3 results contain that the news feed's "Q3 Should Be Fine" and "higher Q3 profit" headlines reference?

IBKR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to IBKR Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IBKR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $76.90?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IBKR 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IBKR:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $88.31 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IBKR (D+ β€’ RQD 55/100) a Buy at $81.77?

Welcome to the IBKR (Interactive Brokers Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (139.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $65.42 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $81.77

Pump the brakes on IBKR β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IBKR, but look at what you are paying: 139.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Interactive Brokers Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $104.67 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $81.77

IBKR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IBKR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $81.77 (52-wk range $58.95 - $98.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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