The Hershey Company (HSY) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$165.61 +3.33% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $166.29

The Hershey Company (HSY) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $32.20B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HSY Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HSY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $165.61 (+3.33% 1D, market cap $32.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, HSY ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HSY compare to MICC and TR in the Consumer Staples sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), HSY carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.5x, gross margin of 33.5%, and ROIC of 14.8%. By comparison, MICC (The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $11.55B) and TR (Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 27.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $2.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HSY?
β–Ό

Per HSY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000047111), The Hershey Company generated $11.69B in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $883.3M in net income, and $1.82B in free cash flow against $13.74B in total assets and $4.68B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (34% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $166.29 (+0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) β€’ 15.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.0% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk C+
Cash (17)Whales (6)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$251 Bull$172 Base$134 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE HSY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HSY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY HSY SCORES 66/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.6% FCF Margin ($1.82B FCF) & 33.5% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.93 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$163.05+4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$169.58-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$164.51+0.7% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$165.61+1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (58) β†’ C+ (66)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HSY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, HSY faces multiple-compression risk if 36.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 31.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($168.57) or 200D SMA ($188.50) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($171.57) toward Bear Floor ($133.82).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HSYβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œHSY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
5.17% Total Yield
3.37% Cash ($5.58/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
38.7% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.7% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $23,030

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,191/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$11.8K
Yr 2
$12.8K
Yr 3
$14.0K
Yr 4
$15.2K
Yr 5
$16.5K
Yr 6
$17.9K
Yr 7
$19.5K
Yr 8
$21.2K
Yr 9
$23.0K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in HSY & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on HSY and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HSY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.01%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $163.8H $165.6L $160.3C $165.6VOL 2.62M
RES: $173.1SUP: $150.6SMA50: $168.6SMA200: $188.5
$212.6$197.3$182.0$166.7$151.4RES $173.1SUP $150.6$165.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HSY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
28.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HSY today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HSY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HSY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HSY)

Consumer Staples Rank #21 of 146 βš”οΈ MICC vs HSY Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (HSY vs. MICC, TR, JJSF, JBSS)

Industry: Specialty Foods (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Hershey Company (HSY) ranks #21 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #19 by equity capitalization ($32.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBSS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while JBSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and 18.0% gross margin. JJSF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with HSY at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HSY ACTIVE
The Hershey Company
C+ 66/100 36.5x 33.5% 14.8% +3.33% $32.20B Benchmark Subject
MICC
The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.
C 65/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +5.30% $11.55B /micc-vs-hsy β†’
TR
Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.
D+ 55/100 27.4x 35.3% 9.8% +0.85% $2.74B /tr-vs-hsy β†’
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods Corp.
B 74/100 23.9x 29.7% 7.9% +1.87% $1.57B /jjsf-vs-hsy β†’
JBSS
John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.
C+ 66/100 10.7x 18.0% 19.2% -4.55% $660.3M /jbss-vs-hsy β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000047111

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Hershey Company (HSY) reported GAAP revenue of $11.69B (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.20B , and +4.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $883.3M, operating cash flow of $2.28B, and free cash flow of $1.82B (-5.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, HSY closed FY2025 with $13.74B in total assets against $4.68B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.93, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $11.69B $883.3M $2.28B $1.82B $13.74B $4.68B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.20B $2.22B $2.53B $1.93B $12.95B $3.19B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.16B $1.86B $2.32B $1.82B $17.71B $4.14B

3. HSY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HSY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $165.61 (+3.33% 1D, market cap $32.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, HSY ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HSY compare to MICC and TR in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), HSY carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.5x, gross margin of 33.5%, and ROIC of 14.8%. By comparison, MICC (The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $11.55B) and TR (Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 27.4x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $2.74B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HSY?

Per HSY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000047111), The Hershey Company generated $11.69B in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $883.3M in net income, and $1.82B in free cash flow against $13.74B in total assets and $4.68B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (34% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HSY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HSY last traded at $165.61 (+3.33% on volume of 2,262,382 shares), positioning the stock -1.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($168.57) and -12.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($188.50). Across its 52-week range of $156.16 to $239.48, HSY sits at the 11.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.8% ($157.66 to $173.56).

HSY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does HSY pay a dividend and is it safe?

The Hershey Company (HSY) offers a 3.37% cash dividend yield ($5.58 annualized) and 5.17% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 66/100 (C+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HSY β€” The Hershey Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HSY scores 66 out of 100 with a letter grade of C+, labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 (ROIC 14.8%; FCF yield 5.66%), Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.08; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 3.93; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 1.01). The strongest pillar is the cash engine, which points to meaningful cash generation relative to capital employed. The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 6/20, which signals that the rating does not currently reflect strong large-holder accumulation. For a prospective investor, the upside driver is the combination of solid ROIC and free cash flow yield alongside a forensic balance sheet profile. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: trailing P/E of 36.5 and forward P/E of 33.9 are elevated relative to the cash-engine strength, so the stock price already embeds substantial expectations. The "Watch for Breakout" label implies the setup is neutral pending a catalyst that would shift institutional flow or macro fit. This is an analytical framing of the rating, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$160.28$32.2B36.533.919.34.43.37%1.08$156.16 - $239.4814.8%

Business

Per the Profile section, The Hershey Company (HSY) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in the Specialty Foods industry. Not available in source data: product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix. The source data reports gross margin of 33.5%, operating margin of 12.3%, and net margin of 7.6%, which describe the economics of the business but not its specific product or channel composition.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$11692.6M$1441.5M$883.3MN/A$1822.7MN/A$4681.2M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$11202.3M$2898.2M$2221.2MN/A$1925.7MN/A$3190.2M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$11165.0M$2560.9M$1861.8MN/A$1820.8MN/A$4144.7M

Revenue rose from $11165.0M in FY 2023 to $11692.6M in FY 2025, while net income declined from $1861.8M to $883.3M over the same period. Per the market data, the current net margin is 7.6% and ROIC is 14.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating forensic pillar, the Altman Z-Score is 3.93 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 1.01; the reported debt rose to $4681.2M in FY 2025 from $3190.2M in FY 2024. Not available in source data: cash balances and reported EPS for each period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six headlines are tagged to HSY, each marked YELLOW with the impact label MARKET WIRE. The items reference an upcoming Q3 2026 earnings report, a Seeking Alpha view that the stock offers a premium brand at a discount, Halloween-week earnings commentary, general stock price coverage, a StockInvest.us price forecast, and an Investing.com report of a 10% owner trust selling $4.9m of stock. The headlines are catalysts to monitor, not confirmed outcomes. Risk watch items include the insider sale report and the 52-week range of $156.16 to $239.48 against a current price of $160.28, which sits near the low end. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no butterfly links.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals recorded. Not available in source data: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this dataset cannot identify 2nd-order bottlenecks.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's product lines, customer channels, and revenue mix, given that the profile describes only sector and industry?
  • Why did net income decline from $2221.2M in FY 2024 to $883.3M in FY 2025 while revenue grew, and what drove the change?
  • What are the reported cash balances and EPS for each fiscal period, which are currently N/A?
  • What are the upstream and downstream supply-chain dependencies, since the Butterfly graph records none?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, and who are the institutional and insider holders?

HSY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Hershey Company (HSY) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to HSY Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HSY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $165.61?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HSY 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HSY:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $173.10 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HSY (C+ β€’ RQD 66/100) a Buy at $160.28?

Welcome to the HSY (The Hershey Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Specialty Foods. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (36.5x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $129.83 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $160.28

Pump the brakes on HSY β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HSY, but look at what you are paying: 36.5x trailing P/E with 33.5% gross margins. Unless The Hershey Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $187.53 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $160.28

HSY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HSY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Specialty Foods and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $160.28 (52-wk range $156.16 - $239.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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