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Stock Ratings / Materials / HBM / earnings
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Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) (HBM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8% Move

$21.70 -7.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.38

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) (HBM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.38B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HBM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) (NYSE: HBM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $21.70 (-7.11% 1D, market cap $10.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, HBM ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HBM compare to CLF and MP in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), HBM carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CLF (Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.4%, cap $8.14B) and MP (MP Materials Corp.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $7.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HBM leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while HBM leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HBM?
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For Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) (HBM), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #80 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.38 (-1.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 5.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
$34 Bull$21 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE HBM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HBM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HBM SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (44.8) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$25.68-7.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$23.66-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$23.39-7.2% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$21.70-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HBM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HBM currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($25.97) and Max Pain ($22.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HBM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HBM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8% Swing Band

±$1.74 Expected Swing
$19.96 (-8%)Spot $21.70$23.44 (+8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

HBM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $0.71 • YoY Revenue Growth: -4.4%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HBM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HBM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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HBM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.32%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $23.60H $23.60L $21.70C $21.70VOL 5.14M
RES: $29.70SUP: $21.01SMA50: $25.97SMA200: $24.85
$33.12$29.10$25.08$21.06$17.04RES $29.70SUP $21.01$21.702026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HBM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HBM Butterfly Map → + Track HBM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HBM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HBM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HBM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HBM)

Materials Rank #80 of 270 ⚔️ CLF vs HBM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (HBM vs. CLF, MP, BVN, AUGO)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) (HBM) ranks #80 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #43 by equity capitalization ($10.38B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HBM leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while HBM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. AUGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with HBM at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HBM ACTIVE
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada)
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% -7.11% $10.38B Benchmark Subject
CLF
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.
D- 39/100 — -4.6% -9.4% -0.07% $8.14B /clf-vs-hbm →
MP
MP Materials Corp.
E 31/100 — — -6.8% -4.97% $7.42B /mp-vs-hbm →
BVN
Buenaventura Mining Company Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -4.24% $7.01B /bvn-vs-hbm →
AUGO
Aura Minerals Inc.
C- 59/100 32.8x — 9.9% -15.43% $6.56B /augo-vs-hbm →

2. HBM Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) (HBM) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $10.38B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. HBM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) (NYSE: HBM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $21.70 (-7.11% 1D, market cap $10.38B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, HBM ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HBM compare to CLF and MP in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), HBM carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CLF (Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.4%, cap $8.14B) and MP (MP Materials Corp.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $7.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HBM leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while HBM leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HBM?

For Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) (HBM), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #80 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HBM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HBM last traded at $21.70 (-7.11% on volume of 8,291,827 shares), positioning the stock -16.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.97) and -12.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($24.85). Across its 52-week range of $14.34 to $32.15, HBM sits at the 41.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($19.96 to $23.44).

HBM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is HBM's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) (HBM)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is HBM stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8% event move for HBM, spanning a range between $19.96 and $23.44.

Direct Sub-Reports: HBM RQD Cockpit HBM 12M Forecast HBM Earnings & Move HBM Dividends & DRIP HBM Insiders & 13F HBM Whale Options HBM Profit Sankey HBM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HBM — Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:24Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HBM scores 53 out of 100, earning a D+ grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The score is built from five pillars. The fundamental cash engine scores 11 of 20, reflecting an ROIC of 9.9% and an FCF yield of 2.21%; for a prospective investor, this suggests the business earns a modest return on capital and the stock's price is not supported by a high free-cash-flow return. Whale/13F flow scores 7 of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning, indicating weak smart-money tailwinds in the source data. Insider conviction scores 12 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, a middling reading. Macro regime fit scores 7 of 20 with a beta of 1.15, meaning the stock is expected to move somewhat more than the market and carries meaningful sector sensitivity. Forensic balance sheet is the strongest pillar at 16 of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 3.74, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.39. Taken together, the balance sheet offers resilience, while the valuation (P/E TTM 32.8, Forward P/E 30.5) and thin cash yield are the main tradeoffs: upside depends on earnings growth that the rating does not show as strong. The rating's verdict implies a cautious posture rather than conviction.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
23.36$10.38B32.830.5210.710%1.15$14.34 - $32.159.9%

Business

Hudbay Minerals Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, operating in the Metal Mining industry, per the profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9% and net margin is 10.9%, while gross margin is reported as 0%. Business description beyond sector and industry classification is not available in source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Sector and industry classification are Materials and Metal Mining. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and cash flow figures across recent periods, and what is the trend?
  • What is the company's actual gross margin, given the 0% figure in the market data conflicts with the reported operating and net margins?
  • What are the analyst consensus rating and price targets, and how do they compare with the current price of 23.36?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what are the recent 13F and Form 4 transactions?
  • What recent catalysts or operational developments explain the 52-week range of $14.34 to $32.15?

HBM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) (HBM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HBM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HBM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.70?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HBM 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HBM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $25.23 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HBM (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $23.36?

Welcome to the HBM (Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.99 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $23.36

Pump the brakes on HBM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HBM, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $27.10 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $23.36

HBM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HBM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $23.36 (52-wk range $14.34 - $32.15), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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